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Thread: A quick Snapshot of our weekend SP's

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  1. #1
    Senior Member Coach34's Avatar
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    A quick Snapshot of our weekend SP's

    They have been outstanding in 11/12 starts.

    Those 11 starts- 45.2 IP/5 ER's- ERA 0.98...67 K's/12 BB's

    1 bad start- 2.1 IP/7 ER's...3 K's/1BB

    Total- 48 IP/12 ER's..70 K's/13 BB's
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    Senior Member BeardoMSU's Avatar
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    Night and day from last year.

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    Senior Member smootness's Avatar
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    While this is definitely reason to be hopeful, we have to acknowledge we have played what must be the weakest schedule in the country so far.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smootness View Post
    While this is definitely reason to be hopeful, we have to acknowledge we have played what must be the weakest schedule in the country so far.
    The main thing to take away is far less walks. And also to mention is fewer infield errors.

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    Senior Member MetEdDawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by smootness View Post
    While this is definitely reason to be hopeful, we have to acknowledge we have played what must be the weakest schedule in the country so far.
    Our SOS is 205. It's not great, but it's no where close to dead last.

    I would have liked to not play a team like Mount St Mary's because they are pretty awful. But it's still much improved by our staff.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MetEdDawg View Post

    I would have liked to not play a team like Mount St Mary's because they are pretty awful.
    Yeah, and they almost no hit us. LOL Luckily, we were able to scratch out a win in that game, thanks mostly to our pitching. So, the point is valid - pitching is improved and does not seem to be our problem this year. Hopefully the bats come around, because, frankly, they have been putrid so far. And that's against some really bad competition. We have a looooong way to go if we hope to hit SEC pitching. USM is going to be interesting to watch this week.

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    Quote Originally Posted by parabrave View Post
    The main thing to take away is far less walks. And also to mention is fewer infield errors.
    That is indeed all you can take away from those stats considering the competition level. We have 4 pretty solid games coming up. Southern Miss has played well so far and so has Evansville who has put up some gaudy numbers averaging double digits in runs and hits. They have scored over 14 runs in 4 of their 9 games coming into today, twice scoring 18 runs.

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    Quote Originally Posted by CaptainObvious View Post
    That is indeed all you can take away from those stats considering the competition level. We have 4 pretty solid games coming up. Southern Miss has played well so far and so has Evansville who has put up some gaudy numbers averaging double digits in runs and hits. They have scored over 14 runs in 4 of their 9 games coming into today, twice scoring 18 runs.
    USM has a brand new team/ They lost alot of last years team.

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    Mississippi Southern has the same record as MSU and is hitting .239 as a team against the likes of Marist, Indiana State, and Missouri State. Not sure i'd call that playing well if you are trying to prop them up above MSU.

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    Yeah, it's pretty good. Our RPI is going to be deflated though with the weak schedule and picking up 4 bad losses already. I doubt we get selected for a Regional unless we can get to .500 in the SEC.

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    Over the last 10 seasons:

    15-15 have been selected for the NCAA Tournament 6 of 9 times
    14-16 have been selected 7 of 10 times
    13-17 have been selected 4 of 10 times

    No 12-18 team or less has been selected, though Alabama did get in in 2021 at 12-17.

    Generally speaking, with 13-15 SEC wins, you need a good RPI to get selected, otherwise you're out. I don't expect us to have a good RPI. People often act like just getting to 13 SEC wins will be enough for us, but I don't think it will, not this year, and definitely not 12 or 11 wins.

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    Senior Member Todd4State's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Quaoarsking View Post
    Yeah, it's pretty good. Our RPI is going to be deflated though with the weak schedule and picking up 4 bad losses already. I doubt we get selected for a Regional unless we can get to .500 in the SEC.
    We will likely get in to the regionals with 12 SEC wins unless we somehow have an overall losing record which is unlikely in a scenario where we win 12 SEC games.

    If we win 13 SEC games we will be a lock.

  13. #13
    Senior Member Todd4State's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Quaoarsking View Post
    Over the last 10 seasons:

    15-15 have been selected for the NCAA Tournament 6 of 9 times
    14-16 have been selected 7 of 10 times
    13-17 have been selected 4 of 10 times

    No 12-18 team or less has been selected, though Alabama did get in in 2021 at 12-17.

    Generally speaking, with 13-15 SEC wins, you need a good RPI to get selected, otherwise you're out. I don't expect us to have a good RPI. People often act like just getting to 13 SEC wins will be enough for us, but I don't think it will, not this year, and definitely not 12 or 11 wins.
    RPI at this time of year if very volatile. It's way too soon to assume our RPI will be bad. I wouldn't start worrying about RPi until week 3 of SEC play. Even then I would take it with a grain of salt until week five of SEC play.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Todd4State View Post
    RPI at this time of year if very volatile. It's way too soon to assume our RPI will be bad. I wouldn't start worrying about RPi until week 3 of SEC play. Even then I would take it with a grain of salt until week five of SEC play.
    I agree with this statement in principle, but I think it's really likely that our RPI is lower than would be generally expected from our conference record, regardless of what that record turns out to be. We've probably played a very soft non-conference schedule and haven't even done that well in it. But we'll see. Austin Peay could turn out to be the best team in the ASUN and not a pair of RPI-killing losses, but I doubt any of the other teams we've played will help us at all.

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    Senior Member TheLostDawg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Quaoarsking View Post
    I agree with this statement in principle, but I think it's really likely that our RPI is lower than would be generally expected from our conference record, regardless of what that record turns out to be. We've probably played a very soft non-conference schedule and haven't even done that well in it. But we'll see. Austin Peay could turn out to be the best team in the ASUN and not a pair of RPI-killing losses, but I doubt any of the other teams we've played will help us at all.
    Or they'll be our long beach state of this year.. or worse

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    Senior Member Todd4State's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MetEdDawg View Post
    Our SOS is 205. It's not great, but it's no where close to dead last.

    I would have liked to not play a team like Mount St Mary's because they are pretty awful. But it's still much improved by our staff.
    They're essentially the equivalent of a SWAC team. It really only hurts if you lose.

  17. #17
    Senior Member Saltydog's Avatar
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    What about Holcombe?
    "The QB and the receiver weren't on the same page there, but hey its only week eleven". (Jack Cristil)

  18. #18
    Senior Member Todd4State's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Saltydog View Post
    What about Holcombe?
    He'll have to figure it out if he wants to pitch. His mechanics are awful right now.

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by Todd4State View Post
    We will likely get in to the regionals with 12 SEC wins unless we somehow have an overall losing record which is unlikely in a scenario where we win 12 SEC games.

    If we win 13 SEC games we will be a lock.
    Guy posts a fact saying that no team has ever gotten a bid at 12-18. Then u just completely ignore said fact and say we likely get in at 12-18, lol. That's a message board for you.

  20. #20
    Senior Member Coach34's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoopsDawg View Post
    Guy posts a fact saying that no team has ever gotten a bid at 12-18. Then u just completely ignore said fact and say we likely get in at 12-18, lol. That's a message board for you.
    Q and I dont agree alot but the guy is good with stats.
    Walk like the King or walk like you don't care who the King is

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