Sweden is looking pretty damn good.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...ty/3031536001/
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Sweden is looking pretty damn good.
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...ty/3031536001/
Here's the percentage of population that have NOT died with COVID
Belgium 99.944%
Spain: 99.956%
Italy: 99.957%
France 99.965%
UK 99.972%
NL 99.975%
Sweden 99.980%
No.
You have to contact trace.
You see who the positive tests have come in contact with, for more than 5 minutes, and test them too. And so on.
Then you isolate the positive people.
If you were negative, and were not in contact with anyone that had it, you don't need to be tested again.
To be fair, everyone is banking at least a little on things we don't have evidence for. No one knows what the best plan truly is. I'm extremely interested to see where things stand once a year or two from now because only then will we really know what the best plan was.
The three big questions to me, which no one really knows the answer to, are:
1) Are those who get the virus then immune to getting it again, even for a limited period?
2) Will we reach herd immunity by the time a vaccine is available even with quarantining in place? If so, Sweden's approach seems better. If not, it may not be.
3) Will the economic struggles that these measures introduce worth the lives lost? The instinct is to say that it isn't worth it at all, but you have to remember that economic struggles lead to deaths as well.
There is no clear strategy. I'm glad someone is doing something different simply so we can see what has worked better.
I think isolating those at risk is definitely a smart way to go...but I don't think you can open everything up entirely outside of that. That actually does put those isolating at risk...because they can't isolate entirely. They still have to get food and other things delivered at the very least, which does bring risk.
Also, building up herd immunity only via the healthy doesn't work because once those most at risk begin to come out, they will be completely susceptible.
And lastly, everyone is at risk. Certainly there are groups that are at much greater risk...but this disease is making even young, healthy people very, very sick and killing them in some cases. At the very least, you still end up with the overburdened hospitals in that case with everything fully open.
I think the best options are a full and total shutdown for about a month, or something like Sweden is doing.
Just my opinion now but I think there is still a lot not known and I think the goverment is assuming the worse case scenario and acting based on that. I think it is really contagious but I don't believe it is as deadly as they are making it out to be. I think it has been in the United State a lot longer than we know and it is more widespread than we know. We can thank the W.H.O and China for that. If we knew all that really went on in China we would probably be way more ahead than we are now. But personally I don't think it is as deadly that they are assuming. I just think isolate and go back to work. I am not piss at the goverment they are acting on info they were giving but i think in hindsight in a few years we will look back and say the complete shut down was a mistake.