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Thread: Most important Game for the Dawgs football this season...video

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    Most important Game for the Dawgs football this season...video




    I tend to agree with this assessment!

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    I think it's Florida. We can beat AZ State and still end up 4-8 but if we beat Florida, there is a chance for 6-6 because if you beat Florida, you should be 4-0 non conference and should have a better than even shot at UPIG.

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    Senior Member StarkVegasSteve's Avatar
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    AZ State is important, but I agree that it's Florida. I think the most important 3 game stretch is A&M, Arky, UMass. We get through that stretch 3-0 you set your self up for a bowl game.

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    Win 4 noncon
    Win 2 of Florida, ark, Aggie
    That's your path to 6.

    But that is an uphill climb. I have zero expectations of it.

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    Senior Member TrapGame's Avatar
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    Florida will be a statement game. It will show Lebby is the better coach with the better offense. It will be the nail in the coaching coffin for Sunbelt Billy. And yes, I'm dying on this hill.

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    Florida and Mizzo.

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    Ummm how about the 1st one. Then you take the next one then well you get the idea!

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    Other than the Big Dogs, this is one of the most manageable schedules in quite some time for State. It is most unfortunate that we have a Roster in flux and are transitioning to a new offense and defense in such a manageable schedule. The 2022 team with this schedule would be looking at 9-3 regular season. Unfortunately we have most of the 2023 team and a few new faces that are new to SEC football.

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    This is a season where we just have to go one game at a time and hope for the best. This could be a team that wins @Tennesee but loses to Toledo because of all the unknowns. Besides UGA and Texas on the road which basically is a 1 percent chance we win and Eastern KY and UMass about a 1 percent chance we lose the other 8 games will all be very interesting and probably fall between 25 percent and 75 percent, hence the reason I am picking 6-6

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    Senior Member Coach34's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TALL DAWG View Post
    Florida and Mizzo.
    There are people out there saying Mizzou will be better this year than last

    I havent done my usual deep dive into teams. The portal has killed any interest in that for me
    Walk like the King or walk like you don't care who the King is

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    Quote Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG View Post
    This is a season where we just have to go one game at a time and hope for the best. This could be a team that wins @Tennesee but loses to Toledo because of all the unknowns. Besides UGA and Texas on the road which basically is a 1 percent chance we win and Eastern KY and UMass about a 1 percent chance we lose the other 8 games will all be very interesting and probably fall between 25 percent and 75 percent, hence the reason I am picking 6-6
    I think we probably lose to Texas, but our chances are a lot higher than 1%. Texas is a joke program that loses a game or 2 to teams like us almost every year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by CaptainObvious View Post
    Other than the Big Dogs, this is one of the most manageable schedules in quite some time for State. It is most unfortunate that we have a Roster in flux and are transitioning to a new offense and defense in such a manageable schedule. The 2022 team with this schedule would be looking at 9-3 regular season. Unfortunately we have most of the 2023 team and a few new faces that are new to SEC football.
    We have five top 12 teams on the schedule.
    4 on the road.
    1 at home.
    We have the second rates toughest schedule in the country.
    Nothing about it is manageable.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Quaoarsking View Post
    I think we probably lose to Texas, but our chances are a lot higher than 1%. Texas is a joke program that loses a game or 2 to teams like us almost every year.
    That was before Sark. They had bad coaching for awhile after Mack Brown was fired. They will be in the upper echelon of the conference most years now as long as Sark stays. It will be UGA, Bama, Texas and then LSU, OU and possibly Tenn making an occasional appearance. ATM and Auburn are going to have trouble in my opinion keeping up with those 6. Then you may have any other team outside Vandy have a random strong year like OM State Mizzou or UF but I think those will be fewer and further between with NIL, portal etc

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    i have to agree with PGH i think 6-6 is it!

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    Quote Originally Posted by confucius say View Post
    We have five top 12 teams on the schedule.
    4 on the road.
    1 at home.
    We have the second rates toughest schedule in the country.
    Nothing about it is manageable.
    Sure it would be with Leach's last team. But Keenum kicked the can down the road by going the easy route last year promoting a Defensive Coordinstor to manage a team built to throw and throw and throw and then throw some more. Then the team quit and the coach quit in them.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Coach34 View Post
    There are people out there saying Mizzou will be better this year than last

    I havent done my usual deep dive into teams. The portal has killed any interest in that for me
    Losing the RB Schrader is going to be a bigger loss than most are anticipating it will be. He opened up a lot in their passing game. They, like OM, were also elite in one score games. That will return back to the mean this year. They'll be good but to expect them to be 11-2 is not feasible. They may only win one conference road game. That only gives them 3 losses.

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    Senior Member DownwardDawg's Avatar
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    I'm surprised no one mentions ole miss. That will be a 1 score game. Can go either way. They had one of their best teams this year and struggled bad against one of our worst teams ever. We will be playing them for a chance to get to 6 or 7 wins.

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    Quote Originally Posted by 99jc View Post
    i have to agree with PGH i think 6-6 is it!
    I'd take that right now. Anything above 6-6 and lebby should be coach of the year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG View Post
    That was before Sark. They had bad coaching for awhile after Mack Brown was fired. They will be in the upper echelon of the conference most years now as long as Sark stays.
    I mean ... maybe? They were good in 2023, but they dropped 2 games to teams who finished unranked in 2022 and 3 in 2021 (including 2-10 Kansas at home).

    They were "back" when Tom Herman led them to a top 10 finish in 2018, and then it was "same ol' Texas" for 4 years under both Herman and Sark, and now they had another peak year. Maybe they'll sustain this for a while, maybe it's back to "same ol' Texas" again. Probably somewhere in the middle. I don't think they'll ever consistently be on the tier with Alabama and Georgia, especially now that they'll be playing SEC teams every week.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DownwardDawg View Post
    I'm surprised no one mentions ole miss. That will be a 1 score game. Can go either way. They had one of their best teams this year and struggled bad against one of our worst teams ever. We will be playing them for a chance to get to 6 or 7 wins.
    Anything can happen in an Egg Bowl. But for anything to happen it would help to have some confidence built up from beating Florida, Arkansas and winning our OOC games. That would make us bowl eligible going into the Egg Bowl.

    So I would have to say that Florida is our biggest game. Because Ole Miss can't be our biggest game without winning some of the others. If that makes sense.

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