Impactful Weather Starting Tonight

A late season hard freeze is expected tonight and especially into Monday night. Temps tonight into Sunday morning will be in the mid to upper 20's for the Starkville area and into the lower 20's Sunday night into Monday morning. Thereafter temps start to moderate as a storm system approaches the area Friday. While deep layer shear looks to be in place there are some timing differences among the models which will affect the level of moisture return. That said, a severe weather event is possible sometime next weekend so wanted to give a heads up. Still plenty of time to watch and see how this system comes together. No threat area has been highlighted for us by the SPC yet, but in their morning update they did say:

Severe-weather potential will likely persist, and potentially increase, into Day 7/Friday across the ArkLaTex and Lower Mississippi Valley. While guidance variability precludes a specific areal delineation at this time, severe storms appear probable across these general regions and risk areas will likely subsequently be warranted.



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After what must have been the mildest winter ever in the eastern part of the country, and an early spring, temps in the lower 20s will be tough on vegetation that's come out early.

I remember a few years ago we had a similar situation but it was in mid-late April, and it killed a lot of mature trees.

Jackson NWS saying they expect the SPC to issue a threat outlook for Friday. GFS continuing to show another severe threat that Sunday. All remains to be seen.