Schedule

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Originally Posted by BeardoMSU

True, and that oddity is also why I just can't fathom 7 wins. That would be the equivalent, in a normal season, to like a 10-2 (or 11-1) season. I just don't see us being that good.

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It would be like 9-3.

It’s time for some mother ****ing football.

Finally.

I think 3-7 is our floor with an outside shot at 6-4. Probably end up about 5-5. That’s fine. This is a glorified pre-season/training camp for next year.

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Originally Posted by maroonmania

Biggest negative for me is having to play Auburn and Georgia in back to back weeks ahead of OM. We are going to be beaten up pretty good going into the Egg Bowl.

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Yeah. Where the Egg Bowl sits on the schedule is easily the worst part.

That being said, I try not to get worked up about late season games because you never know what the circumstances will be at that time. Particularly this year with COVID

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

It would be like 9-3.

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I'm not just referring to the switch of noncon games vs SEC games. The whole phenomenon of the situation I think adds extra difficulty that a normal season wouldn't have. Also taking into account how wins and losses aren't being weighed the same as normal seasons. A 7-3 season might get a playoff birth, especially with that schedule. Even teams like Bama, Georgia, Clemson, etc. are going to have losses this year, both from their all conference schedules, and from COVID complications.

Two things..... if you have to play LSU, play them first when they turned over an entire team. Coaches and starters. They won't be as sharp. Maybe we won't either but....I'll take them first game.

The egg bowl is not Thanksgiving DAy. Thank Goodness!!!!

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

3 wins = Boy Joe did more damage than I suspected.
4 wins = meh
5 wins = I like the way this is headed
6 wins = All aboard the Leach train
7 wins = Out of body experience in which I'm extremely skeptical because we probably had a ton of luck that isn't sustainable.

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10 wins, ARRRGHHHH!

I still think is going to be a wild and crazy season. I think we can win 5 games on that schedule. If we win 6 then Leach is taking us places soon.

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Originally Posted by Mobile Bay

10 wins, ARRRGHHHH!

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You know, that would happen in a year with an asterisk & no playoff

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Originally Posted by TrapGame

I still think is going to be a wild and crazy season. I think we can win 5 games on that schedule. If we win 6 then Leach is taking us places soon.

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It will be crazy & none of our predictions have even touched on the idea that players for every team will miss games.

Like, what if Kellen Mond & Bo Nix don't play against us because they have COVID? What if Costello doesn't play againt Mizzouri?

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

Here's the thing that I think everyone knows but takes for granted....

Mike Charles Leach is a damn damn good head football coach & knows how to win football games.

This is a verifiable fact & has been proven time, and time, and time again.

If you think consistently beating Ole Miss, Kentucky, Arkansas, & Mizzouri on a consistent basis will be tough for him because they are "SEC teams", then you got another thing coming.

The man knows how to win football games. Know that, it's proven, & it'll likely in most year = more wins than you think we should get

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And day one, he has more talent too to bottom on this roster than any roster hers had as a head coach (at least by star ratings). That may not win us more games, but to me it's an X factor that makes this season more unpredictable.

Playing 10 SEC games in 11 weeks favors the top (deeper) teams in the league. Having two bye weeks would have leveled it a little but the league doesn't want that. Our bye essentially does us no good coming before Bama. I guess I'm happy we're playing football but I think 5 wins is as good as we can hope for. That would be the equivalent of about 8-4 in a regular year but I think we are going to have some embarrassments on this schedule with all that's going on. We could be 2-6 going into the Egg Bowl and you never know how that will work out.
I hope Leach proves me wrong.

Projected win totals per Action Network
Georgia 8.29
Alabama 7.89
Florida 7.66
TexasA&M 7.63
LSU 7.51
Auburn. 7.03
Ole Miss 5.12
Kentucky 4.73
Tennessee 4.67
SouthCarolina 4.09
Missouri 2.75
Mississippi State 2.35
Arkansas 0.96
Vanderbilt 0.33

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Saw this on SPS

ETA... they have a 16-pt dog to OM. They have no credibility after I saw that.

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

You know, that would happen in a year with an asterisk & no playoff

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I have been saying this for a while with Leach. We will win games we should not and lose games we should. With all this and the random number generator of COVID, I have no problem thing this is the year we beat LSU, Alabama, and lose to Vandy and Mizzou.

Especially Mizzou, that game scares me. It's going to be hard to get the team up for a post egg bowl game.

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Originally Posted by BrunswickDawg

And day one, he has more talent too to bottom on this roster than any roster hers had as a head coach (at least by star ratings). That may not win us more games, but to me it's an X factor that makes this season more unpredictable.

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That could be true, but he will see more talent than he has any other stop too.

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

It will be crazy & none of our predictions have even touched on the idea that players for every team will miss games.

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Most teams are still doing film study by position groups. Which happens in smaller rooms. So what happens when Alabama loses all but 1 LB and are now starting an underweight DE and an overweight safety there. What happens when our entire OL goes down and we are starting second string DL who last played as scout team OL in 10th grade? Oh look, LSU's top RB that is available last took a hand off in the Texas 3A high school state championship three years ago and has been a walk on TE ever since. That sort of stuff.

Its like that old game show Press Your Luck. There will be some Whammys in there that torpedo an entire season, and they are complexly unpredictable.

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Originally Posted by msstate7

That could be true, but he will see more talent than he has any other stop too.

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He was in the SEC east in the late 90s and the Big 12 in the early 00s. I think the talent level is similar to those two stops whether we want to admit it or not.

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

It would be like 9-3.

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It would probably be like 10-2 unless Georgia is one of the wins, since we wouldn't play them without the pandemic.

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Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg

It will be crazy & none of our predictions have even touched on the idea that players for every team will miss games.

Like, what if Kellen Mond & Bo Nix don't play against us because they have COVID? What if Costello doesn't play againt Mizzouri?

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If it gets to that there will be no football so take that out of the equation

Y'all should go follow Coach Sherrill on Facebook. He's been going off on the ncaa and the conferences who don't want to
play since last week. Pretty entertaining. Love JWS!

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Originally Posted by BrunswickDawg

And day one, he has more talent too to bottom on this roster than any roster hers had as a head coach (at least by star ratings). That may not win us more games, but to me it's an X factor that makes this season more unpredictable.

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Exactly.

Maybe we'll suck this year. I'm not calling my shot, but our foundation for comparison are JoMo coached teams. He sucked, was awful.

We'll be much better than last year. I have no doubt.