Originally Posted by
Johnson85
If I were a governor, I think I'd be opening things up and encouraging social distancing and trying to get as many people as possible to use masks in public, and just shut things down when the healthcare system got overwhelmed. Maybe start off by doing one week relaxed and then one week put the shutdown back in place to see what happens to hospital capacity over the next week. If there is not a noticeable spike, do it for two weeks the next time maybe, until you have an idea of what the spread looks like without mandatory shutdown of anything. Maybe shut down things like conferences, concerts, and other big gatherings because a super spread event their can quickly overwhelm the healthcare system.
But again, that's based on the assumption that we don't have the ability to ramp up capacity for contact tracing and testing at this point. Some of the states that have relatively little spread might be able to do contact tracing and it might make sense for them to stay locked down if they think they can have adequate testing in a couple of weeks.