The Covid-19 Info thread (keep politics out please)

[gtowndawg]

If you want to read some very interesting tweets and data, I'd recommend following this guy on Twitter.

[dawgday166]

If you want to read some very interesting tweets and data, I'd recommend following this guy on Twitter.

Not saying this isn't some badass shit but ... Cuomo has been up there in his requirements of what will be needed. Will it reach that? Don't know. But I've thought all along there may be some very conservative (relative to worst case) scenarios being fed into the models.

But it also ain't over yet so don't really know yet.

[gtowndawg]

Not saying this isn't some badass shit but ... Cuomo has been up there in his requirements of what will be needed. Will it reach that? Don't know. But I've thought all along there may be some very conservative (relative to worst case) scenarios being fed into the models.

But it also ain't over yet so don't really know yet.

Since I started following this guy it make me check Tennessee everyday. The model says there should be 4,870 hospitalized in Tennessee today (April 5). But Tennessee reports 311. And the model (4,870 in Tennessee as of today) assumes that EVERYONE is social distancing. In other words, the 4,870 for today would be the best case scenario for Tennessee. I drove my car Friday for the first time in 3 weeks. I'm doing my part but I'm getting more and more skeptical each day.

[dawgday166]

Since I started following this guy it make me check Tennessee everyday. The model says there should be 4,870 hospitalized in Tennessee today (April 5). But Tennessee reports 311. And the model (4,870 in Tennessee as of today) assumes that EVERYONE is social distancing. In other words, the 4,870 for today would be the best case scenario for Tennessee. I drove my car Friday for the first time in 3 weeks. I'm doing my part but I'm getting more and more skeptical each day.

Well ... the timing in the models could be off some that's why I'm reluctant to say it won't be that bad. So I wouldn't relax too much just yet ... the potential may still be there hidden somewhere. In another 2 to 4 weeks I think we'll see more identifiable trends and more reliable data forming. I also tend to think latitude with regard to heat/cold and humidity are affecting it some.

[Dolphus Raymond]

Like others, I suspect a sizable number of people have contracted and recovered from the virus never knowing they had contracted COVID-19. (Particularly early on in the pandemic.)
I have a family member in another state that is recovering at home. (He is a nurse and contracted COVID-19 at work.) I spoke with him and compared his symptoms with the symptoms I manifested a month ago which were sore throat, light cough, chills, fever and fatigue. Almost an exact match. The antibody test should come on line in a month or two and I suspect the data generated over time will be very revealing. No matter, the next few weeks are going to be very challenging for our nation. However, as we always have, we will endure because that is who we are.

[dantheman4248]

We definitely have slowed this down a whole lot as a country. Credit needs to be given that we've gotten our heads out of our asses and are starting to see the effects of social distancing. Still, crossed into .1% of the country *PROVEN* infected with this. About 3% of that subset dead. Figure as it goes we'll see slightly better results.

The exponential rate of growing is finally starting to hit its wall. Logarithmically we are starting to see this flatten. My fear was that we wouldn't see that until we broke the 1 million infected mark. Hopefully this continues to be the case and flattens more.

Updating my prediction, i think this will have about a 1.75% death rate among proven cases w/ hopefully no more than 2% of the country proven infected. (That would be only around 100k deaths) That would be an astounding recovery that we made from where we were looking at a few weeks ago. Hopefully people understand this as proof social distancing works and that it helped save lives. These next two months are going to be rough. Let's see if we can keep it up.

[Todd4State]

We definitely have slowed this down a whole lot as a country. Credit needs to be given that we've gotten our heads out of our asses and are starting to see the effects of social distancing. Still, crossed into .1% of the country *PROVEN* infected with this. About 3% of that subset dead. Figure as it goes we'll see slightly better results.

The exponential rate of growing is finally starting to hit its wall. Logarithmically we are starting to see this flatten. My fear was that we wouldn't see that until we broke the 1 million infected mark. Hopefully this continues to be the case and flattens more.

Updating my prediction, i think this will have about a 1.75% death rate among proven cases w/ hopefully no more than 2% of the country proven infected. (That would be only around 100k deaths) That would be an astounding recovery that we made from where we were looking at a few weeks ago. Hopefully people understand this as proof social distancing works and that it helped save lives. These next two months are going to be rough. Let's see if we can keep it up.

I think Dr. Fauci's models were way off to start with. But no doubt social distancing has still helped save lives.

[dawgday166]

I think Dr. Fauci's models were way off to start with. But no doubt social distancing has still helped save lives.

I kinda do too. But now that we're social distancing dantheman has a good explanation for how far his models were off too. Sorta like last year's football season ... he was only a tad off on that one *******

[dantheman4248]

I kinda do too. But now that we're social distancing dantheman has a good explanation for how far his models were off too. Sorta like last year's football season ... he was only a tad off on that one *******

I gave a back of the napkin estimate for the finality. Havent even been proven off of that original prediction either (which I said I didn't think we would do a good job with social distancing).

This month is going to be interesting to see play out. Because I know personally I'm going stir crazy with quarantining and working from home. If our new cases day per total cases ratio kicks back up then we could be in for a bumpy ride.

Also hating on these doctor's models when the opposite side was blatantly awful and their inaccuracy led to more deaths while the doctors models helped save lives by conveying the severity of the situation... I mean ffs we had people in the month of march saying there wouldn't be 30k cases in the US before the start of summer. It's barely into April and we already have 5 digit deaths in the country.

Chastising people for perfectly predicting American behavior and Trump / State behavior is just silly. "Haha you were wrong we didn't have THAT many die." Well yea, that's the ****ing point.

[Todd4State]

I gave a back of the napkin estimate for the finality. Havent even been proven off of that original prediction either (which I said I didn't think we would do a good job with social distancing).

This month is going to be interesting to see play out. Because I know personally I'm going stir crazy with quarantining and working from home. If our new cases day per total cases ratio kicks back up then we could be in for a bumpy ride.

Also hating on these doctor's models when the opposite side was blatantly awful and their inaccuracy led to more deaths while the doctors models helped save lives by conveying the severity of the situation... I mean ffs we had people in the month of march saying there wouldn't be 30k cases in the US before the start of summer. It's barely into April and we already have 5 digit deaths in the country.

Chastising people for perfectly predicting American behavior and Trump / State behavior is just silly. "Haha you were wrong we didn't have THAT many die." Well yea, that's the ****ing point.

Dr Fauci said in January that Coronavirus wouldn't affect us at all. He has been consistently wrong the entire time. He has had to backtrack multiple times.

And yeah- it's great that he was wrong in a good way. But I think he's getting way too much credit from people. Heck- Msstate7 on our board has been more right than Dr. Fauci. How come msstate7 isn't getting any accolades?

[dawgday166]

I gave a back of the napkin estimate for the finality. Havent even been proven off of that original prediction either (which I said I didn't think we would do a good job with social distancing).

This month is going to be interesting to see play out. Because I know personally I'm going stir crazy with quarantining and working from home. If our new cases day per total cases ratio kicks back up then we could be in for a bumpy ride.

Also hating on these doctor's models when the opposite side was blatantly awful and their inaccuracy led to more deaths while the doctors models helped save lives by conveying the severity of the situation... I mean ffs we had people in the month of march saying there wouldn't be 30k cases in the US before the start of summer. It's barely into April and we already have 5 digit deaths in the country.

Chastising people for perfectly predicting American behavior and Trump / State behavior is just silly. "Haha you were wrong we didn't have THAT many die." Well yea, that's the ****ing point.

Just giving you a hard time dude cause ... you're so sensitive about it LOL. I think it's serious shit and would be more serious without social distancing. I feel a lot for those folks in NY ... I do. Would 2 or 3 mill die tho ... kinda skeptical on that one but it's probably better off to be safer than sorry. Especially now that we've started down this path. Unless of course you can't eat or put a roof over your head and your kids' too after this is all over ... I feel a lot for those folks too.

Trump does some things I like, and some things I don't. Relative to this tho ... he has some tough trades he has to make while listening to experts who are still grasping at the severity of the situation themselves every single day. And he's not doing a bad job of that. Part of the reason he changes his tune every day is cause they keep changing their tune.

EVERYONE was wrong back in January. Fauci, Pelosi, Cuomo, the NY mayor, the Mich gov ... etc. But I don't hold it against them cause ... no one really knew at that time. The only ones that were smart are the senators and congressmen who made several mill by getting out of the stock market. I do hold that against them.

[Johnson85]

I gave a back of the napkin estimate for the finality. Havent even been proven off of that original prediction either (which I said I didn't think we would do a good job with social distancing).

This month is going to be interesting to see play out. Because I know personally I'm going stir crazy with quarantining and working from home. If our new cases day per total cases ratio kicks back up then we could be in for a bumpy ride.

Also hating on these doctor's models when the opposite side was blatantly awful and their inaccuracy led to more deaths while the doctors models helped save lives by conveying the severity of the situation... I mean ffs we had people in the month of march saying there wouldn't be 30k cases in the US before the start of summer. It's barely into April and we already have 5 digit deaths in the country.

Chastising people for perfectly predicting American behavior and Trump / State behavior is just silly. "Haha you were wrong we didn't have THAT many die." Well yea, that's the ****ing point.

This is bullshit. you don't get extra credit for being chicken little. There is a lot of uncertainty in these types of decisions that make being "right" more or less impossible absent some blind luck. We still don't know, but there's a good chance we are going to find out that our policies made a bad situation a good bit worse. And saying "well at least we did something" isn't helpful to the people that are devastated or even dead b/c people freaked out.

[starkvegasdawg]

Oktibbeha county with its first death. It was an 89 year old woman.

[DownwardDawg]

Guys I went to town (Collins) yesterday to get gas in jugs for mower, four wheeler, etc.... I did everything u are supposed to do. I wore a cheap mask, stayed way away from people, and wore latex gloves when using gas nozzle and keypad. The gas pumps were very busy. I had to wait and there were people pulling up when I left. I WAS THE ONLY PERSON DOING ANY OF THIS!!!!! Not 1 damn person was wearing gloves or using sanitizer that I saw!!!!! People looked at me like I was an alien.

[msstate7]

IHME now predicts 81,766 deaths (range is between ~50k - 136k) in US by aug 4th. It predicts 237 deaths (range is between 175 and 325) in miss by aug 4th.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

[yjnkdawg]

COVID-19 Testing
Statewide Testing Summary

COVID-19 testing providers around the state include commercial laboratories and the University of Mississippi Medical Center (UMMC). Combined with testing done by the MSDH Public Health Laboratory, the figures provide a complete picture of all Mississippi testing.

Combined testing totals (MSDH, UMMC and commercial testing providers) as of April 5, 2020.
Total individuals tested by the MSDH Public Health Laboratory 6,309
Total individuals tested by other providers 14,061
Total individuals tested for COVID-19 statewide 20,378
Total individuals tested positive for COVID-19 out of that total statewide number 1,738

[starkvegasdawg]

Guys I went to town (Collins) yesterday to get gas in jugs for mower, four wheeler, etc.... I did everything u are supposed to do. I wore a cheap mask, stayed way away from people, and wore latex gloves when using gas nozzle and keypad. The gas pumps were very busy. I had to wait and there were people pulling up when I left. I WAS THE ONLY PERSON DOING ANY OF THIS!!!!! Not 1 damn person was wearing gloves or using sanitizer that I saw!!!!! People looked at me like I was an alien.

Where I work they are handing out masks like candy if you want them. Maybe 200 people here. I've seen 3 other people wearing masks.

[DownwardDawg]

Where I work they are handing out masks like candy if you want them. Maybe 200 people here. I've seen 3 other people wearing masks.

Wow. People are still not doing their part.

[yjnkdawg]

You really can't go by county numbers concerning safety from Covid-19. Unfortunately in the next day or so (probably tomorrow) there will be another county, which most would call having a minimal number of positive cases (less than 5 and none LTC currently), which will be listed on the MSDH website as having one LTC facility with an outbreak. It is real scary for all of us but especially so concerning these LTC facilities.

[confucius say]

I agree. We really don't know how many people have had either no symptoms or mild symptoms and treated it on their own (with no medical visit or consultation), and therefore the State Health Departments and the CDC would not be aware that they even had the virus.

Millions