Make plans now for potential impassable roads and power outages. Thoughts and prayers to grocery store workers this weekend.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuBt-LaXUAY8em3.jpg
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Make plans now for potential impassable roads and power outages. Thoughts and prayers to grocery store workers this weekend.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuBt-LaXUAY8em3.jpg
Is it going up into north Mississippi also?
We are loooong overdue for one of these. Bundle up and stay safe yall.
Martian,
Yes, it will be for north MS, too.
Johnson,
At least through Wednesday when it may get above freezing and rain. However, there's some hints Wednesday may be below freezing and we get another ice storm which may be bigger than the one for Monday. It just too early to know now exactly how cold it will be.
Supposed to be the entire state with the exception of southern Harrison and Jackson cts. And next wknd looking rough also.
https://i.postimg.cc/XYnnv4cw/ADABAE...B503-F4001.png
This will be on top of the ice we still have in N MS from Wed PM & Thurs AM.
Is it just me or has weather forecasting gotten less reliable as the years go by? A day or so ago a few models were predicting up to a foot of snow in the delta.
Predicting measurable snow in the south is normally a crap shoot because the ground is usually too warm and the snow and sleet melt from below quickly. But with this pattern the ground is going to be pretty much frozen when the moisture arrives making for a spread of 1-8 inches depending on air temps. Gonna be a dry snow at temps in the low 20?s and teens. Heck, they are saying freezing rain at temps in the teens. That has to be a very shallow column of Air temps in the teens for it to stay as rain all the way to the ground.
Those are individual model runs and they change every time they update and different models can say different things. Nailing winter storms in the south is next to impossible even 3 days out due to all the nuances that go into it. One little small tweak can change everything.
Honestly, I think the opposite. The models have come such a long way. Snowstorms can be tricky but man it?s amazing to see them work during hurricane season.
Let's hope the upcoming ice storm isn't as bad as this one (which was mostly sleet, not freezing rain): https://www.al.com/news/huntsville/2...orth_alab.html
How screwed is everyone trying to get to Dallas for the baseball tournament?
Might wanna go ahead and get you a weekend subscription and watch it at home
Travel is looking dicey now on Wednesday Thursday if if another system comes right behind it
Now have light freezing rain in Starkvegas.
I'm doubtful they're going to start that tournament on time. They've now revised the forecast here (DFW) to not get above freezing until Saturday. And the field may be covered in snow until then.
Thanks for posting this........I was still in HS and living in NE MS at the time and we were in the eye of that storm......Where I lived, it was MUCH worse than the ice storm of '94.......We missed school for over a week......
Well, unfortunately my wife has to work Monday all day. Essential worker so there's no calling in. I'll driver her and pick her up Monday night at 7:00 pm but I'm really dreading it. Gotta drive from Collins to Hattiesburg and back.
StarkVegas and other Wx gurus. The UKMET is INSISTING on a yuge snow storm. Should we value what its saying or disregard as an outlier?
The next incoming storm on wed/http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?w0=t&w1=td&w2=wc&w3=sfcwind&w4=sky&w5 =pop&w6=rh&w7=rain&w8=thunder&w9=snow&w10=fzg&w11= sleet&AheadHour=0&&FcstType=digital&textField1=30. 4869&textField2=-89.0587&site=lixthrus is going to be another one to watch for.
Not sure where you live but from what I'm reading, this thing is all over the place. WTVA in Tupelo shows anywhere from 5-8 inches of snow and ice and the NWS is saying one inch. That's a huge difference.
Highway 82 in the Indianola area here. Any thoughts on what we may see? I just got a notice which changed forecast from Winter storm watch to Warning. Any thoughts what we are looking at in this area?
I just got an alert for west central Mississippi and Monday with 6-8" of snow. Please tell me that's wrong!
I?m not a weather expert but I took some classes at state. It?s my understanding the further East the low tracks the more snow for MS and if it tracks further west it would be more rain or ice. I?m paying attention to this because in Southwest PA we are on the snow/ ice line. If it tracks east MS and my area get snow. If it tracks west are looking at an awful ice storm
My question is will I have to work Monday in Arlington driving from my home in Covington...
As we draw nearer to the event I wish I could say the models were all coming into agreement on what to expect, but that's just not the case. As is often the case, they are struggling mightily to figure out the depth of the cold air. That's why some are calling for a major ice storm, some a major snow storm, and some in the middle.
Here are my $0.02.
It will be unholy balls cold...this isn't the technical term for it, but adequately describes the situation. Places north and west of the Natchez Trace will see lows in the mid single digits and sub zero wind chills. Highs may struggle to reach 20. East of the Trace lows will still hit the low teens and stay in the upper 20's for highs. Wind chills will approach zero. What is unknown is how deep this layer of cold air will be. Work models are indicating it will only be a couple thousand feet deep which will allow for more freezing rain... especially points east. Areas more towards the delta may see more of a sleet/snow mix and less freezing rain. However, recent trends have pushed the area of more substantial snow to cover more of the state and the heaviest freezing rain into AL. Just have to see how it plays out. Somewhere, a corridor of significant freezing rain is going to set up. Currently, that looks to be along and near the Trace where amounts ranging from 1/4" - 3/4" could be common with locally higher amounts. I don't have to tell you that will lead to impassable roads and widespread power outages. Snow/sleet accumulations in this area could reach 1-3". West of this line where it is more snow and sleet you could see snow/sleet accumulations in the range of 5-9" with higher amounts possible. Again, though...recent trends are trying to slide this all further east and if that happens you could see 4-8" snow/sleet into the golden triangle and the heaviest ice more from a Meridian to Gordo, AL, line. There's just no way to know right now where that will set up. Regardless, these temps will allow for maximum accumulation and ice accretion. Even an inch or two of snow/sleet and 0.1" of ice will turn roads into skating rinks. I would advise if you live north of Jackson to restrict travel Monday to only emergency or absolute necessity in nature. Ice covered roads, falling limbs and power lines will make travel extremely treacherous. This is shaping up to be a potential high impact event. If you still need to get out to get supplies I'd try to make that happen by noon tomorrow. Batteries, water, meds, candles, foods that don't need to be heated, charcoal, etc. Make the elderly you know are aware of what's possible and are prepared. The hardest hit areas, particularly with ice, may be a few days without power. Have your vehicles full of gas so you can use it to charge your phones. Don't do anything stupid like having generators indoors pumping out carbon monoxide. If you do use your car to charge your phone and the engine has to be running, make sure your garage door is at least open some to allow ventilation.
Oh, and keep an eye on next Wednesday. We may be doing all this over again then. Temps may be barely warm enough by then to mix in some rain, but that remains to be seen.
You the man. Good info.
Bring your pets inside too.
SVD, thanks for everything you do. Your info is invaluable.