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The tropics are heating up.
Tropical storm Gonzalo formed this morning in the open Atlantic and all indications are Hannah should be in the Gulf by the time we wake up in the morning. If the Gulf system is named it will be the earliest H named storm since Harvey in 2005. Soon to be named Hannah poses little risk to the MS/AL coast with the possible exception of a heightened rip tide risk. Gonzalo, will be the one to watch. It should become a hurricane in a day or two before weakening back to a storm as it enters the southern Caribbean. Once it gets there all bets are off on future tracks and strength. There is just simply no way to know this far out. It's just as likely to hit MS as it is Mexico right now and it could do it anywhere from a tropical depression to a major hurricane. Or it could just fizzle out like a Bert Stare rumor post.
Beyond the horizon waves are starting to move off the coast of Africa and the next one up will be in a couple days. These will all have to be watched as the tropical Atlantic slowly becomes more favorable for development out in the open waters. The peak of hurricane season is not until September 10 so we're just now getting started good.
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