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Originally Posted by
SaintDawg
Was reading on FB, the SHIPS intensity model is predicting a 56% chance Delta reaches Cat 5 within 72 hours. Could someone explain what SHIPS is and how reliable is it?
SHIPS is just one of a couple dozen tropical models. All have their good and bad days. Besides snow in MS, tropical cyclones are one of the most difficult things to forecast...especially intensity. Delta is currently undergoing rapid intensification and I would not be surprised to see it reach cat 4 status before weakening as it approaches the US. The next update is at 10:00 and I expect it to be a 3 then. Personally, I'm leery of it making it to 5, but I've been wrong before.
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