Texas to western LA need to be watching the Gulf closely

The remnants of Harvey are expected to regenerate in the next 24-48 hours. Models are in a slight disagreement on timing and strength, but all of TX and I'm saying to western LA need to be alert. Here is the latest run from the NAM. It is showing it further east and stronger than the other models now with a possible landfall on the TX/LA border. In this picture it has it a strong Cat 3 to possibly lie Cat 4. If this verifies I might have to find myself in Lake Charles by Monday.

http://i.imgur.com/PXaMwGA.jpg

Been a while since Houston has got a decent storm like this. Hope it passes through peacefully.

I was hesitant to even post this yet because there is still so much uncertainty. It could end up in Mexico as a tropical storm or it could end up in LA as a Cat 3. If I were to put money down right now I'd say central TX as a borderline Cat 2. The latest NAM run is coming in now.

Thanks for the heads up.

Just need some significant rain in San Antonio

Lastest spaghetti models showed the remnants of Harvey eventually moving east-northeast, which will bring the central gulf states lots of rain and possible flooding.

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Originally Posted by Dawgowar

Just need some significant rain in San Antonio

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Didn't you just have floods there a few weeks ago?

LA, is that lower Alabama?

Rain is going to be the big factor. National Hurricane Center is putting out 10-15 inches of rain for some of the Texas coast. If you are there, I highly recommend paying attention to the surf and the rain totals. With the weaker steering currents expected after landfall, there could be a massive amount of rain dumped. Could see the eye meander for 1-3 days which would not be good. It would be near the coast still ingesting gulf moisture which would be a big time problem.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...inqpf#contents

Looks like Harvey will come inland just east of CC at 85 mph, cat 1, early Saturday morning.

1. That graphic made me think of Lindsey Vonn for some reason.
2. Keep the rain in TX!

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Originally Posted by RocketDawg

Didn't you just have floods there a few weeks ago?

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Flash Flood in a couple of places. Still running 100 degrees most days.

Models starting to come into better agreement. Landfall now looking somewhere around or north of Corpus Christy. NHC giving it a 62% chance of rapid intensification.

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Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg34

Models starting to come into better agreement. Landfall now looking somewhere around or north of Corpus Christy. NHC giving it a 62% chance of rapid intensification.

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Thanks for the continued updates.

Any chance you can provide an updated prediction on track and intensity tomorrow mid-morning? Houston Dawgs are curious and concerned. Obviously, this storm is looking more like TS Allison (2000) than Hurricane Ike (2008). Unfortunately, it's hard for us laymen to trust The Weather Channel with all of their alarmist predictions. I'm southeast of Houston and really don't want to have to evacuate.

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Originally Posted by starkvegasdawg34

Models starting to come into better agreement. Landfall now looking somewhere around or north of Corpus Christy. NHC giving it a 62% chance of rapid intensification.

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Will San Antonio get some rain bands off this?