Originally Posted by
BulldogDX55
It doesn't hit everyone, especially those in good health, particularly hard. However, the Imperial College Model, which is the projection that allegedly finally changed Trump's mind, has a worst case scenario of an 80% infection rate nation wide with a .9% fatality rate, which doesn't sound super scary until you realize that due to the age skewing, that means that between 4 and 8% of all people over the age of 70 would die.
That's a lot of grandparents - approximately 2.2 million of them.
With all of the people resisting precautions right now, the likely result will be closer to that than the low end one. You'll know by the middle of next week. At that point we will be at about the level Italy was at when they instituted the nationwide quarantine.