Easter Sunday Severe?

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04-10-2020, 02:03 PM
TheRef

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

How's it looking for Jones/Jasper county area? Appreciate all your jnfo!

Too early to tell, IMO. The finer points should be hammered out in the next 24-36 hours
04-10-2020, 02:06 PM
Commercecomet24

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheRef

Too early to tell, IMO. The finer points should be hammered out in the next 24-36 hours

Appreciate it.
04-10-2020, 02:07 PM
starkvegasdawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheRef

Too early to tell, IMO. The finer points should be hammered out in the next 24-36 hours

It is too early to tell, but if you live anywhere in MS or AL then I would prepare for very dangerous weather.
04-10-2020, 02:08 PM
TheRef

Quote:

Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg

It is too early to tell, but if you live anywhere in MS or AL then I would prepare for very dangerous weather.

Central and Northeast LA should prepare as well
04-10-2020, 02:19 PM
TheRef

Here is the part of the SPC discussion that is interesting. The fact that SPC is THIS confident about what they are putting out 3 days out is concerning.

Quote:

...SUMMARY...
An outbreak of severe thunderstorms appears likely Sunday into
Sunday night, with the greatest threat expected from Louisiana
east-northeastward through much of the Southeast and Tennessee
Valley. Strong, long-tracked tornadoes and potentially widespread
damaging wind are possible.
04-10-2020, 02:27 PM
EngDawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg

Ok. I was dead wrong. I could have sworn the Smithville tornado was in the morning but it touched down at 3:44pm. Now I have no idea what tornado I was thinking about.

There was an EF-3 in Monroe Country early that morning. Perhaps that?s what you were thinking of?
04-10-2020, 02:30 PM
Commercecomet24

I think I can speak for all of us. Y'all are an invaluable resource and the info you bring is much appreciated. Thank you to all of you who post this info on here and are so willing to answer questions!
04-10-2020, 02:31 PM
starkvegasdawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by EngDawg

There was an EF-3 in Monroe Country early that morning. Perhaps that?s what you were thinking of?

Maybe so. And there may have been one in AL. I'm just too lazy to google this afternoon.
04-10-2020, 02:33 PM
starkvegasdawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I think I can speak for all of us. Y'all are an invaluable resource and the info you bring is much appreciated. Thank you to all of you who post this info on here and are so willing to answer questions!

You're welcome. But keep in mind Ref is the subject matter expert on all this. I know enough to almost be dangerous and hopefully not get myself killed while out chasing. Although having been directly hit by three tornadoes in the last year I may not be as knowledgeable as I thought I was. At least makes for good live streaming and video, though.
04-10-2020, 02:50 PM
TheRef

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I think I can speak for all of us. Y'all are an invaluable resource and the info you bring is much appreciated. Thank you to all of you who post this info on here and are so willing to answer questions!

I haven't really gone head-first into weather in a long time. However, this is one where I'll dust off my Meteorology brain and crank the ol' engine up for a test-drive. I may not have access to all of the fancy models and gadgets I've had before, but I can still make accurate forecasts on what I can grab. Honestly, this whole event is one that may just bring me back to posting regularly here. Having a small child and working graveyards may break into this, but who knows. Honestly, I've been too focused on other matters to really want to post on here. But hey...whatever happens happens.
04-10-2020, 04:11 PM
yjnkdawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I think I can speak for all of us. Y'all are an invaluable resource and the info you bring is much appreciated. Thank you to all of you who post this info on here and are so willing to answer questions!

I agree 100% with CC, and I appreciate your time and effort in providing us viable information in potential severe weather or severe weather outbreaks. Great to see you back on, Ref.
04-10-2020, 04:12 PM
TheRef

Quote:

Originally Posted by yjnkdawg

I agree 100% with CC, and I appreciate your time and effort in providing us viable information in potential severe weather or severe weather outbreaks. Great to see you back on, Ref.

Glad to be back, honestly.
04-10-2020, 04:28 PM
yjnkdawg

Is Tropical Tidbits a good website to see the model runs, for somebody who just has an interest in the weather, and knows a little about fronts, pressure systems, etc. ( I took the two NWS Spotter classes) but not even close to being dangerous like Vegas said he was.
04-10-2020, 04:37 PM
TheRef

Quote:

Originally Posted by yjnkdawg

Is Tropical Tidbits a good website to see the model runs, for somebody who just has an interest in the weather, and knows a little about fronts, pressure systems, etc. ( I took the two NWS Spotter classes) but not even close to being dangerous like Vegas said he was.

Tropical Tidbits is run by a really cool dude. Anyway, he runs a great site and while his site is more geared towards tropical systems, he offers a lot of good models. For good, free severe weather modeling I use TwisterData.com.

Edit: the guy's name is Levi
04-10-2020, 04:43 PM
Liverpooldawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg

Yeah. I don't think it'll be much of an issue, but that's one of the things that will have to be reconciled to determine how big of a day this ends up. Again, not making comparisons, but 4/27 had a morning and afternoon round. The Smithville EF-5 was that morning and the atmosphere recovered to then produce that outbreak in the afternoon.

Smithville was a late afternoon tornado, not morning.
04-10-2020, 04:44 PM
Liverpooldawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by RocketDawg

That's interesting. I didn't realize the Smithville 5 was in the morning. How much time elapsed between the Smithville one and when the one formed just across the state line near Hamilton, AL? Things didn't really get kicking around north Alabama until mid-afternoon, if I recall correctly, but the Hamilton/Hackleburg hung together through here (a somewhat lower intensity level) and into Tennessee.

It wasn't.
04-10-2020, 04:48 PM
Liverpooldawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by EngDawg

There was an EF-3 in Monroe Country early that morning. Perhaps that?s what you were thinking of?

Only one in Monroe County that day. The Smithville one started in the Wren community as a much weaker tornado. It lifted for a bit and then touched down again with a vengeance.
04-10-2020, 04:51 PM
yjnkdawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheRef

Tropical Tidbits is run by a really cool dude. Anyway, he runs a great site and while his site is more geared towards tropical systems, he offers a lot of good models. For good, free severe weather modeling I use TwisterData.com.

Edit: the guy's name is Levi

Thanks for the info, Ref about TwisterData.com. Yeah, I've also watched Levi Cowan on his videos, concerning tropical systems. He is very informative and knowledgeable.
04-10-2020, 04:52 PM
TheRef

Quote:

Originally Posted by yjnkdawg

Thanks for the info, Ref about TwisterData.com. Yeah, I've also watched Levi Cowan on his videos, concerning tropical systems. He is very informative and knowledgeable.

If you follow him on twitter, he's really good about updates on the site and in general maintenance requests for the site. He's on top of things there.
04-10-2020, 05:25 PM
DownwardDawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by Commercecomet24

I think I can speak for all of us. Y'all are an invaluable resource and the info you bring is much appreciated. Thank you to all of you who post this info on here and are so willing to answer questions!

I agree. And great to have Ref back!!

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