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9 new cases in Mississippi, 21 total. Up from 12 yesterday.
e x p o n e n t i a l
It will double every few days. Where does that put us in a month?
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Originally Posted by
hacker
9 new cases in Mississippi, 21 total. Up from 12 yesterday.
e x p o n e n t i a l
It will double every few days. Where does that put us in a month?
We're in wait and see mode now. We are basically waiting to see if we follow Italy's numbers.
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Originally Posted by
hacker
9 new cases in Mississippi, 21 total. Up from 12 yesterday.
e x p o n e n t i a l
It will double every few days. Where does that put us in a month?
It really depends on what would be considered the top of the peak. What we are seeing now are people that were infected from 4-14 days ago (or more). I expect it run up over the next few weeks and top out around then and then start to drop as social distancing measure, hand-washing measures, and quarantine measures start to be reflected in the population. Those lag appear to lag behind 2-3 weeks in all other countries that were hit first. I fully expect the US to hit 10,000 cases by months end.
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Originally Posted by
Dawgology
It really depends on what would be considered the top of the peak. What we are seeing now are people that were infected from 4-14 days ago (or more). I expect it run up over the next few weeks and top out around then and then start to drop as social distancing measure, hand-washing measures, and quarantine measures start to be reflected in the population. Those lag appear to lag behind 2-3 weeks in all other countries that were hit first. I fully expect the US to hit 10,000 cases by months end.
We'll be at 10K by the end of the week. We're adding 1K+ a day right now. And as testing becomes more accessible, we will only add more.
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And there’s still very little testing being done in the U.S. And when they finally start doing it en mass, I bet they still won’t release all the data that needs to be released so that we can make an informed judgement of the risk. South Korea learned this with SARS and rectified it when Covid19 broke out, and it made a huge difference. . I’m sure that instead of learning from South Korea’s mistake in 2003, we’re gong to repeat it in 2020.
There's someone in my head but its not me.
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Italy:
February 20: 4 cases
March 16: 27,980 cases
What exactly is going to happen when we have around 30,000 people sick in this state?
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Originally Posted by
hacker
Italy:
February 20: 4 cases
March 16: 27,980 cases
What exactly is going to happen when we have around 30,000 people sick in this state?
It's possible but unlikely. You are comparing an entire country and social system to a state. A country that houses several major cities and HUGE tourist attractions. A country with the HIGHEST number of inbound flights from China in the entire EU.
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Show me how it'll be different for us. Data would be nice.
Maybe it'll be slightly slower in Mississippi because we're rural but it's way more likely to happen than not.
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Originally Posted by
hacker
Show me how it'll be different for us. Data would be nice.
Maybe it'll be slightly slower in Mississippi because we're rural but it's way more likely to happen than not.
Again. You are comparing Country stats to State stats. You are comparing apples to oranges. Take a breath. Cases will go up. Wash your hands. Practice social distancing. Work from home if you can. Avoid large gatherings. That is very literally ALL that you can do right now. That's it. There is no magic bullet to stop this thing and there never will be. It has to run it's course. It will become endemic. Just do your part to help flatten the curve.
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Originally Posted by
Dawgology
Again. You are comparing Country stats to State stats. You are comparing apples to oranges. Take a breath. Cases will go up. Wash your hands. Practice social distancing. Work from home if you can. Avoid large gatherings. That is very literally ALL that you can do right now. That's it. There is no magic bullet to stop this thing and there never will be. It has to run it's course. It will become endemic. Just do your part to help flatten the curve.
I fully agree. I'm more presenting this argument for the people who are reading this thread and not convinced that this shit's real
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Originally Posted by
hacker
I fully agree. I'm more presenting this argument for the people who are reading this thread and not convinced that this shit's real
I see.
One interesting note: the UK has not been enforcing any quarantine or canceling large gathering and have only been quarantining their elderly. It seems they have significantly slowed the rise in cases. With that said they are now starting a more aggresive approach like the rest fo the world.
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FYI
I work for the 2nd biggest employer in the state of MS: Nissan Mfg in Canton. 5,000 to 6,000 people pass through this 1.6 Billion square foot building every day (employees and contractors) and we have ZERO cases of COVID-19.
Our sister plant has had ONE individual who was put on quarantine because he (or it may have been a she, they didn't say) was around an infected person.
That's 12,000 people in TN and MS, and only 1 person has been put on quarantine for POSSIBLY having been exposed to the virus.
It may mushroom and become a greater problem here in the states in the coming weeks, but so far it's not the scourge that some are saying it will become.
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Originally Posted by
MaroonFlounder
FYI
I work for the 2nd biggest employer in the state of MS: Nissan Mfg in Canton. 5,000 to 6,000 people pass through this 1.6 Billion square foot building every day (employees and contractors) and we have ZERO cases of COVID-19.
Our sister plant has had ONE individual who was put on quarantine because he (or it may have been a she, they didn't say) was around an infected person.
That's 12,000 people in TN and MS, and only 1 person has been put on quarantine for POSSIBLY having been exposed to the virus.
It may mushroom and become a greater problem here in the states in the coming weeks, but so far it's not the scourge that some are saying it will become.
ETA: I see they have not been confirmed, only exposed to someone themselves. So hopefully they did not catch it.
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
ETA: I see they have not been confirmed, only exposed to someone themselves. So hopefully they did not catch it.
Same with where my wife works. MDH and CDC investigated the person that tested positive in Jackson and notified anyone they came into contact with. Two people that work in her division had been in the same room during a training session with the positive person (along with 25 others). All of those are quarantined for two weeks now even though they all tested negative.
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The problem is our PEOPLE. I know several people who are STILL making light of this, making fun of people taking it seriously, and still going about life as if it's normal. These people are still going to restaurants, movies, stores, letting their kids play on the McDonald's playground, etc. These PEOPLE are the problem. I don't know what else our Local, State, and Federal Governments can do without declaring marshal law. People, in general, are stupid. Americans are also incredibly self-centered. THIS is why we can't turn the tide on this thing yet. By the time the stupid, selfish people get on board, it will already be a total disaster.
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
The problem is our PEOPLE. I know several people who are STILL making light of this, making fun of people taking it seriously, and still going about life as if it's normal. These people are still going to restaurants, movies, stores, letting their kids play on the McDonald's playground, etc. These PEOPLE are the problem. I don't know what else our Local, State, and Federal Governments can do without declaring marshal law. People, in general, are stupid. Americans are also incredibly self-centered. THIS is why we can't turn the tide on this thing yet. By the time the stupid, selfish people get on board, it will already be a total disaster.
Ron White put it best, I believe...
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
The problem is our PEOPLE. I know several people who are STILL making light of this, making fun of people taking it seriously, and still going about life as if it's normal. These people are still going to restaurants, movies, stores, letting their kids play on the McDonald's playground, etc. These PEOPLE are the problem. I don't know what else our Local, State, and Federal Governments can do without declaring marshal law. People, in general, are stupid. Americans are also incredibly self-centered. THIS is why we can't turn the tide on this thing yet. By the time the stupid, selfish people get on board, it will already be a total disaster.
I hate to be mean but that's also called natural selection. Incidentally, I believe this is why America can't turn the tide on a great many things...not just this virus.
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
The problem is our PEOPLE. I know several people who are STILL making light of this, making fun of people taking it seriously, and still going about life as if it's normal. These people are still going to restaurants, movies, stores, letting their kids play on the McDonald's playground, etc. These PEOPLE are the problem. I don't know what else our Local, State, and Federal Governments can do without declaring marshal law. People, in general, are stupid. Americans are also incredibly self-centered. THIS is why we can't turn the tide on this thing yet. By the time the stupid, selfish people get on board, it will already be a total disaster.
This is so true. Disgusting, shameful, pathetic, and sad people.
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When will Italy update cases? It's been at 27,980 for a while now. I know it's risen, but I'd like to see by how much
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Originally Posted by
msstate7
When will Italy update cases? It's been at 27,980 for a while now. I know it's risen, but I'd like to see by how much
Hopefully it's postive news. (I mean...negative...news....in regards to testing). I'm kind of addicted to the worldometers site right now.
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