That's true, but you have to assume each death tally ended on the ventilator (aside from a minority that are do not resuscitate), and in Italy's case that number is very significant.
Printable View
I think a great sample population is the Diamond Princess cruise ship. We actually have both a numerator and a denominator in a confined population. There were about 3700 people on board that ship in a confined area for multiple weeks. All were tested (to my knowledge). Of those 3700, 712 contracted the virus and of those 712: 9 have died, 527 have recovered, and 14 are in critical condition. This complete sample population currently indicates a death rate if 1.2%. That could, of course, be adjusted depending on what happens with the remaining 177 cases. This also does not address underlying health conditions or approximate age.
Cruise ship population does not equate to general population. The most accurate estimates we have right now are not good. Most people still have no clue what they're about to witness across America.
Bless your heart. By the way, MS has 2100 ventilators on the way. Masks on the way too but those are harder to get because NY, LA etc. get priority. Basically it's a numbers game via population.
Health Dept can handle 200 tests per day currently. The new fast track testing is about to take off.
For sure. Just found out a nephew and cousin could have symptoms and my sister has to quarantine. And my next door neighbor nurse(yep, pharmacist on one side and nurse on the other) told me a doctor at the hospital here in little rural south Alabama is pretty sure he’s seen cases with it but couldn’t test and sent em home.
Mass testing is not as important now as it would have been weeks to months ago. Its widespread and in an alarming number of asymptomatic people now. People with symptoms that aren't sick enough to go to the hospital probably need to just self quarantine at this point. There are no validated treatments so a visit to a doctor and getting a confirmatory test are not necessary and just put yourself and others at risk.
The problem is we haven't contained a large majority of the population. There are way too many people not taking the restrictions serious. We are relying on citizens good judgement in a time when a large percentage of our people don't possess that asset.
Another thing you guys arguing numbers need to understand. Because we have a larger population than Italy doesn't mean we have a smaller percentage infected. It means it will take longer to spread and infect since we are much larger in side and population.
And if you are discounting the affect on football season in the fall, you are much less concerned than the people who know the most about this disease.
And the oil situation is not a hoax. There is no current shortage and won't be a shortage. But there could be a delay in supply at some point due to logistics and those available to work. Just a possibility that I would prepare for if easy.
First of all, what are you even suggesting a bet on? All that type of comment really proves is you are here to be able to try and tell someone ?I told you so? and to troll. Go **** yourself.
Second of all, I?ve done nothing but question certain stats and graphics that have been posted (like the one I was commenting about that you quoted). I consider that doing my due diligence and not lapping up every single thing I read. Especially considering the amount of misinformation that is out there and some of which has undoubtedly been posted in this thread as things develop. You won?t find anywhere that I?ve said all of this is a big nothing burger and not something to be concerned with. All I?ve done is asked people to verify stats or comments or called out pure speculation.
There is no one that knows anything factual about what?s to come and it?s still entirely too early for the US to call any sort of shot. Pretending like you can is purely speculative.
... it's not pure speculation. It's called math and viewing exponential trends. We went from 1k to 10k in less than 10 days. It's pretty spot on to think 100k is attainable in the next 10 days. This thing is spreading at an alarmingly exponential rate and our testing is only broadening to more cases. It's not even speculation it's "doing your due dilligence" and understanding trends.
It is NOT pure speculation.
Highly likely that people saying negative things about our country's response to the Chinese virus get their news from certain specific news outlets that are 24/7 critical of this President and his administration. I think he's done a fine job and to be honest I'm surprised we've been able to get anything done since literally everything the man wants to do is uniformly challenged by every democrat at all levels of government. I've never seen one side so out to get someone else in my life.