Something to watch in the tropics - TD 19 off FL

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Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I'm certainly not an expert but watching the future radar looks like it's heading up through Pascagoula/mobile area. Any of the real experts on here have thoughts on that?

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Still unknown, but as it gets stronger that will pull it more north faster vs drifting west. The new hurricane models both have a landfall closer to the ms/al line.

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Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

Me either. While I don't live on the coast, i don't want to be on the east side of this thing where all the tornadoes and heavy stuff are. Don't need any trees crashing through my house. That happened during Camille and Katrina so I've seen enough of that lol!

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Just saw it, Laura got to West Monroe as a Cat 1 and we were on the east. A couple of houses in the neighborhood has trees on them.

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Originally Posted by ScoobaDawg

Still unknown, but as it gets stronger that will pull it more north faster vs drifting west. The new hurricane models both have a landfall closer to the ms/al line.

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Thanks always appreciate y'all's info!

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Originally Posted by msbulldog

Just saw it, Laura got to West Monroe as a Cat 1 and we were on the east. A couple of houses in the neighborhood has trees on them.

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Yeah it sucks! Hearing those trees snap and the crashing sound is something you never forget!

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Originally Posted by parabrave

Dam checkout the Track Guidance models on Trop Tidbits. every single one is Bama state line eastward. This is the 1600Z run so it's the latest.

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Well prayers for the Bama guys but that’s pretty ideal for MS. The West side of this storm looks not too bad all things considered

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Originally Posted by BeastMan

Well prayers for the Bama guys but that’s pretty ideal for MS. The West side of this storm looks not too bad all things considered

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Got Water still in my yard in Biloxi. I sent SVD a few videos hopefully he can post them if he gets a chance

4pm update it's now cat 2 at 100mph

it's now ingesting some dry air.
It's hard to known when Sally will make her big turn north then ne instead of just wnw. That will determine where the eye lands but more model consensus looks like it will be closer to the ms/al border instead of hancock county. This would also reduce how far inland flooding would occur in MS especially with a weaker west side of the storm.

But still keep a close eye. wherever it lands of course will have the highest surge on the right side of the storm.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Eh57LyyWkAc3e0a.png

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Originally Posted by ScoobaDawg

Here's how you find out. Take your pistol and a deck of cards.
Throw the cards in the air, shot a single card. Whatever that card is...will represent the last number of the wind speed. Now look for the next card you seeing face up.. the very next one. that's the first digit of the speed.
Then look for a Face card. Think Jack - Cat 1, and so on till Ace - Cat 4. If you get the joker card... well it is 2020 and you should just go back inside and know the world is ending.

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Ugh! I missed on my first shot. Will the follow up shot count