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Before the season, I was hoping for 3-6 at this point; we're a game better, so I'm happy. These next 3 weeks though, it's time to win some series. Georgia, at OM, and Auburn needs to be a 6-3 stretch. If we pull that off, we're sitting at 10-8, and we'd be in a great position to even make a run at hosting. Couple missed opportunities this weekend, but hopefully dohm is back soon and that deepens our staff
Agree completely. We have had a little adversity this weekend time to make hay.
We lose close games. 1-6 in one-run games. Can't finish.
If that trend continues, there will be no postseason.
That is brutal. We cannot navigate the conference schedule with even a modicum of success with no semblance of a closer. And it is not like Parker can walk in practice today, point his finger at someone on the staff and say "You are the closer. Go make it work." I just do not think that guy is presently on the pitching staff. Maybe it is like some here have pointed out and it is going to require three different guys on the bump in the 9th. And if Dohm does not take the mound at all in some capacity this weekend I am hesitant to believe he takes it again period. Fingers crossed.Quote:
Originally Posted by MaroonFlounder
I don't think being 1-6 in 1-run games is predictive of the future. I think it's just as likely they go 6-1 in the next 7 as 1-6
It's time to stack some wins. I agree. Just have to find a closer. This stretch will go a long way to determining how we finish. Go 7-2 the next three weeks and that puts us pretty close to the bubble without having played Mizzou.
If we go 4-5 or worse we're going to have a lot of work to do although hosting would be really tough to see unless we get hot the last four weeks.
Beat Georgia 2/3
Beat Mississippi 2/3
Beat Auburn 2/3
Stand at 10-8 heading into Candy then Bama- come out 3-3 there and we are at 13-11.
@UPig have to get 1. Finish home vs Mizzou at 14-13. Sweep them to finish 17-13 and a likely host weekend
Big 3 weekends ahead. Really need that 6-3
Forsythe should be given more innings. I think he or Hardin could possibly be the closer
This is my prediction. 16-14 on the hosting bubble but end up a 2 seed. Unless we make a run in sec tourney.Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach34
Beat Georgia 2/3
Beat Mississippi 2/3
Beat Auburn 3/3
Arky 0/3
Vandy 1/3
Bama 2/3
Missouri 2/3
Being 1-6 in one-run games doesn't mean our "closers" have blown 6 games.Quote:
Originally Posted by MaroonFlounder
One of those is the 9-8 LSU loss where we came back from down 9-1, and the pitching staff didn't allow a run the last 6 innings. Another one is the AP 3-2 loss. We didn't give up a run for the last 6 innings.
Actual blown saves are more like 4, with 2 of them from this past weekend on the road. It's a concern that we don't have a closer, but the guys we have need to execute better. The moment seemed too big for some of the guys. Hopefully, they can get some mental toughness and be ready to compete the next time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bulldogcountry1
Did I say that losing close games was only a pitching thing? No, I didn't.
That 2-word sentence: "Can't Finish" doesn't just apply to relief pitching. It also pertains to hitting/scoring runs.
Have to take that @ss whooping from Central Arkansas first.Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach34
LOLQuote:
Originally Posted by Leeshouldveflanked
Need to find some 1A high school teams with some open Wednesdays.
Are these mid week losses going to hurt our post season chances? They are sure worrisome to me.
Yes, if regular season record is not at least 14-16. May be forced to win a couple games in the SEC tournament.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ranchdawg
Yeah I think we have to have at least 14 wins.Quote:
Originally Posted by MaroonFlounder
Absolutely. It could be the difference in hosting or being a two seed and it could be the difference of being on the right side of the bubble or not.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ranchdawg
With our OOC losses and RPI I don't even feel real comfortable at 14-16. I think ww need to be at least 15-15 to feel at ease about making the post-season.Quote:
Originally Posted by Commercecomet24
I may not feel comfortable at 14-16 but I think our chances of getting in would be better than 50 percent especially if we win the rest of our non conference games.Quote:
Originally Posted by maroonmania
Anything 14 wins and above will get us in based on the sec this year.Quote:
Originally Posted by State82
Yup. I see us getting to 16 and on the hosting bubbleQuote:
Originally Posted by Commercecomet24
I'm cautiously optimistic. If we can start closing games out(like last night), I think we can make a good run.Quote:
Originally Posted by preachermatt83
We need Davis to get his confidence back in a big way.Quote:
Originally Posted by Commercecomet24
Yeah we need him bad. We need to the leftys to perform.Quote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
Unlikely we host at 17-13.
Remember 2014, when we went 18-12 and didn't host with an RPI in the mid-20s. I doubt our RPI is any better this year at 17-13 or 18-12.
If we go 17-13, our rpi would be much higher than it is today.Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaoarsking
Doubt it. WN currently "projects" us as 14-16 and RPI of 52. 3 more wins may get us into the high 30s, but I doubt it would get us into the top 20 or so necessarily to host.Quote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
Note: I don't put a lot of stock into what WN projects, but I do think it does a pretty good job of correlating record and RPI. So if we end up 14-16 I would expect an RPI around 50, and barely making a Regional if we do at all.
How many teams have made the tournament with an RPI of 50+ these past few years? I thought high 40s was the end of where you have a chance but I've ever looked into it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Quaoarsking
We've played good enough to where 15-15 is obviously possible, but it would sure be nice if 14-16 was good enough...
If we win 17 in the current sec, we will host
LSU went 17-13 in 2022 and didn't host. And their RPI was in the top 20.Quote:
Originally Posted by preachermatt83
ETA: Also, Arkansas went 18-12 and didn't host, also with a top 20 RPI.
For sure 15-15 would be best but at 14-16 with the way the sec is this year that likely puts in the top half of the sec and I just don't see anyway they leave a top 7 sec team at home.Quote:
Originally Posted by maroonmania