Down 1 spot. Truly a back breaker
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Down 1 spot. Truly a back breaker
aTm down 15 spots to #40 after home loss to lsu
We have a real shot at beating Bama. They are not the same team as last year.
We need it too bc I can't squint enough to see us beating TennesseeQuote:
Originally Posted by ZedFedder
Like I said in the other thread, it was a missed opportunity and nothing else. Defend home court and steal a couple on the road and we?ll be fine.
Rams had a BPM of -8.4 yesterday. You just can?t have that out of your point guard. He?s been through it though and I expect him to play much better this week.
Being at home helps but it will def be tough to beat Tennessee. We should beat Bama at home. Lose at Kentucky and then beat Vandy at home. 2-3 to start is not terrible by any means out of that group
Really all depends on who the refs want to winQuote:
Originally Posted by Coach34
Where do you find these BPM stats?Quote:
Originally Posted by Rawdawg
Currently 27th (5-1 in q1 and q2 games)
Tough next 2 games...
Bama 5th
Kentucky 17th
Big games for us tonight...
FAU at Tulane
ASU at Washington
Washington state beat USC on road - 65th now in net
NW beat Penn state on road last night - 69th now in net
Be sweet if these 2 can get to 50h for q1 win
24th in kenpom
30th in BPI
32nd in rpi
What is the Highest Net ranking to not make the tournament?
We are in great shape.
What's consistent every year is you really make your resume in the non-conference. We racked up good wins and that will carry us for the season as long as we win the games we should in the league. The years we have been on the outside looking in we got no quality wins in the non-conference. You will not be left out of the tournament for losing to Southern. Quality wins matter so much more than bad losses.
If we can beat bama Saturday, we can almost punch our ticket assuming no collapseQuote:
Originally Posted by chef dixon
I think a team in the 20s or high 30s missed the tourney a couple of years ago.Quote:
Originally Posted by Leeshouldveflanked
If we can bet Bama Saturday we are back to talking seed positioning as opposed to "are we in?"
Winning cures all
Need to get to 11-7 somehow in conference for a quality seed
For the time being, our problem is going to be road games. We’re 0-2 in true road games, 1-2 if you want to throw in Rutgers, this year. Add that to last year when we were 4-6 on the road and it tells me we will struggle with road games and lose to inferior teams this year on the road.Quote:
Originally Posted by gtowndawg
Well lets look at our road games:
@Kentucky
@Fla
@Mississippi
@Bama
@Mizzou
@LSU
@Auburn
@A&M
I think we go 3-5 at best there and probably 2-6. Means We need to go 6-2 at worst at home. Kentucky will be huge and Auburn is pretty good but we will be favorites in the rest most likely. 10-8 in the SEC would put us 21-10 heading into the SEC Tourney and about a 9-10 seed most likely
But defense travels and we may find a way to 11 SEC wins
21-10 with our schedule and we?re a 7 seed. Right now, according to Torvik, we profile as a 5-6 seed.Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach34
We have a long way to go.
But, if we don?t collapse as stated above we?ll have a good chance for a good seed.
We need to win @Mizzou @LSU and need to win two of the three home games against Alabama, Auburn and Kentucky. If we do that and don’t drop any other home games we will be 10-8 and will make the tournament. They aren’t going to leave out a team in the SEC with a winning conference record that also has 11 non conference wins
easily in at 10-8. Probably in at 8-10Quote:
Originally Posted by PGHBulldogBG
squint moreQuote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
Or get glasses. I'm still shocked. This is a very good Tenn team.Quote:
Originally Posted by 99jc
We have not beat an AP top 10 team since 2002. This just shows that for all those years we did not have proper coaching. Jans may not be perfect, but he is the best coach we have had in hoops in a long time. He gives me hope he can put together quality teams most years, make the tournament and possibly advance and give us a special March while he is here
Washington st just beat Arizona. Very nice win for us
Everyone struggles on the road in conference. Check out the top 10 this week.Quote:
Originally Posted by StarkVegasSteve
Down 5 spots to #33
Defense not doing so hot so far.
I agree, but to be fair...Quote:
Originally Posted by Leeshouldveflanked
Kenpom off rankings:
Bama - 1st
Tenn - 20th
This was a really tough week, and as frustrating as last night was, we did what we had to
On the bright spot, Washington state is now 51st; this has a very good chance of becoming a Q1 win. Also, north Texas now 60th; this is now a solid Q2 win instead of a borderline one
#33 currently, and Washington state is now a q1 win. Hopefully they keep winning.
Tonight's games besides ours...
Nebraska at Rutgers (-2.5)
Maryland at NW (-4.5)
North Texas (-2.5) at ECU
Tulane at UAB (-2.5)
UCLA at asu (-3.5)
We're getting 6.5 at Kentucky
Rutgers wonQuote:
Originally Posted by msstate7
Northwestern up 9
North Texas won
Tulane lost
ASU up 8
Down 1 spot to #34.
Washington st at Stanford tonight. Need WSU to keep winning
Truth is, winning 1 out of Tennessee, Bama, and Kentucky is what we needed to do. We did that. Now, we could've really solidified ourselves with another win, but we're still in a decent spot.
This Saturday is a must win. Vandy's net is 244. A loss to them at home would sink us.
Then next week we have Florida on the road and Auburn at home. Gotta find a way to split that. Lose both and things start to get dicey
Our defense has to get better for us to win against the upper half of the league. I'm not asking our team to hold these really good teams in the 50s but we aren't going to win any games allowing 82 and 90 points like we have the last 2. We just aren't good enough offensively to keep up with that kind of scoring pace. We held TN to 72 which is more what we need but even in that game we were fortunate that TN came out very cold from 3 range missing a LOT of open shots. Of course they heated up in the 2nd half and scored 50. Right now our defense is just not playing at the level we did last year. Not sure why either since we have a ton of returning players. A big part of it is rebounding which appears to be a huge issue for us at the moment and plays into why we are giving up more points this year.
I think the league knows how to attack out defense (traps on the baseline, etc.) - and with no real offensive threat to counter that (as a team I mean) it's going to be hard to go 8-8 I'm afraid. It might also explain why Jans did well in the NCAA tournament (playing teams that have not played his defense multiple times before). Just a theory.Quote:
Originally Posted by maroonmania
Our problem is we struggle against teams that can score. Bama and Kentucky average 90 PPG to lead the conference. Tenn is 5th at 79 PPG. That 11 point difference is huge
We defend well but our guards are short and top notch guys shoot better over them.
Beat Vandy and Auburn at home to get things back on track. Fla gonna be tough to beat on the road.
I think we really have to win both FL and Auburn to get back on track.Quote:
Originally Posted by KOdawg1
Nah I do not think both are must win at all. Just going 2-2 against Florida, Auburn, Ole Miss, Bama coming up would be huge for us. After that we have five games in a row where we will likely be favored.Quote:
Originally Posted by PMDawg
Not at all in crisis mode yet, though we do have to beat a terrible Vandy team on Saturday, no doubt about it.