I picture Marie Barone shaking her head as someone talks bad about Raymond...
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Where in this gibberish do you mention "exit velocity" or "piss-rod outs". This is why blind numbers are retarded, watch the damn games. Watch the ball explode off his bat. Team leader in doubles and you all want to bench him for a football player. Unreal.
Since you are one of these statfreaks, surely you understand BABIP. Coming into tonight Hatcher's was .240 on the year. College BABIP runs higher than MLB and Hatcher being more of a line drive ground ball hitter instead of flying out would normally run higher than college average. So we see there the massive impact of bad luck so far seeing as the ball is flying off his bat.
Hatcher 2018 BABIP - .333
Hatcher 2019 BABIP - .402
Hatcher 2020 BABIP - .340
Hatcher 2021 BABIP - .240 (screams unlucky!)
But go one and tell me how 2 extra K's in 5 games is "meaningful". Fool.
Actually his lower BABIP this season is telling us what we see when we chart his hits. Weak contact with a ton of pull contact into the defense and shifts. That is a major point of a decreasing BABIP in a hitter. But to be fair, with BABIP stat, that stat needs to be taken over about 800 balls in play to see a players average. So you also have to consider that his 2019 BABIP was well above what it should have been. What you look at during a single season is how big is a players BABIP difference from his average and what his chart is telling you. Is it a lot more points higher or lower? Is this season a natural adjustment from a season that was anomaly high or vice versa. Then we can start drawing a conclusion that they may have been lucky or unlucky possibly.
When trying to determine if there will be a regression or upward swing you do have to take care that it may not happen during a college or HS season as they just don?t get the enormous plate appearances that you do over 162 games in the majors. Also, that stat is slightly more meaningful for a pitcher vs hitter as the hitter has more control over the outcome vs a pitcher. So the fact his BABIP is so low and coincides with his low AVG. (it?s 3-4 hits difference between the 2), then compare his OPS to that (lowest by far of anyone with at least 50 AB?s on the team, including Debrule, not even .600)...whatever lack of luck you think he is having, it?s minuscule at best. Let?s be generous and say it?s 4-6 hits this season. But that?s over the whole season. Still does not change he has had an increase in K?s which is has impacted his BABIP as well. More strikeouts, higher the BABIP. That is completely on the hitter
He struck out 4 times just this weekend...it was a terrible series overall for him. And he would tell you the same thing.
Man this Hatcher talk is old, I wish it was more about the game than a player. Seems all pitchers did ok (I know it's a Swac team), and we finally hit the ball ok (again I know who we played), LOL.
We didn't hit the ball well until the 6th or so inning which is concerning. That SWAC team held us to one earned run through 5 or so innings with about 3 hits. That isn't what a top 5 team should be doing with a SWAC team. It also wasn't just one pitcher having a career day. They changed pitchers almost every inning just like we did.
I agree, my point was let's move on about the Hatcher slump. Seems this team has a pattern of not getting off to a fast start. We are not going to hit much or score many runs as it looks, lets hope we can continue to pitch well and improve on defense. Allen only hitter in lineup hitting over .300, that is tough.
I agree, I've made my point that you need to watch the games to see the above-average hard contact, ground balls that move the runners, etc and not just look at the stat line. Apologies for calling you fools (except Beardo who is probably watching Captain Marvel for the 100th time). We're a national title contender and are primed for another big sweep this weekend. Hail State.
In SEC play, we only have Rowdey Jordan hitting above 300 (at 333).
We have 5 players below 220 (Tanner, Skinner, Dubrule, Hancock, and Hatcher)
We have 4 players at or below 200 (Skinner, Dubrule, Hancock, and Hatcher)
Mendoza Starters By SEC School (SEC ABs Only)
UK - 5
UT - 4
UF - 4
MO - 4
SC - 4
MS - 4
AR - 3
AU - 3
UA - 3
LS - 3
AM - 2
UG - 1
VU - 0
OM - 0
FYI
300+ Hitters by SEC School (SEC ABs Only)
VU - 4
UM - 3 (Elko included)
UT - 3
AU - 3
TAM - 3
UA - 3
AR - 2
UG - 2
MO - 2
UF - 2
UK - 2
MS - 1
LS - 1
UG - 0
So what you are saying is - in general pitching in the SEC is ahead of hitting, and that hitting right now is a good bit about who you have played so far. Outside of Vandy and OM no one looks like they are outstanding on offense right now.
I'm afraid for us and others in the Sec, things are gonna get tougher with all the competition in the league. I'm a little concerned about this weekend as well as the next 3 series. It's gonna tell us a lot about our team.