Why aren't we going to win 8 games again next year?

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01-03-2019, 04:32 PM
Bothrops

We had a couple of TE's recruited last year. I read one is playing baseball, and I don't know if the other is still here.
01-03-2019, 04:33 PM
Tbonewannabe

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

Y'all will get a laugh from this but SDS predicts we go 9-3 or 10-2 next year.

That would definitely buck the trend. We typically take a step back in odd years due to having more toss up games on the road. The record usually goes like this:

Bama - home loss
LSU - home loss
AU - road loss
UK - home win
UM - road toss up - leans toward win currently
Ark - road toss up - leans toward win currently
A&M - road toss up
East opponent - road toss up (UT might be a slight lean toward win)

So if you split the toss ups then that puts us at 7-5. As long as UM, Ark, and UT don't greatly improve, 8-4 is a good bet. A&M and AU will have to probably be upsets.
01-03-2019, 04:37 PM
Commercecomet24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tbonewannabe

That would definitely buck the trend. We typically take a step back in odd years due to having more toss up games on the road. The record usually goes like this:

Bama - home loss
LSU - home loss
AU - road loss
UK - home win
UM - road toss up - leans toward win currently
Ark - road toss up - leans toward win currently
A&M - road toss up
East opponent - road toss up (UT might be a slight lean toward win)

So if you split the toss ups then that puts us at 7-5. As long as UM, Ark, and UT don't greatly improve, 8-4 is a good bet. A&M and AU will have to probably be upsets.

I thought it was extremely ambitious especially coming from sds. I think 8-4 is doable.
01-03-2019, 04:37 PM
msstate7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

Y'all will get a laugh from this but SDS predicts we go 9-3 or 10-2 next year.

If we do that, I'll get Moorhead's ugly mug tatted on my arm and never criticize anything he does. That would be an urban Meyer/nick saban type of coaching job
01-03-2019, 04:38 PM
Scared_Hitless

So what happens if KT is legit? Would that change anyone's tune?
01-03-2019, 04:39 PM
Tbonewannabe

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I thought it was extremely ambitious especially coming from sds. I think 8-4 is doable.

Hard to say we will beat A&M and AU on the road. A&M is also going to pull in a top 5 recruiting class. I think the sleeping giant might have been woken up. I could see A&M start battling Bama for top in the West after another couple years recruiting like that.
01-03-2019, 04:40 PM
Tbonewannabe

Quote:

Originally Posted by msstate7

If we do that, I'll get Moorhead's ugly mug tatted on my arm and never criticize anything he does. That would be an urban Meyer/nick saban type of coaching job

Someone sticky this to the top of the board. I will throw in $10 on the tat. LOL
01-03-2019, 04:42 PM
msstate7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scared_Hitless

So what happens if KT is legit? Would that change anyone's tune?

I'm more worried about LOS play on both sides than QB TBH
01-03-2019, 04:42 PM
Commercecomet24

Quote:

Originally Posted by msstate7

If we do that, I'll get Moorhead's ugly mug tatted on my arm and never criticize anything he does. That would be an urban Meyer/nick saban type of coaching job

I think I would join you in that and I'm an optimist and I don't see 9-10 wins. I could see 8-4 and winning a bowl game to get to 9 but they saying 9-3 or 10-2,.
01-03-2019, 04:44 PM
Commercecomet24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tbonewannabe

Hard to say we will beat A&M and AU on the road. A&M is also going to pull in a top 5 recruiting class. I think the sleeping giant might have been woken up. I could see A&M start battling Bama for top in the West after another couple years recruiting like that.

I could really see anywhere from 6-8 wins, but I'm going 8-4.
01-03-2019, 04:45 PM
MarketingBully

Quote:

Originally Posted by msstate7

If we do that, I'll get Moorhead's ugly mug tatted on my arm and never criticize anything he does. That would be an urban Meyer/nick saban type of coaching job

I think 9-3 or 10-2 is more likely then the idiots predicting 3-5 wins. But we shall see. And btw, I’m not going to hold you to this ridiculous wager if we do win 9 or 10 games next year.
01-03-2019, 04:47 PM
Tbonewannabe

Quote:

Originally Posted by MarketingBully

I think 9-3 or 10-2 is more likely then the idiots predicting 3-5 wins. But we shall see. And btw, I’m not going to hold you to this ridiculous wager if we do win 9 or 10 games next year.

There would have to be an offsetting bet. Don't know about you but I don't want a Mullen tattoo on my butt reminding me to strain.
01-03-2019, 04:48 PM
msstate7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tbonewannabe

There would have to be an offsetting bet. Don't know about you but I don't want a Mullen tattoo on my butt reminding me to strain.

Market would have to get his least favorite person in the world, fitz
01-03-2019, 04:58 PM
dawgday166

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

Y'all will get a laugh from this but SDS predicts we go 9-3 or 10-2 next year.

LMAO ... Whatever they smoking that must be some good shit ****
01-03-2019, 05:05 PM
BrunswickDawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tbonewannabe

Someone sticky this to the top of the board. I will throw in $10 on the tat. LOL

I'll throw $10 in on that.
01-03-2019, 05:08 PM
dawgday166

Quote:

Originally Posted by BrunswickDawg

I'll throw $10 in on that.

Same here. I would love to contribute $10 to the cause for a 9-3 or 10-2 season next year.
01-03-2019, 05:16 PM
BuckyIsAB****

Quote:

Originally Posted by mparkerfd20

Bama, LSU, Auburn, Texas A&M, and TN/KY that's why. We will lose to the first 4 for sure and 1 of TN or KY.

Everybody back on the A&M train again. Youll be off again by late october next year
01-03-2019, 05:33 PM
Pit Bull

Quote:

Originally Posted by MetEdDawg

Just went through the schedule. Louisiana Lafayette and Abilene Christian are wins.

Southern Miss and Kansas State are both at home.

OM and Kentucky both at home.

Tennessee and Arkansas on the road. Arkansas worse than us for sure no matter who is at QB and Tennessee might be the toughest game out of all of those and they missed a bowl game this year.

At no point ever should we go less than 7-5. Even if we mess up, Auburn at home is going to give us a fairly decent chance to win because they don't have a QB.

Next years schedule all things considered is extremely favorable for an odd year. Plus the Tennessee game is after a bye week for us. They play Georgia the week before.

If we go 6-6 bye bye Joe. But I don't see why 8-4 isn't even a possibility being mentioned by some. Offense can't get worse so it has to get better. Defense will still be Top 30. Still very solid.

Guarantee you....we will lose one of the first four games.....and it probably wont be KY. Don't know why but I can feel it. Bad vibes must be risin' from dead injun' mounds
01-03-2019, 05:41 PM
mparkerfd20

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quaoarsking

I mean, it would be preferable, yes. He did state it pretty definitively and then didn't back it up.

This doesn't prove we'll win 8, but we get to play the 3 clear worst teams from 2018 (Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Tennessee) next year, and none appears likely to improve much if at all.

Kentucky is likely to take a big step back after losing Snell, Allen, and their QB, and they were likely overachieving (unlike us) this season anyway.

Auburn and Texas A&M will be tough on the road, but we did beat them this year deservedly and non-flukily, so I'm not counting us out.

Like I said, we may or may not win 8, but the above facts suggest that the naysayers are probably underrating our chances.

OK. Auburn and Texas A&M are on the road. We didn't fair well on the road this year against teams with a pulse and both of those teams should be improved next year. I don't think we win either of them and definitely wouldn't count them as WINS. At best they are toss-ups with a 80/20 loss percentage potential. Bama is a loss. LSU at home is a toss-up at best. We've beaten them 2 times in the last 18 years. Granted 2 were in the last 5, but it's another 60-40 loss percentage potential. Texas A&M only got better as the season progressed and should be better next year in year 2 of Jimbo ball. UT on the road will be tough after playing on the road at Auburn. I think we lose 2 of UT/KY/A&M/Arkansas. Add in Bama, LSU, Auburn. I think 5 wins is the floor and 7 is the ceiling. I hope I'm wrong like everyone else, but anyone predicting 8+ at this point is too optimistic.

Louisiana - WIN
Southern Miss - WIN
Kansas State - WIN
Kentucky - Toss-up
@Auburn - LOSS
@UT - Toss-up
LSU - LOSS
@TAM - LOSS
@ARK - WIN
ALA - LOSS
ABILENE - WIN
OM - WIN
01-03-2019, 05:58 PM
Tbonewannabe

Quote:

Originally Posted by mparkerfd20

OK. Auburn and Texas A&M are on the road. We didn't fair well on the road this year against teams with a pulse and both of those teams should be improved next year. I don't think we win either of them and definitely wouldn't count them as WINS. At best they are toss-ups with a 80/20 loss percentage potential. Bama is a loss. LSU at home is a toss-up at best. We've beaten them 2 times in the last 18 years. Granted 2 were in the last 5, but it's another 60-40 loss percentage potential. Texas A&M only got better as the season progressed and should be better next year in year 2 of Jimbo ball. UT on the road will be tough after playing on the road at Auburn. I think we lose 2 of UT/KY/A&M/Arkansas. Add in Bama, LSU, Auburn. I think 5 wins is the floor and 7 is the ceiling. I hope I'm wrong like everyone else, but anyone predicting 8+ at this point is too optimistic.

Louisiana - WIN
Southern Miss - WIN
Kansas State - WIN
Kentucky - Toss-up
@Auburn - LOSS
@UT - Toss-up
LSU - LOSS
@TAM - LOSS
@ARK - WIN
ALA - LOSS
ABILENE - WIN
OM - WIN

I think UK at home is a win. They were very senior heavy and Allen and Snell are gone to the NFL. Their offense revolved around Snell so I think they take a step back.

I think UT is a toss up due to it being on the road. It is hard to win on the road in the SEC but UT wasn't very good although they had their moments.

That puts us at either 7-5 or 8-4. Anything above 8 wins is total gravy and unexpected in my eyes.

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