Here is why you play everybody vs Auburn and LSU

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09-23-2019, 11:10 AM
I seen it dawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach007

LOL! Sometimes you have to over look people man. He and his buds are out to make fun of those they disagree with and try to force you into not posting and to be a message board hero to his friends.

Which you 2 never seem to do.....
09-23-2019, 11:12 AM
Coach007

Quote:

Originally Posted by I seen it dawg

Which you 2 never seem to do.....

Oh yeah.. I started ignoring the ignorance for the better part.
09-23-2019, 11:14 AM
Saltydog

Remember this is the same guy who said we were the 3rd best team in the SEC and would likely go 11-1 with a loss to aTm.
09-23-2019, 11:19 AM
gravedigger

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cooterpoot

Hell, we almost lost to KY after Gay left.

I'll take "hyperbole" for $200, Alex
09-23-2019, 11:20 AM
Political Hack

Quote:

Originally Posted by BogeyGolfer

No, they are not both beatable. LSU will beat us by 3-4 TD's. We can't stop the run, and I'm not sure why UK stopped running it. We struggle to beat AU on the road when we have equal or better talent. We need to keep playing the young guys and accept this year for what it is. My prediction was 6-6 when you were saying 11-1 or 10-2 lol, lol.....This year is a year where we need to get to a bowl no matter which bowl and then build for next year....I do think Schrader is a play-maker and Hill is the real deal...Let's work on getting better on the DL and sit back and enjoy the season for what it is...A rebuild....

For real. No way in hell fans should be expecting to beat LSU right now. I get that's auburn is vulnerable at times with a freshman QB, but so are we and they have a better defense. There's a reason they're a 7-point favorite.
09-23-2019, 11:22 AM
gravedigger

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach007

Both are beatable.

LSU:

- You would think that Our home stadium, crowd and our defense would be up to the task of getting some stops.

Those games get you in the poll and ranked high.

We should be able to beat Ark, Ole Miss, UT, TAMU and Abilene without them. Why not give ourselves a chance?

I'll take missed tackles for $500, Alex
09-23-2019, 12:01 PM
dantheman4248

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saltydog

Remember this is the same guy who said we were the 3rd best team in the SEC and would likely go 11-1 with a loss to aTm.

I?m not sure where I bet anything or guaranteed that. That?s on you for thinking my entry was anything more than entering a contest and going with a unique answer to cover the most finishes while being semi realistic (ie not picking 0-12). You must think people who guess 1 dollar on the price is right seriously think that the price is a dollar........
09-23-2019, 12:06 PM
msstate7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Political Hack

For real. No way in hell fans should be expecting to beat LSU right now. I get that's auburn is vulnerable at times with a freshman QB, but so are we and they have a better defense. There's a reason they're a 7-point favorite.

Actually 11-point dog

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...dds/las-vegas/
09-23-2019, 01:29 PM
gravedigger

Quote:

Originally Posted by msstate7

Actually 11-point dog

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...dds/las-vegas/

They have Tommy Stevens questionable. Not saying that's unfair, but I wonder if the points would change if that were not the case.
09-23-2019, 01:36 PM
Saltydog

Picking this team to go 11-1 was not "semi realistic". It was "STUPID". You even said State was the 3rd best team in the SEC. Hell, we aren't the 3rd best team in our own division.
09-23-2019, 03:17 PM
dantheman4248

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saltydog

Picking this team to go 11-1 was not "semi realistic". It was "STUPID". You even said State was the 3rd best team in the SEC. Hell, we aren't the 3rd best team in our own division.

Every reasonable pick from 7-5 to 10-2 would be taken. So I bet outside that range. My thought was 11-1 or better was more reasonable than 6-6 or worse. Does that explain it enough for you? I really can’t believe you’re holding onto this.

It’s not like I’m the one in here pumping sunshine up everyone’s ass, I’m not. My points are that everyone else kinda sucks more than anyone here wants to say. So stop acting like I’m 007 who can’t see the deficiencies we have, I see them clear as day. I just A. think it’s stupid to attack a kid with a shit nickname who is putting himself on the line with an injury for this university and B. think that the product across the board in college football is down this year. I’m not arguing Moorhead up, I’m arguing Ogeron, Malzahn, and co. down.
09-23-2019, 04:06 PM
Homedawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by dantheman4248

Every reasonable pick from 7-5 to 10-2 would be taken. So I bet outside that range. My thought was 11-1 or better was more reasonable than 6-6 or worse. Does that explain it enough for you? I really can’t believe you’re holding onto this.

It’s not like I’m the one in here pumping sunshine up everyone’s ass, I’m not. My points are that everyone else kinda sucks more than anyone here wants to say. So stop acting like I’m 007 who can’t see the deficiencies we have, I see them clear as day. I just A. think it’s stupid to attack a kid with a shit nickname who is putting himself on the line with an injury for this university and B. think that the product across the board in college football is down this year. I’m not arguing Moorhead up, I’m arguing Ogeron, Malzahn, and co. down.

11-1 more reasonable than 6-6? ok............................
09-23-2019, 04:32 PM
dantheman4248

Quote:

Originally Posted by Homedawg

11-1 more reasonable than 6-6? ok............................

When you come into the season with 6 gimmes and 2 more should wins, yes it is. I did the math based on my own percentages we’d win each game. Iirc it was about a 5 percent shot we went 11 wins or better while a one percent shot we went 6 wins or worse. 7 wins, 8 wins, 9 wins, 10 wins each had a higher percentage individually than the 0-6 and 11,12 combined iirc.

So based on mathematics and game theory, the best play in the contest for me was 11 wins. Alabama as the only loss was the most likely duplicate 11-1 so don’t pick them. Between LSU & aTm I went with the road game.
09-23-2019, 05:13 PM
dawgday166

We've had so many 11 win seasons I can see why you said that. How long you been a State fan?
09-23-2019, 05:41 PM
dantheman4248

Quote:

Originally Posted by dawgday166

We've had so many 11 win seasons I can see why you said that. How long you been a State fan?

Do you read or just guess a way to belittle someone? Yea we?ve never won 11 games. Why do you think the math was at 5%. The whole shtick with our coach is he needs a QB that knows his system and we got one. What?s funny is, if you take the higher percent team in all my projections preseason we finish 8-4.... but yea i?m an idiot because I used math and game theory to give me the best shot at winning a contest and had fun with how I presented it sheesh.
09-23-2019, 05:45 PM
dawgday166

Not a mathematician but did take 4 Cals and 2 DEs so I used to be ok with it. Not sure I've seen any math ever taught that gets us to 11 wins this season ***

Still wondering how long you been a State fan?
09-23-2019, 05:57 PM
dantheman4248

Quote:

Originally Posted by dawgday166

Not a mathematician but did take 4 Cals and 2 DEs so I used to be ok with it. Not sure I've seen any math ever taught that gets us to 11 wins this season ***

Still wondering how long you been a State fan?

Since I was born and will be until I die cause they can’t take these degrees away from me. And it’s not calculus or de that gets you there bud. You only need a stats class.
09-23-2019, 06:02 PM
dawgday166

I can tell that stats class is working out for you.

ETA: I guess they must not have taught probability with that stats class.
09-23-2019, 06:40 PM
Homedawg

Quote:

Originally Posted by dantheman4248

Since I was born and will be until I die cause they can’t take these degrees away from me. And it’s not calculus or de that gets you there bud. You only need a stats class.

Here's the good news for ya, since we already lost one of the 8, you only need to win all of the gimmes and the other probable, and run the table on the not likely ones and impossible, and you get to 11 ****
09-23-2019, 06:51 PM
dantheman4248

Quote:

Originally Posted by dawgday166

I can tell that stats class is working out for you.

ETA: I guess they must not have taught probability with that stats class.

Or maybe you don’t understand probability? Sucks we live in the timeline where Tommy is hurt.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Homedawg

Here's the good news for ya, since we already lost one of the 8, you only need to win all of the gimmes and the other probable, and run the table on the not likely ones and impossible, and you get to 11 ****

Only 6 gimmes. We lost one of the should wins and won the other. Gotta lose a gimme and every should lose for the 6 win now.

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