The Covid-19 Info thread (keep politics out please)

[msstate7]

Oh, it's only a severe flu season....a disease we have a vaccination for and several drugs that specifically treat it. Got any evidence to counteract those FACTS? I
will spare you the humiliation...,.you don't. I take it you haven't been personally affected yet. Hopefully you never are.

I didn't tweet that. He presented his evidence. Join in on his thread to contradict his evidence. I just found it interesting. Are you saying his chart is incorrect? It could be for all I know

[hacker]

https://twitter.com/frankfurtzack/st...062002690?s=21

None of the recent years compare on this graph

Also, not sure if I linked this before, but it's a good comparison:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...s-history.html

[msstate7]

None of the recent years compare on this graph

Also, not sure if I linked this before, but it's a good comparison:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...s-history.html

Can't get the article without creating account... How far back does the NYT compare death rates? The guy above (no blue checkmark, granted) uses many of the same countries but shows some higher spikes within the past 20 years.

One thing that could be leading to the discrepancy is it's unclear what month he stops at in 2020.

[msstate7]

https://twitter.com/rebelacole/statu...361616896?s=21

...

This seems to be a pretty big deal

[msstate7]

https://twitter.com/boriquagato/stat...087287808?s=21

[hacker]

https://twitter.com/rebelacole/statu...361616896?s=21

...

This seems to be a pretty big deal

Why? There are some with 0% too. And everywhere in between. Should we also assume that 9% of those are actually positive and add them to the positive cases?

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...rts_latest.pdf

[confucius say]

Why? There are some with 0% too. And everywhere in between. Should we also assume that 9% of those are actually positive and add them to the positive cases?

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...rts_latest.pdf

You don't think it's suspicious that a lab tests 444 people in a day and every Single test was returned positive? Am I reading the chart wrong?

[msstate7]

Why? There are some with 0% too. And everywhere in between. Should we also assume that 9% of those are actually positive and add them to the positive cases?

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_pa...rts_latest.pdf

0% is much more likely than 100%, right? How many 0s vs 100s?

[Dawg2003]

I wouldn't doubt there are more positive tests in Florida because they probably don't have the man power to process all the tests everyday.

[msstate7]

I wouldn't doubt there are more positive tests in Florida because they probably don't have the man power to process all the tests everyday.

I think there are more cases everywhere than being reported. On this issue though, I think reporting total tests is important. Positive % is a huge indicator of where you are with the virus... cooking the number either way should be unacceptable

[Dawg2003]

I was messing around on Wikipedia trying to find the case mortality rate for Covid, and I found a page where it breaks it down by age group and state. It said that the mortality rate for 60-69 years olds in Mississippi is 16%. I looked at that because my parents are in their 60s. That's terrible if true. It was Wikipedia, so take it for what it's worth. I didn't look into their sources.

[hacker]

I think there could be a lot of explanations, especially with backlogged test results where they just dump positives on one day. There are a shitload with 0%, 1%, 2%, 10%, 20% ... 80%, 90%, 98%, etc. There is a full distribution from 0% to 100%. It doesn't look suspicious to me.

Some days, Mississippi reports 100% test positives for the state. I really think you'd have to look at one of those particular lab's reports for the whole week to have an understanding.

[hacker]

I was messing around on Wikipedia trying to find the case mortality rate for Covid, and I found a page where it breaks it down by age group and state. It said that the mortality rate for 60-69 years olds in Mississippi is 16%. I looked at that because my parents are in their 60s. That's terrible if true. It was Wikipedia, so take it for what it's worth. I didn't look into their sources.

6.6% using the latest official state data, which is better, but still an awful prognosis.

[Dawg2003]

6.6% using the latest official state data, which is better, but still an awful prognosis.

That's terrible. Did you find that on the MSDH website?

[starkvegasdawg]

18-29 age group now is far the group with the highest number of cases by almost 2,000. Second highest group is 30-39 followed by 40-49.

[hacker]

That's terrible. Did you find that on the MSDH website?

Yep, from this image:

[hacker]

Speaking of Florida, 15300 new cases there today. NY's largest daily count was 11661.

[confucius say]

6.6% using the latest official state data, which is better, but still an awful prognosis.

I wonder if the cdc x 10 factor applies across all age groups. If so, the cdc x 10 factor reduces that to .66%.

[msstate7]

68% percent of people at a New York Clinic tested positive for coronavirus antibodies,

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/68...es/ar-BB16BiuN

[msstate7]

Speaking of Florida, 15300 new cases there today. NY's largest daily count was 11661.

NY's 7-day case avg peak was April 10th, and their 7-day death avg peak was April 12th. If you're a death is a lagging stat guy, then NY missed a boat load of cases 2-4 weeks before April 12th. If you think NY was competent testing, death stats are very encouraging for Florida. Florida not issuing death sentences on their LTC centers is probably helping their death comparison to NY though.