I may be wrong but the last time I remember a High Risk day for northern Mississippi/Louisina/Alabama was April 30, 2011.
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I'm in the middle of the big old red area in W. Monroe.
If any updates, please post
Please don't be that guy right now. Yes you can tell them to goto Twitter, their local TV station or other things but.. Some people come to here to read what is combined together and easy to read. I plan to be following the storms tomorrow from home (since slick doesn't wanna chase) and will see what the spc and others have to say in the morning. Gonna be a long day so I'm passing out before the next spc and models come out.
Last thing. Some very disturbing hrrr models coming out tonight for Louisiana and the state line. All those bright storms are severe and will be in an environment favorable to torandoes.
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Moderate risk area has expanded and slightly shifted.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D4Blk0wW...jpg&name=large
New SPC update comes out around 8 this morning. Will be an interesting release to see what they think.
Saw a tweet from one about an hour ago saying they were discussing high risk for the overnight update but decided against it as still too many potential failure modes, but then added it looks like a solid mid day with a chance to over perform. If they go high I'm betting not until the 11:30 update.
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HRRR. High Resolution Rapid Refresh. Its a numerical weather prediction ran by NOAA every hour for 18 hour forecasts. This was one from late last night. NOAA folks and storm chasers said they don't recall ever seeing one like this in recent memory. Advised that all the forecast tracked cells seen are all capable of strong long track rotation. What say you weather dawgs?
Woke up to basically an electrical storm. Really bad lightening.
If anyone wants to read the discussion from the SPC here's the link. New update is not quite out yet:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Tried to reply last night but Cspire has s tower crash.
There's always similarities between events but 2011 was a generational level event. This is more an annual high end event. Anybody trying to compare today to 2011 is trying to drum up fear for click bait. Will there be a lot of tornadoes today? More than likely. Will there be some violent long tracked ones? Very well could be. Will this be like 2011? Not a chance in hell.
New update out. No high risk but still the moderate. Current thinking seems to remain the same.