It's not tough in the same way. It's tough as in it's in the middle of nowhere, it's an 11:00 game, it's not an exciting matchup, and they are well coached.
Printable View
Lines move based on where the money is going. If "everyone" thought Ole Miss was so much better, then the line would've indicated that.
Besides, you can't take the results of one game and extrapolate anything meaningful from it. In general, Vegas makes a lot of money, so they're right more often than not.
This is the best defense they will see all year. Period. They are going to get skull ******.
It’s a road game at a very unfamiliar place to everyone on the roster.
They will be well coached always are under Synder
I fully expect to win the game by 2tds plus but wouldn’t be shocked and ready to go panic mode if we don’t cover the spread and I don’t give a **** if we win by 31 or by 1 .
Very true and that's where I diverge from him. I believe Fitz, all the Oline, Sweat, Abrams, Cole, Rivers were all 3*. Sweat, Abrams, Cole, Rivers weren't 3* when they came out of Juco IMO. Then Fitz and Oline have exceeded their 3* rankings too. Fitz is at least 4* now and has potential that's off the charts if he improves touch and downfield accuracy. 3 or so Olinemen are like that too.
Bartoo goes solely on recruiting rankings in this respect.
Bill Connolly has us winning 35-10
https://www.sbnation.com/college-foo...s-odds-spreads
Vegas does not set lines based on what they think will happen, but based on what will get the most money flowing on both sides.
This has always been true. I don't know why people evaluate it as though Vegas is actually making a prediction. They don't care about what actually happens in the game, they care about how to get the most money bet as evenly as possible.
KState is a tough place to play (historically) and Snider is a great coach (historically), but there is only one year this decade where KState started the year looking terrible yet turned itt around quick. google the schedules: '10, '12, and '14-'17 they blew out the G5 an FCS teams they played in the first 2-3 weeks. in '13 they lost to SDSU and started the year 2-4 with 0 P5 wins. you have to go back to '11 to find a year where they struggled out the gate yet turned out ok.
That's 5/7 years -including the last 4- where KState was WAY better to start the year than we saw last week, 1/7 where they started bad and stayed bad, and 1/7 where they looked bad but were actually good. It would appear as though this is a worse KState team than we're used too. Just my 2c based on history
Interesting stats from KSU game Saturday... they gave up 8 TFLs. They also gave up 3 sacks. They only avg 5.4 yds/carry. For the stength of the team to be the oline, this would be disturbing to me if I were a KSU fan
In a little over 48 hours, it won't matter. Bartoo will be right or he will be wrong. We have our work cut out for us. Kansas State is tough. But if we play well, we will win. We are better. Worry about ourselves and go get that W.
Nick is the secret sauce for Saturday folks. This man is on a mission.