I wouldn't doubt there are millions already with it. The rate celebs and sports players are testing positive all across the country without symptoms is kind of comical.
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I wouldn't doubt there are millions already with it. The rate celebs and sports players are testing positive all across the country without symptoms is kind of comical.
We tested around 35,000 people yesterday. A week ago we were testing about 5,000 per day. This is a good thing.
One thing to keep in mind as our testing capacity increases: the growth in the number of positive cases is not 100% indicative of the spread of the virus. It's a function of both the spread of the virus AND the increase in tests. I think the numbers will still be sobering though.
We do seem to be doing much better on our death rate than Italy, Spain, etc. It remains to be seen if that % will start to go up as the medical system gets stressed.
I have also noticed a favorable trend in US death rate stat compared to others. I hope and pray it is significant, but I know it is early.
Germany has 20K infections but very few deaths
https://www.ft.com/content/c0755b30-...d-da70cff6e4d3
They are testing 160K per day that’s x10 what South Korea did
Other interesting discovery in Germany is that their infected are much younger than Italy
Other personal thought is that if you survived Hitler, WW2, and Russian occupation as a baby - you are probably too tough to kill by a damn chinese cold
Speculation - the forming of a theory or conjecture without firm evidence.
Yes TRENDS can be derived and predicted but they are still not always true. That number is certainly attainable. I don?t disagree but to act like it?s a guarantee and there is firm evidence to use this early is actually... speculating.
They may NOT be pure facts either. You are speculating just like I?m speculating. See how that works. But I damn sum at not claiming shit that can?t be proven right this second.
It?s a guess. There are too many variables for some of the numbers to not be off.
Well, sure. But Italy's population doesn't equate to the USA's or Germany's or us to theirs. What you do have with the cruise ship is a closed, controlled population that tracks spread and mortality rate within that controlled population. You will never be able to better account for variables in large, uncontrolled populations while this virus is actively spreading (at least not for the first year probably). The cruise ship gives us a good snapshot and I think it's strong statistical numbers. It's some sobering stats. If 19% of Americans got this virus that is 57,000,000 people who could get this and if the mortality rate stays at around 1.2% that is 684,000. If it rises to 3% then you are looking at approximate 1.7 million deaths.
I was coming on here to ask what the difference is between Germany and Spain. Similar number of cases, but Spain is floating around 5.5% mortality and Germany is at 0.3%. Is it because Germany is catching more mild cases due to more testing? The only other thing I see off the top is that Germany has a critical care capacity that is similar to ours, while Spain's is even smaller than Italy. I would also guess that Germany has a higher quality medical system than Spain, but I have nothing to back that up.
ETA: Spain has 9.7 critical care units/100,000 people. So I assume I can say 97/1,000,000? and currently has 533 cases/1,000,000
Germany has 292 CCUs/1,000,000 and only 256 cases/1,000,000 with more prevalent testing by the sounds of things, which would make a lower % of the 256/mil severe.
So maybe Spain has blown past its critical care ability already and Germany is still under control.
140 cases in MS. Up from 80 yesterday.
They added some more data:
At least 24% hospitalized
48% of cases < 50 years old
https://msdh.ms.gov/msdhsite/_static...-chart-age.png
https://msdh.ms.gov/msdhsite/_static...hart-onset.png
https://msdh.ms.gov/msdhsite/_static...spitalized.png
This seems to be a good article to read. At least Brit Hume, of Fox News, thinks so and others who have retweeted it.
https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine...9-1b767def5894
Something very positive about the Germany approach is that testing so many, especially young bucks that would normally be symptomless carriers - takes potential super spreaders out of the equation.
Holding everything else constant- that’s an interesting wrinkle
Really good read. I been thinking some of the same things written in this article, as I'm sure others have too. And anyone claiming absolute knowledge of all the wealth of data out there is a fool. Unless every single person is tested, there are not absolute stats.
And if the government really wanted to help folks while they ain't working, they would make a temp law to suspend loan/mortgage payments and interest on principle for a while. But they don't want the big bankers to have to survive on less than multi-million dollar bonuses each year. Those banks are still gonna expect those payments to be made up somehow ... I can guarantee you that.
In the meantime, 4 republican Senators and Feinstein got out of the market well in advance of the crash and made millions.