Wife has the Covid so I'm having to quarantine so a lot more time to model watch. My favorite model, the HRRR, is just grabbing the early stages of the weekend event. And all I have to say is...
https://www.myconfinedspace.com/wp-c...70948/daff.gif
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Wife has the Covid so I'm having to quarantine so a lot more time to model watch. My favorite model, the HRRR, is just grabbing the early stages of the weekend event. And all I have to say is...
https://www.myconfinedspace.com/wp-c...70948/daff.gif
Here is the HRRR for 6:00am Sunday.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FJEUUYUX...jpg&name=large
Don't tease me, I can't take it!!
Hey SVD, I?m not super good at reading maps like these. What?s you best guess for Jackson on Sunday. Especially Sunday morning? Thanks
If this map verifies, or close to it, then Jackson will be waking up to snow falling.Quote:
Originally Posted by Heydawg
So am I gonna have to go to work or not tom night/Sunday night or can I go duck hunting…. HAHA!!! What’s the totals looking like for Tipton Co…Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
This forecast reminds me alot of December 2017. Most, if not all, forecasts called for a light dusting in Central MS. I woke up that Friday morning to 6 inches in Brandon.
What's the latest? Some of the forecasts I'm seeing for Nashville now are a little less exciting. Not nearly as much snow as they were saying yesterday. Got the grand baby coming up from Mississippi. I want that blizzard now!!!
I haven't really looked into TN. Been focusing on MS. When the next model runs come in I'll take a look. Some of the models are backing off on the snow for all but extreme north MS...say north of Tupelo. Just an indication that around 30 hours out models still aren't sure what's going to happen.Quote:
Originally Posted by DownwardDawg
I would feel safe saying that part of TN will get 2-4" with some isolated areas up to 6". A couple of the models still losing their minds with snow totals but I just have a hard time thinking that happens this far south. Maybe I'm wrong. Hope I am.Quote:
Originally Posted by DownwardDawg
Thanks man! I'm hoping for 4" or better west of Nashville.Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
That's what she said.Quote:
Originally Posted by DownwardDawg
Haha!! She can keep hoping!!Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
Models are still doing the hokey pokey with snow accumulations in MS. The NWS doesn't seem to think it amounts to a whole lot once you get south of Grenada. That actually gives me hope we see some decent snows. Back when my dad was alive any time snow was forecast he'd say it's not going to do anything and that it only snows when they don't predict it. 95% of the time heh was absolutely correct. So I'm encouraged by them saying this will be mostly rain for the bulk of MS.
Looking like 12-16 inches for me in southwestern PA. Could be a mini blizzard of 93 around here.
12z runs for MS are taking big steaming dump on the snow.
I've been checking out the weather here (union, ms), and I see lots of snow/rain in our forecast using the highly advanced built-in weather app on my iPhone. The problem I see is it isn't supposed to be 32 degrees. So I guess we just gonna see it fall and then melt, right?
The low should wrap around enough cold air to allow it to stick to at least elevated surfaces. But that's all dependent on where the low tracks. A northern track and it can't bring it in this far south and we end up with mainly rain or snow melting when it hits.Quote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
Back reporting from Becker Bottom this weekend. Hopefully we see some flakes. And nice Bucks. Thanks for the updates.
And how many subscribers are you up to now?
Sitting at 798 right now.Quote:
Originally Posted by RougeDawg
I?m guessing you?ve done something like this, but have you Tweeted out to local weather stations/people some of your work and links? A few retweet?s or mentions could bump you up quickly. Trying to think of ways to spread beyond this board.Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
I've tweeted it out but I don't think the local stations can be seen promoting something like this. Even WTVA that we're affiliated with.Quote:
Originally Posted by RougeDawg
Well damn. I don?t know. Tweet to some people with large followings and see what happens. Maybe some independent weather sites or people. Good luck.Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
As we head into the evening?Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
Starkville area?
I'm thinking boom or bust. It either pulls in enough cold air to give us 2-4" or we end up lucky to get a dusting. All going to come down to if the low can pull in enough cold air whirl it is still close enough to have some moisture to work with. Still showing in the mid 40's now so it's got some work to do. Look for any change to snow to happen Sunday morning in the 5-8am timeframe.Quote:
Originally Posted by Noxdog
I have a kid heading that way sometime before 12 noon so we'll be paying close attention.
We have 42 and very light rain at 8 p.m. Forecasters aren't expecting much of anything for us - an inch at most.Quote:
Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg
It's a lot warmer than in Buffalo. No idea how they play in such conditions, or how fans sit through it.
Well if you see a weatherman who looks like Bill Murray you're about to get blasted.Quote:
Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG
The Jackson metro went from snow possibly starting at 11 PM to now all the way out to 4 AM. By that time the ULL will be pulling out and losing its moisture to work with. Looks like Desoti County and Memphis gets slammed and anyone else gets a dusting to an inch.
The temps dropped timely as expected but the main moisture pull out ahead of the ULL. How much energy is left for the ULL is what we depend on in west and central Miss.
Checked out the GOEs East upper level Water Vapor satellite and to my untrained eye it looks like the center is around Baton Rouge.
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOE...8-1250x750.jpg
Terrible cold rain here west of Nashville. 37 degrees and raining. Just nasty.
Just a cold rain in Arlington right now. I have been watching models and the GFS is showing around 3-5 for us and the ECMWF is still around 6 inches for us. Every model is different.
Sleet/freezing rain in Rankin County.
Since we are Now-Casting.
Light Snow and 31 degrees in Pearl
Snow falling in Rankin County. The lawn has a white covering. I'm hoping we get more than a dusting since the thermometer says 31 and it's heavy enough to look like haze
Its colder in Jackson than memphis/
Because we have the Upper Level Low with its own Cold Air passing by us down here. It does look like everything from here on out will be light, in some cases too light for Radar Reflectivity though. The heavier bands to the west seem to be tapering off fast instead of rotating through. I suspect a dusting is about all we see here in the metro.Quote:
Originally Posted by parabrave
Cantore just said that some place in south-central Mississippi had 7.8" overnight.
Rain changed to snow about an hour ago here but it's melting as soon as it hits the ground. 34 degrees at my house.
Unbelievable. I?m West of Canton and got nothing. Literally 20 miles down the road east of Canton got 7 inches!
I've got nothing on the ground or even on roofs or anything. My Father in law who lives in Camden about 30 minutes away has several inches on the ground.