The deaths have always lagged 2-4 weeks behind the positive test.
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Looks like they rose together. Check the dates.
April 24th was the peak up until recently. April 20th was peak of deaths with steady drop after that. Should be a peak 2 weeks after April 24th if you're correct.
Using 7-day avg, US peak in cases until just recently was April 11th at 32,459. Death peak was April 17th at 2,248. Looking at 7-day avg for NY, same thing... April 9th was peak cases, 9,999 and deaths was April 13th, 956.
Deaths have continued to fall in the US, and I think the main reason is median age of cases now. Younger people are getting it.
I think we're getting better at treating it and have stopped doing things that were harmful (like putting people on vents to quickly), and that's making a difference, but I think the biggest deal is just so much of our early numbers were driven by New York, which basically acted like they needed to save the government some money by killing off nursing home patients more quickly.
Cases are at an all time high with deaths at an all time low. That is incredible to think about.
There will be a rise in deaths Monday through Thursday as compared to this past Saturday and Sunday because the counts during the week have almost always been higher than the weekend. But the key will be whether that rise in deaths is way higher than the previous two weeks and look more like late April numbers, or look more like what we've seen the last two weeks. I suspect the latter.
yep ... my son was just diagnosed ... when he was with us in Atlanta in the epicenter of Georgia no problem ... he moved up to our other place in Tennessee where it was non-existent (so to speak) on our farm with wide open spaces and very little contact with others he came down with it ... Friday night bonfire at the farm with about a dozen others his age
Monday's numbers show 2 new "covid 19 related deaths" and 18 additional reported deaths which occurred from May 5 - June 22.
Those 18 suck for sure, but the fact that there were only 2 new deaths from Sunday continues the drop in deaths. We are now averaging 5 deaths a day over the last ten days.
I made a little app to keep track of daily / historical updates on the county level. It grabs the state update every day and then compares it to the previous update for a quick glance at new cases/deaths per county. You can also click on a county to see historical updates. The updates start at 6/27 because that's when I started tracking the data. I should've done this 3 months ago, but better late than never.
http://ms-covid-tracker.herokuapp.com/
Mess around with it, let me know what you think. I'll probably add graphs soon.
There's no doubt that this is either much less potent than it was, or the true number of cases is not going up and just way more people, especially young people, are being tested. I'm inclined to believe it's partly due to both, but more the former.
I've talked with 2 infectious disease doctors I know very well, one at UAB and one at UPMC in Pittsburgh. Their studies are showing the virus is weakening and more young people are being exposed/tested and the young and healthy are not suffering very many adverse affects from the virus, thus the declining death rate. Both of these doctors have been doing this for over 20 years so I value their opinion.
14 new deaths today. That's higher than sat, sun, mon, but tuesdays and Wednesday's always are. Will be interesting to see if 7 day average moves this week.
Of the 14 today, All were over 50. 12/14 over 60.
So far, 1073 deaths.
0 under 20.
.6% of deaths are under 30.
2.2% of deaths are under 40.
6.5% of deaths are under 50.
15.5% of deaths are under 60.
So 84.5% of deaths are over 60.