It would be like 9-3.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeardoMSU
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It would be like 9-3.Quote:
Originally Posted by BeardoMSU
It’s time for some mother ****ing football.
Finally.
I think 3-7 is our floor with an outside shot at 6-4. Probably end up about 5-5. That’s fine. This is a glorified pre-season/training camp for next year.
Yeah. Where the Egg Bowl sits on the schedule is easily the worst part.Quote:
Originally Posted by maroonmania
That being said, I try not to get worked up about late season games because you never know what the circumstances will be at that time. Particularly this year with COVID
I'm not just referring to the switch of noncon games vs SEC games. The whole phenomenon of the situation I think adds extra difficulty that a normal season wouldn't have. Also taking into account how wins and losses aren't being weighed the same as normal seasons. A 7-3 season might get a playoff birth, especially with that schedule. Even teams like Bama, Georgia, Clemson, etc. are going to have losses this year, both from their all conference schedules, and from COVID complications.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
Two things..... if you have to play LSU, play them first when they turned over an entire team. Coaches and starters. They won't be as sharp. Maybe we won't either but....I'll take them first game.
The egg bowl is not Thanksgiving DAy. Thank Goodness!!!!
10 wins, ARRRGHHHH!Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
I still think is going to be a wild and crazy season. I think we can win 5 games on that schedule. If we win 6 then Leach is taking us places soon.
You know, that would happen in a year with an asterisk & no playoffQuote:
Originally Posted by Mobile Bay
It will be crazy & none of our predictions have even touched on the idea that players for every team will miss games.Quote:
Originally Posted by TrapGame
Like, what if Kellen Mond & Bo Nix don't play against us because they have COVID? What if Costello doesn't play againt Mizzouri?
And day one, he has more talent too to bottom on this roster than any roster hers had as a head coach (at least by star ratings). That may not win us more games, but to me it's an X factor that makes this season more unpredictable.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
Playing 10 SEC games in 11 weeks favors the top (deeper) teams in the league. Having two bye weeks would have leveled it a little but the league doesn't want that. Our bye essentially does us no good coming before Bama. I guess I'm happy we're playing football but I think 5 wins is as good as we can hope for. That would be the equivalent of about 8-4 in a regular year but I think we are going to have some embarrassments on this schedule with all that's going on. We could be 2-6 going into the Egg Bowl and you never know how that will work out.
I hope Leach proves me wrong.
Projected win totals per Action Network
Georgia 8.29
Alabama 7.89
Florida 7.66
TexasA&M 7.63
LSU 7.51
Auburn. 7.03
Ole Miss 5.12
Kentucky 4.73
Tennessee 4.67
SouthCarolina 4.09
Missouri 2.75
Mississippi State 2.35
Arkansas 0.96
Vanderbilt 0.33
...
Saw this on SPS
ETA... they have a 16-pt dog to OM. They have no credibility after I saw that.
I have been saying this for a while with Leach. We will win games we should not and lose games we should. With all this and the random number generator of COVID, I have no problem thing this is the year we beat LSU, Alabama, and lose to Vandy and Mizzou.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
Especially Mizzou, that game scares me. It's going to be hard to get the team up for a post egg bowl game.
That could be true, but he will see more talent than he has any other stop too.Quote:
Originally Posted by BrunswickDawg
Most teams are still doing film study by position groups. Which happens in smaller rooms. So what happens when Alabama loses all but 1 LB and are now starting an underweight DE and an overweight safety there. What happens when our entire OL goes down and we are starting second string DL who last played as scout team OL in 10th grade? Oh look, LSU's top RB that is available last took a hand off in the Texas 3A high school state championship three years ago and has been a walk on TE ever since. That sort of stuff.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
Its like that old game show Press Your Luck. There will be some Whammys in there that torpedo an entire season, and they are complexly unpredictable.
He was in the SEC east in the late 90s and the Big 12 in the early 00s. I think the talent level is similar to those two stops whether we want to admit it or not.Quote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
It would probably be like 10-2 unless Georgia is one of the wins, since we wouldn't play them without the pandemic.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
If it gets to that there will be no football so take that out of the equationQuote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
Y'all should go follow Coach Sherrill on Facebook. He's been going off on the ncaa and the conferences who don't want to
play since last week. Pretty entertaining. Love JWS!
Exactly.Quote:
Originally Posted by BrunswickDawg
Maybe we'll suck this year. I'm not calling my shot, but our foundation for comparison are JoMo coached teams. He sucked, was awful.
We'll be much better than last year. I have no doubt.
I don't agree. 1 player here and there being out for games won't stop the season.Quote:
Originally Posted by Homedawg
In fact, think stopping the games will take a good portion of your roster being out
If we're going to shut down for 1 player having COVID & sitting out a game, then there's no point in starting the season since that'll probably happen week 1
Floor: 3-7
Probably: 5-5
Ceiling: 7-3 , losses to Bama, GA, and LSU
We play Bama after a bye, on Halloween. Saban better start believing in ghost stories.Quote:
Originally Posted by LC Dawg
Mlb stops a game Bc of one positive. They changed what they were going to do originally. And maybe one positive doesn't stop it. But it will be the 15 others under quarantine. You can disagree that's fine. Hope youre right. But we have 4 weeks to run the campus rampant of it and hope.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
With half of leagues not playing, everyone gets a trophy and goes to a bowl.Quote:
Originally Posted by ShotgunDawg
College campus and teams will run just like most other populations. You will see a slow lull, followed by a quick spike, followed by a decrease in cases after about 20% tested infection rate.Quote:
Originally Posted by Homedawg
I think what this year will prove to me is how much of effect S&C and discipline play in winning football games.
I don't really have any expectations- it's basically a science experiment for me at this point. Last year we won three SEC games with Joe- we'll see how this works with Leach.
You could make an argument that we'd be better off if half the team got it now (assuming they haven't).
I agree!!! Problem is universities aren't going to wait to cancel. And that doesn't change the fact we aren't going to change our protocols on guys that have to sit. Therefore......Quote:
Originally Posted by Dawgology
This is a bad point. The big 12 was at its peak when he was there. And beating people up.Quote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
I am not going to give LSU that first game. Some of you are not taking into consideration the wild things that will happen with this covid scenario. It could swing completely for or against us. Arguing wins/losses at this point is meaningless.
Ok I'll take LSU and give you the money line 5-1. How much you want ?Quote:
Originally Posted by Cowbell
Maybe, but the sec had a record number of players from a conference in the nfl in 2018. It set record with 15 1st rounders last yearQuote:
Originally Posted by Cowbell
How about LSU-24. Now how froggy do you feel?Quote:
Originally Posted by Homedawg
26 point spread seems like too many points.
MSU +26. Vandy +37. Florida -8. Alabama -19.5. All of those feel like pretty good bets.
If you will read HIs post he was talking about us winning the game..... so the money line was the proper one.... don't take line bets for the most part. But I will take the +16 vs the rebels that I saw today!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Mobile Bay
Individual player NFL talent doesn't equate to better overall teams. Just use 2018 MSU as a solid example of that.Quote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
As for recency, I'd say 2013-2015 was the "peak" of the SEC and now we're on a downward trend as a whole from that. Last year we may have had 15 first rounders but we had 7 just plain bad teams. Compare with 2014 when the entire West was full of good teams with Vanderbilt as the only objectively bad team. Kentucky was a 4 pt loss to Louisville away from being the 13th bowl eligible team that year.
Fowler talked about how SEC should stay with 10-game SEC when things get back to normal AND keep the 1 P5 opponent every year. That leaves only 1 game vs a smaller school.
Jeez. We'd never win more than 4 or 5 in a season if that comes to be.
This is what sucks even more about Covid. We have a good sc coach it appears. We lost months of what we had to make up. And ML let's him do his job. JM didn't let his. It showed. Badly!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Todd4State
He was in big12 from 2000-2009. Big 12 was really solid. Here's their totals...Quote:
Originally Posted by dantheman4248
Natties 2
Top 10 finishes 19
Same time for sec...
Natties 4
Top 10:finishes 21
Even during that period the sec was better