https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTYq5WffQCQ
I tend to agree with this assessment!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTYq5WffQCQ
I tend to agree with this assessment!
I think it's Florida. We can beat AZ State and still end up 4-8 but if we beat Florida, there is a chance for 6-6 because if you beat Florida, you should be 4-0 non conference and should have a better than even shot at UPIG.
AZ State is important, but I agree that it's Florida. I think the most important 3 game stretch is A&M, Arky, UMass. We get through that stretch 3-0 you set your self up for a bowl game.
Win 4 noncon
Win 2 of Florida, ark, Aggie
That's your path to 6.
But that is an uphill climb. I have zero expectations of it.
Florida will be a statement game. It will show Lebby is the better coach with the better offense. It will be the nail in the coaching coffin for Sunbelt Billy. And yes, I'm dying on this hill.
Florida and Mizzo.
Ummm how about the 1st one. Then you take the next one then well you get the idea!
Other than the Big Dogs, this is one of the most manageable schedules in quite some time for State. It is most unfortunate that we have a Roster in flux and are transitioning to a new offense and defense in such a manageable schedule. The 2022 team with this schedule would be looking at 9-3 regular season. Unfortunately we have most of the 2023 team and a few new faces that are new to SEC football.
This is a season where we just have to go one game at a time and hope for the best. This could be a team that wins @Tennesee but loses to Toledo because of all the unknowns. Besides UGA and Texas on the road which basically is a 1 percent chance we win and Eastern KY and UMass about a 1 percent chance we lose the other 8 games will all be very interesting and probably fall between 25 percent and 75 percent, hence the reason I am picking 6-6
There are people out there saying Mizzou will be better this year than lastQuote:
Originally Posted by TALL DAWG
I havent done my usual deep dive into teams. The portal has killed any interest in that for me
I think we probably lose to Texas, but our chances are a lot higher than 1%. Texas is a joke program that loses a game or 2 to teams like us almost every year.Quote:
Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG
We have five top 12 teams on the schedule.Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainObvious
4 on the road.
1 at home.
We have the second rates toughest schedule in the country.
Nothing about it is manageable.
That was before Sark. They had bad coaching for awhile after Mack Brown was fired. They will be in the upper echelon of the conference most years now as long as Sark stays. It will be UGA, Bama, Texas and then LSU, OU and possibly Tenn making an occasional appearance. ATM and Auburn are going to have trouble in my opinion keeping up with those 6. Then you may have any other team outside Vandy have a random strong year like OM State Mizzou or UF but I think those will be fewer and further between with NIL, portal etcQuote:
Originally Posted by Quaoarsking
i have to agree with PGH i think 6-6 is it!
Sure it would be with Leach's last team. But Keenum kicked the can down the road by going the easy route last year promoting a Defensive Coordinstor to manage a team built to throw and throw and throw and then throw some more. Then the team quit and the coach quit in them.Quote:
Originally Posted by confucius say
Losing the RB Schrader is going to be a bigger loss than most are anticipating it will be. He opened up a lot in their passing game. They, like OM, were also elite in one score games. That will return back to the mean this year. They'll be good but to expect them to be 11-2 is not feasible. They may only win one conference road game. That only gives them 3 losses.Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach34
I'm surprised no one mentions ole miss. That will be a 1 score game. Can go either way. They had one of their best teams this year and struggled bad against one of our worst teams ever. We will be playing them for a chance to get to 6 or 7 wins.
I'd take that right now. Anything above 6-6 and lebby should be coach of the year.Quote:
Originally Posted by 99jc
I mean ... maybe? They were good in 2023, but they dropped 2 games to teams who finished unranked in 2022 and 3 in 2021 (including 2-10 Kansas at home).Quote:
Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG
They were "back" when Tom Herman led them to a top 10 finish in 2018, and then it was "same ol' Texas" for 4 years under both Herman and Sark, and now they had another peak year. Maybe they'll sustain this for a while, maybe it's back to "same ol' Texas" again. Probably somewhere in the middle. I don't think they'll ever consistently be on the tier with Alabama and Georgia, especially now that they'll be playing SEC teams every week.
Anything can happen in an Egg Bowl. But for anything to happen it would help to have some confidence built up from beating Florida, Arkansas and winning our OOC games. That would make us bowl eligible going into the Egg Bowl.Quote:
Originally Posted by DownwardDawg
So I would have to say that Florida is our biggest game. Because Ole Miss can't be our biggest game without winning some of the others. If that makes sense.
Honestly though- if we lose those 4 on the road at least most of our swing games are in Starkville. That's a good thing.Quote:
Originally Posted by confucius say
Makes perfect sense.Quote:
Originally Posted by Todd4State
Arkansas is so bad we beat them last year. They lost their star QB and we upgraded. I think we win that.
Win the OOC games (which we always should), beat FL and we are off to the races. With the portal many teams have a quick rebuild to mesh into a team in just a few weeks, not just us. Hail State with a 6-6 floor and 7-5 would be great!
Jefferson didn?t exactly play like a star last year though to be fair.Quote:
Originally Posted by Brobi-wan
That game was so ugly anything has to be better this season lol
It's Florida because it's at home and Sun Belt Billy is about to get run off from there. He literally might get fired if he loses to us and Scott Stricklin probably does too
Would be glorious to see Stricklin fired. I mean that in the most Christian way possible.Quote:
Originally Posted by KOdawg1
go on with your bad self, HeHe.Quote:
Originally Posted by DownwardDawg
For those thinking upset in the Egg Bowl- Vegas has Mississippi at -19 right now
Awesome. LolQuote:
Originally Posted by Coach34
If you're a betting man jump all over that.
I would not bet the house on the -19 as a lot of things can happen between now and Black Friday.
If you think we have only a 1% chance to lose to either EKU or Toledo, then you haven't been watching MSU athletic teams, especially football, for very long. "Remember (the) Maine?"Quote:
Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG
They lost their all world RB.
You win those 3 you are setting up for a 7 minimum . 8 with a win against Dixie.Quote:
Originally Posted by StarkVegasSteve
We very well can start 4-0. What is concerning is how we handle UT, UGA, and TAM over 4 weeks. At best we beat TAMU to cap off 3 weeks. That buy week does us no favors likely.
We haven't lost to OM by 19 or more since the end of the Croom Error.Quote:
Originally Posted by TALL DAWG
And yet, we've beaten them 3x by more than 20 since then.
They beat us by 10 with their best team in history against our worst team since 2008. They aren’t going to beat us by 20Quote:
Originally Posted by BrunswickDawg
On which side, inquiring minds want to know. I quit betting many years ago when I realized what I was betting on.Quote:
Originally Posted by DownwardDawg