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2024 football prediction
Watching OU film to see the Lebby offense, I had high expectations of Gabriel, who is statistically one of the most prolific college qbs ever. But what stood out was the opposite, he has clear issues with footwork and accuracy. He often bailed himself out with his feet, doing a good job both throwing on the run and scrambling, and also throws a nice deep ball. But as a pocket passer he misses short and intermediate passes frequently, throwing to receivers feet and behind targets.
OU had a good o-line but few draft prospects at rb or wr. Lebby did a lot with average skill players. Looking back this has largely been the case at UCF and OM as well.
He will do the same at State. Shapen has a big year and ends up a dark horse Heisman candidate, finding his way onto watch lists late in the season. If he retains the starting position, Gabriel falls way down the ladder in qb rating playing in a west coast style offense. Ty Thompson, the man who transferred from OU,to make way for Gabriel, also has a superior season to Gabriel statistically.
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Originally Posted by
Homedawg
5-7
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Originally Posted by
Homedawg
5-7
I have no idea on record. I would bet money we have a top 30 offense with a ceiling in the 10-15 range. No idea how to gauge our defense.
I could see us winning some shootouts if the offense is really good and getting to 7-8 wins, losing some shootouts and struggling to get bow eligible if the offense is good but not great.
If the defense outperforms the low expectations (maybe the staff is better than we think, we land some defensive transfers, or both) then maybe we nab some upsets. It would be sweet to play spoiler on OM CFP hopes, for example.
My wild guess prediction today is 6 wins capped with a bowl win. SEC wins are Florida and Arkansas.
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Originally Posted by
Walkerhill
I have no idea on record. I would bet money we have a top 30 offense with a ceiling in the 10-15 range. No idea how to gauge our defense.
I could see us winning some shootouts if the offense is really good and getting to 7-8 wins, losing some shootouts and struggling to get bow eligible if the offense is good but not great.
If the defense outperforms the low expectations (maybe the staff is better than we think, we land some defensive transfers, or both) then maybe we nab some upsets. It would be sweet to play spoiler on OM CFP hopes, for example.
My wild guess prediction today is 6 wins capped with a bowl win. SEC wins are Florida and Arkansas.
If you think we are going to finish in the top 15 in offense you are about to be crushed.
Last edited by Homedawg; 04-04-2024 at 11:53 PM.
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Originally Posted by
Homedawg
If you think we are going to finish in the top 15 in offense you are about to be crushed.
In the last 7 years Lebby offenses have ranked 5, 4, 2, 3, 6, 33, 4 in total offense.
I expect 15-20 probably just based on the state of our offensive personnel when he took over and the amount of new and/or unproven players. If we wind up top 15 in total offense, Lebby did a heck of a coaching job.
That being said, a lot of those previous teams had similar challenges - 2018 UCF had a freshman starter qb, 2020 Ole Miss was coming off prolonged ncaa probation from the Freeze era, 2022 Oklahoma had severe player attrition the preceding off season.
If anything, I am being a little cautious and pessimistic vs. past performance.
Last edited by Walkerhill; 04-06-2024 at 08:44 AM.
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I'm holding out for 6-6. That will be something to build on.
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16-0! A guy can dream right?
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6-6, would be a good start for Lebby.
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6-6 and a semi-exciting offense, and I'll be happy
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Originally Posted by
BuckyIsAB****
Just beat OM
So 1-11 and you'd be happy as long as we beat OM?
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Originally Posted by
BuckyIsAB****
Just beat OM
Horrible take from the 1980s.
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
Horrible take from the 1980s.
Concur, i hate that kind of mindset, and it is way too prevalent in our fan base. Too many of our fans are obsessed with OM.
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Originally Posted by
PMDawg
Horrible take from the 1980s.
How 'bout the 1920's
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I bet we find a way to beat a team we shouldn't.
Arizona State will be a big game for us as far as having a bowl eligible season. Going 4-0 would be helpful.
I feel pretty confident about Arkansas in Starkville. I think we can beat Mizzou in Starkville. I think it's really unlikely that they replicate last season. Florida will be a big game for us as well. Egg Bowl- who knows how that is going to go?
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Originally Posted by
BeardoMSU
So 1-11 and you'd be happy as long as we beat OM?
No id be pissed
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6-6 with an outside shot at 7. I think we'll be better than some think.
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I think 5-7 but 6-6 is attainable
Walk like the King or walk like you don't care who the King is
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