Yeah that's the smart play and there is a busload of those out there!
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Going to be plenty of room for transfers and one is almost a guarantee and won't be surprised with 2.
You're dead nuts on RE: Bryant signing 100+ guys just to horde them up... That's well documented. Shug did it, Neyland, Vaught, etc....
However, there's no way Saban is going to waste a scholarship for the sole reason of impeding another program. And the truth is, Alabama doesn't even sign many guys from MS anymore unless they are rated really high. And everybody offers those cats.
Heck, y'all get waaaaay more guys out of Bama than the inverse... If Saban truly wanted to disrupt State recruiting, he could just offer all of y'all's commits, especially the AL guys and string em along... I think he's after the Ealy kid because he's really talented, not because MSU wants him... that's incidental, IMO....
If Saban was offering multiple MS 3* kids every year, I'd think there might be something nefarious afoot...
Because this discussion got me curious, I ran the numbers on where Bammer guys come from (2018):
AL 21
FL 11
LA 10
TX 10
CA 5
SC 4
MD 4
MS 4
GA 3
KY 2
HI, IN, IA, MO, NV, OH, OK, PA, TN, UT, AR 1
If Florida flips khris bogle, how does it affect young?
That's a real good point and sounds like some negotiating training would be beneficial. You can still be the nice guy without also being the easy guy to turn down. Every case is different but as you said it's a bit of a pattern for us to get in the door but never close the deal. Like with James even though we really liked him we should have pressed him a little harder on signing early. Maybe we did, but if we didn't we have paid the price.
It's a little early to get excited about having balls going to a new name CB that hasn't been on campus yet. I think we get Lockhart and Duncan though. Otay is USC bound, Young to Bama or LSU (visit coming), and Ealy to Bama. I think Lawrence still gets a scholly.