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Originally Posted by
HancockCountyDog
The death rate that is relevant is death rate of people affected. Italy is now over 10% death rate for those tested positive. Most experts predicted that as their hospitals were overwhelmed. Spain's death rate is around 6%.
Our death rate is around 1.5% which is good, but we have not hit the cross over point where the lack of health care affects the death rate except in places like in New York where people are not getting the care you need to survive.
Look - hopefully we are all doing part and the numbers simply flatten out so that we can keep that death rate, but without a cure and how easy this spreads and the number of people still not staying home and doing their part - if the growth rate continues at 23-28% which where it has been for a while - then this keeps doubling every 3 days. Lets hope it really flattens out over the next week, but so far every model showing this virus spreading and doubling has been for the most part too damn accurate.
I mean we are at 81,000+ cases. We had 200+ twenty days ago. At some point people may have to utter those three little words on a sports message board that no one wants to type.
I was wrong.
This is where I disagree with you... I think we are much higher than the reported cases, which makes the death rate plummet. The vast majority of cases aren't being documented bc they aren't serious imo
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Originally Posted by
msstate7
This is where I disagree with you... I think we are much higher than the reported cases, which makes the death rate plummet. The vast majority of cases aren't being documented bc they aren't serious imo
Wouldn't that also be applicable to other countries?
So lets assume the death rate is significantly less than the 1-2% most people are predicting - wouldn't that be based on positive Covid cases. So if 1 million people have the Covid confirmed and only 100K die providing a 1% death rate of confirmed covid cases which is less than most countries; Yet in reality 5 million have the Covid and still 100K die, where is the upside? I guess I'm missing that point.
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Originally Posted by
msstate7
This is where I disagree with you... I think we are much higher than the reported cases, which makes the death rate plummet. The vast majority of cases aren't being documented bc they aren't serious imo
US:
March 21: 46 deaths
March 22: 113 deaths
March 23: 141 deaths
March 24: 225 deaths
March 25: 247 deaths
This will continue going up. 300, 400, 500 a day. When will it end? Well, our new cases are continuing to grow as well.
March 21: 4825 new cases
March 22: 9400 new cases
March 23: 10189 new cases
March 24: 11075 new cases
March 25: 13355 new cases
It usually takes 2-4 weeks for someone to die from this virus. Our deaths per day will continue growing as long as our new cases do.
Remember, we're still about 12 days behind Italy and 8 days behind Spain.
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Originally Posted by
msstate7
This is where I disagree with you... I think we are much higher than the reported cases, which makes the death rate plummet. The vast majority of cases aren't being documented bc they aren't serious imo
I agree, as I was one of the ones they would not test even though I exhibited most of the symptoms except for a fever over 101.5.
I was told by my doctor to assume I had the virus and take appropriate precautions and self quarantine.
Last edited by Extendedcab; 03-27-2020 at 08:54 AM.
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Originally Posted by
Extendedcab
I agree, as I was one of the ones they would not test even though I exhibited most of the symptoms except for a fever over 101.5.
I was told by my doctor to assume I had the virus and take appropriate precautions and self quarantine.
This is what happened with my wife and she is a nurse. She isolated and is fine now. No testing. We also think my 26 year old daughter had it. She exhibited all the signs and was very sick for a couple weeks. She even had the real red eyes that many patients are exhibiting. Neither were ever tested.
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