Faint bowl hopes update

[Quaoarsking]

4 relevant games today:

5-6 TCU @ 9-2 Oklahoma (11am)
9-2 Iowa @ 5-6 Nebraska (11am)
10-1 Toledo @ 5-6 Central Michigan (11am)
5-6 Utah State @ 4-7 New Mexico (2:30)

Our chances aren't looking good, as we'll need a few upsets of 5-6 teams to make it in. TCU, Nebraska, or Central Michigan winning today would be a disaster. New Mexico pulling out the win would be great for us.


-Added times - Scooba

[sandjunky]

The season needs to end yesterday

[Quaoarsking]

The season needs to end yesterday

Outside the COVID years, no 5-7 has ever turned down a bowl opportunity. Of course you play and get extra practice and game reps if you can.

[Leroy Jenkins]

No person who has ever buckled a chin strap would ever say they don't want to play another game.

[Dawgface]

If our new coach could come in and install a portion of his system for the bowl game I would be for it. Early Spring practice. But to just go to a dip shit lower tier bowl to do all the same crap we have been doing.....no thanks. Let's just put a tombstone on the season.

[msudawg1200]

4 relevant games today:

5-6 TCU @ 9-2 Oklahoma (11am)
9-2 Iowa @ 5-6 Nebraska (11am)
10-1 Toledo @ 5-6 Central Michigan (11am)
5-6 Utah State @ 4-7 New Mexico (2:30)

Our chances aren't looking good, as we'll need a few upsets of 5-6 teams to make it in. TCU, Nebraska, or Central Michigan winning today would be a disaster. New Mexico pulling out the win would be great for us.


-Added times - Scooba

Yep, need a 1-3 from the 5-6ers today. 0-4 would have it looking good for us. 2-2 probably a 30% chance we get in, 3-1 probably 15% chance, and 4-0 probably less than 5%.

[Catfish]

Yep, need a 1-3 from the 5-6ers today. 0-4 would have it looking good for us. 2-2 probably a 30% chance we get in, 3-1 probably 15% chance, and 4-0 probably less than 5%.

Oklahoma, Iowa, Toledo should win. I don't think NM can beat U St.

[Leroy Jenkins]

If our new coach could come in and install a portion of his system for the bowl game I would be for it. Early Spring practice. But to just go to a dip shit lower tier bowl to do all the same crap we have been doing.....no thanks. Let's just put a tombstone on the season.

We would get boatraced trying to play with a new system and kill any positive offseason momentum. Nooooobody is going to risk that. New guy will be recruiting and building a staff during that time, as he should.

[confucius say]

We would get boatraced trying to play with a new system and kill any positive offseason momentum. Nooooobody is going to risk that. New guy will be recruiting and building a staff during that time, as he should.

Wrong way to look at it. Who cares if we lose. Gives you an extra spring practice to install your system with young guys and see if Parson shows promise in the system (otherwise you need temporal qb)

[confucius say]

Oklahoma, Iowa, Toledo should win. I don't think NM can beat U St.

Iowa is an underdog.

I hope those no offense dudes win a 7-3 game!

[Catfish]

Iowa is an underdog.

I hope those no offense dudes win a 7-3 game!

Yeah, I saw that after I wrote this. Surely Iowa can take care of business.

[Catfish]

4 relevant games today:

5-6 TCU @ 9-2 Oklahoma (11am)
9-2 Iowa @ 5-6 Nebraska (11am)
10-1 Toledo @ 5-6 Central Michigan (11am)
5-6 Utah State @ 4-7 New Mexico (2:30)

Our chances aren't looking good, as we'll need a few upsets of 5-6 teams to make it in. TCU, Nebraska, or Central Michigan winning today would be a disaster. New Mexico pulling out the win would be great for us.


-Added times - Scooba

Bump

[Dawgface]

Wrong way to look at it. Who cares if we lose. Gives you an extra spring practice to install your system with young guys and see if Parson shows promise in the system (otherwise you need temporal qb)

Exactly.

[WSOPdawg]

***Please, can't we get just one more opportunity to try the Mike Wright QB experiment -- it's bound to work THIS time in a crappy bowl game.***

[Leroy Jenkins]

Wrong way to look at it. Who cares if we lose. Gives you an extra spring practice to install your system with young guys and see if Parson shows promise in the system (otherwise you need temporal qb)

Im not telling you whether its the right or wrong way to look at it. Im telling you no coach is going to do that.

You think he'd risk the first impression of his tenure being some half-assed attempt at bowl preparation, and kill all the off-season excitement before he even gets started? Nope. Not gonna happen.

[msstate7]

4 relevant games today:

5-6 TCU @ 9-2 Oklahoma (11am)
9-2 Iowa @ 5-6 Nebraska (11am)
10-1 Toledo @ 5-6 Central Michigan (11am)
5-6 Utah State @ 4-7 New Mexico (2:30)

Our chances aren't looking good, as we'll need a few upsets of 5-6 teams to make it in. TCU, Nebraska, or Central Michigan winning today would be a disaster. New Mexico pulling out the win would be great for us.


-Added times - Scooba

Does this factor in James Madison?

[EdwardDrayton]

As a coach and a player, you play the game. As a fan, don't want to see any more of what we witnessed last night.

[Young dawg]

Iowa and Nebraska tied in the 4th.

[ScoobaDawg]

Toledo and ou in charge.

Would be our damn luck Nebraska shows up for once... Still tied but Nebraska in fg territory under 6 to play

[ScoobaDawg]

Lol wiiiiiiideeeee left. Still tied

[Catfish]

Toledo and ou in charge.

Would be our damn luck Nebraska shows up for once... Still tied but Nebraska in fg territory under 6 to play

Believe it or not, Nebraska is favored.

[ScoobaDawg]

Here we go. For the win...

Oh boy changing kickers for the win... First fg of the year... Wow


Iowa wins

[msstate7]

So if NM wins, what's percentage we go bowling?

[Catfish]

Looking better.

[msudawg1200]

That was ugly. That was big for the bowl chances. Come on New Mexico upset Utah St

[msudawg1200]

So if NM wins, what's percentage we go bowling?

8 teams out of 15 games would have to win tomorrow to keep us out

[Commercecomet24]

8 teams out of 15 games would have to win tomorrow to keep us out

Dude you are the best at keeping up with this. Thank you! Please keep us updated

[MedDawg]

***Please, can't we get just one more opportunity to try the Mike Wright QB experiment -- it's bound to work THIS time in a crappy bowl game.***

There are some bad bowl teams we could beat with Wright running the ball every play.

[HRTFXR]

***Please, can't we get just one more opportunity to try the Mike Wright QB experiment -- it's bound to work THIS time in a crappy bowl game.***

Agree. If we can just get him in for 2 or 3 random plays during a bowl game, we should really come out on top! #TheBarbayEffect

[CadaverDawg]

If we make a bowl, any chance we can suit Barbay up to catch a few of those long progressing swing passes out of the backfield? Nobody deserves to get lit up more than that dude

[No BS Dawg]

8 teams out of 15 games would have to win tomorrow to keep us out

I just looked at tomorrow?s games. It?s going to be a tough road. There are several five win teams with very winnable games.

[msudawg1200]

I just looked at tomorrow?s games. It?s going to be a tough road. There are several five win teams with very winnable games.

Yeah, we really needed New Mexico to pull it off. Very much uphill from here.

[Commercecomet24]

Yeah, we really needed New Mexico to pull it off. Very much uphill from here.

What's the games we need to watch tomorrow? Thanks

[BeardoMSU]

Yeah, we really needed New Mexico to pull it off. Very much uphill from here.

TD, mf'er...

[msstate7]

Yeah, we really needed New Mexico to pull it off. Very much uphill from here.

Not over yet

[BeardoMSU]

The announcer just said to run it on first down because the clock will stop at 2min, lol.

[Really Clark?]

They driving

[BigDawg81]

Tied Game

[BeardoMSU]

UNM passes for obvious 1st down....QB runs up and spikes it...same guy who thinks CFB has a 2 minute warning then says "OMG did he just Spike it on 4th down?". Is this guy stoned?

[msudawg1200]

New Mexico trying to pull it out

[Commercecomet24]

Let's go Lobos!

[confucius say]

Utah St just got away with a blatant hold on that QB scramble for a TD

[msstate7]

If they score, go for 2.

[confucius say]

Kick it and tie. Don't go for 2

[Commercecomet24]

Utah St just got away with a blatant hold on that QB scramble for a TD

Yeah they did only reason he scored

[confucius say]

Tie game

[confucius say]

3rd and goal from the 1 foot line and don't score. From the shotgun no less. Geez.

[Commercecomet24]

3rd and goal from the 1 foot line and don't score. From the shotgun no less. Geez.

Yeah I'd a went on 4th down from that close

[confucius say]

I think you have to go for the TD there on 4th and 1. Don't think you can keep Utah state from scoring

[confucius say]

Another missed holding!!

[Commercecomet24]

Another missed holding!!

Every time usu runs to the perimeter they're holding

[Commercecomet24]

I think you have to go for the TD there on 4th and 1. Don't think you can keep Utah state from scoring

Agreed

[msudawg1200]

What a damn lucky play

[confucius say]

That's why you have to go for it on 4th and 1.
Neither defense had stopped either offense

[confucius say]

Still got the 3-1 we needed on the day

[msstate7]

4-7 team scared to go for it from the 1. Good God, the only thing worse than watching us play this year is having to pull for teams even worse to try and save our bowl streak

[CoachT14]

Wrong way to look at it. Who cares if we lose. Gives you an extra spring practice to install your system with young guys and see if Parson shows promise in the system (otherwise you need temporal qb)

We are getting one regardless.

[confucius say]

We are getting one regardless.

Yea that was meant to say two portal QB.
We are certainly getting one. Maybe two.

[Commercecomet24]

4-7 team scared to go for it from the 1. Good God, the only thing worse than watching us play this year is having to pull for teams even worse to try and save our bowl streak

Yeah don't understand it. You're 4-7, you got nothing to lose. Half a yard, go for it!

[msudawg1200]

4-0 today would've been nice, but we got our 3-1. 15 games tomorrow. We need 7 teams or less to win. If we can get the big underdogs Cal, Wazzu, BYU, SCar, Florida, and Navy to lose all we'd need is two more teams to lose. Here's the slate. Team we need to lose is listed first.
Cal at UCLA
Wash St at Washington
BYU at Oklahoma St
South Carolina vs Clemson
Florida vs FSU
Navy at SMU
UCF vs Houston
USF vs Charlotte
ULL vs ULM
Marshall vs Arkansas St
Old Dominion vs Georgia St
Colorado St at Hawai?i
Northern Illinois at Kent St
Illinois vs Northwestern
Virginia Tech at Virginia

[confucius say]

Here are your 15 games tomorrow. The teams at issue are listed first. Root against them.
I believe we need no more than 7 to win tomorrow. Right MSUdawg1200?
Nine are favored. Six are underdogs.
So I believe if the underdogs lose, we need two of the favorites to lose.

11:00
UCF -14 v Houston
Navy +20 at SMU
NIU -20 at Kent St

1:00
ODU -3 vs Ga St

2:00
ULL -12.5 vs ULM

2:30
VT -2.5 at Virginia
Illinois -5.5 vs Northwestern
BYU +17 at Ok St
Marshall -2 vs Ark State

3:00
Wash St +17 at Wash

6:00
Fla +6.5 vs FSU

6:30
USCe +7.5 vs Clemson
USF -6.5 vs Charlotte

9:30
Cal +9 at UCLA

10:00
CSU -5.5 at Hawaii

[msudawg1200]

Here are your 15 games tomorrow. The teams at issue are listed first. Root against them.
I believe we need no more than 7 to win tomorrow. Right MSUdawg1200?
Nine are favored. Six are underdogs.
So I believe if the underdogs lose, we need two of the favorites to lose.

11:00
UCF -14 v Houston
Navy +20 at SMU
NIU -20 at Kent St

1:00
ODU -3 vs Ga St

2:00
ULL -12.5 vs ULM

2:30
VT -2.5 at Virginia
Illinois -5.5 vs Northwestern
BYU +17 at Ok St
Marshall -2 vs Ark State

3:00
Wash St +17 at Wash

6:00
Fla +6.5 vs FSU

6:30
USCe +7.5 vs Clemson
USF -6.5 vs Charlotte

9:30
Cal +9 at UCLA

10:00
CSU -5.5 at Hawaii

You are correct

[Smitdawg]

Are we sure that Jacksonville State is eligible before 5-7 teams this year? They are in year 1 of their transition to FBS. James Madison is in year 2 of their transition, which is why they can get a bowl. Last year, in year 1, James Madison was denied a bowl, allowing Rice to get a bowl at 5-7. I guess it is possible that the NCAA changed that this season.

[CadaverDawg]

So where would you guys put our percentage chances of making a bowl at the moment?

[Quaoarsking]

So where would you guys put our percentage chances of making a bowl at the moment?

I haven't run a Monte Carlo simulation or anything, but I'm guessing like 20%

[Quaoarsking]

Are we sure that Jacksonville State is eligible before 5-7 teams this year? They are in year 1 of their transition to FBS. James Madison is in year 2 of their transition, which is why they can get a bowl. Last year, in year 1, James Madison was denied a bowl, allowing Rice to get a bowl at 5-7. I guess it is possible that the NCAA changed that this season.

Everyone's reporting that they are.

[confucius say]

So where would you guys put our percentage chances of making a bowl at the moment?

I'm thinking 50-50

[Commercecomet24]

So where would you guys put our percentage chances of making a bowl at the moment?

I'm going 50/50

[msstate7]

So where would you guys put our percentage chances of making a bowl at the moment?

We're fans of miss state, you can bet the house 8 win tomorrow with 4 of them on game winning FGs or OT

[msudawg1200]

So where would you guys put our percentage chances of making a bowl at the moment?

If you go strictly by Vegas odds on the favorites winning it's 40%, but you know it never plays out that way. I'm going 50-50.

[msudawg1200]

Are we sure that Jacksonville State is eligible before 5-7 teams this year? They are in year 1 of their transition to FBS. James Madison is in year 2 of their transition, which is why they can get a bowl. Last year, in year 1, James Madison was denied a bowl, allowing Rice to get a bowl at 5-7. I guess it is possible that the NCAA changed that this season.
I thought the same thing, so a few weeks ago I started researching it, and apparently they just had a one year instead of two year transition which allows them a bowl this year if not enough 6 win teams are available.

[Smitdawg]

I thought the same thing, so a few weeks ago I started researching it, and apparently they just had a one year instead of two year transition which allows them a bowl this year if not enough 6 win teams are available.

That makes sense. I didn't realize that they made Jacksonville State's transition only a single season instead of 2 like previous schools. Thanks.

[Tater]

That makes sense. I didn't realize that they made Jacksonville State's transition only a single season instead of 2 like previous schools. Thanks.

It's more that they spent year 1 in transition in FCS. JMU bucked the normal trend by going up a year early.

[Leeshouldveflanked]

I doubt we would have enough players to field a team if we had a bowl offered.

[Pancho]

Oh really? how many players do we got?

[Quaoarsking]

I doubt we would have enough players to field a team if we had a bowl offered.

In 2020 we played Georgia with like 45 guys.

[MetEdDawg]

Houston up 7-0 early
SMU up 14-0 early

[MetEdDawg]

Kent State at 1-10 up on Northern Illinois 14-10 and driving.

SMU blowing out Navy

FAU up early on Rice

Houston down to UCF 13-10 but us the ball and driving

So far things going the way we need them to

[Turfdawg67]

How we looking MetEd??

[MetEdDawg]

How we looking MetEd??

UCF has opened the lead good on Houston. That one not looking good.

The others look good. Kent State leading Northern Illinois leading in the 4th.

FAU up on Rice (although Rice gets in over us anyways I think based on APR)

SMU up big.

Northern Illinois would be the big one. That's not one folks expected. I think Kent State was the biggest underdog against the remaining 5-7 teams.

[Catfish]

UCF has opened the lead good on Houston. That one not looking good.

The others look good. Kent State leading Northern Illinois leading in the 4th.

FAU up on Rice (although Rice gets in over us anyways I think based on APR)

SMU up big.

Northern Illinois would be the big one. That's not one folks expected. I think Kent State was the biggest underdog against the remaining 5-7 teams.

Any chance you could get Harbaugh or his buddy to steal some signs to help us out?

[MetEdDawg]

UCF finished off Houston so that's another spot taken.

Kent State not in good shape with Northern Illinois. Likely another spot taken

SMU doing their job against Navy. Up 59-14

Georgia State up 14-0 on Old Dominion which is good.

[confucius say]

Ga St was up 21-0 and is about to give it away

[Commercecomet24]

Ga state up by 2 scores now, 24-14

[CaptainObvious]

Ok St. sucks. They are giving away the Conf. championship game and setting up BYU for a bowl slot.

[MetEdDawg]

Afternoon slate of games not going well for us

[msudawg1200]

Ga St was up 21-0 and is about to give it away

They just went up 24-14. Freaking NW just threw one of the worst pick six I've ever seen, so NW is down. Oklahoma St is choking against BYU down 21-6 with a Big 12 title game spot on the line. I thought we were chokers. Oklahoma St are easily the biggest chokers in big games. It's gonna take a miracle for us now.

[Commercecomet24]

They just went up 24-14. Freaking NW just threw one of the worst pick six I've ever seen, so NW is down. Oklahoma St is choking against BYU down 21-6 with a Big 12 title game spot on the line. I thought we were chokers. Oklahoma St are easily the biggest chokers in big games. It's gonna take a miracle for us now.

Okie state always comes back though so I still have some hope there

[confucius say]

That would be a horrible loss by ok state

[msudawg1200]

Northwestern back up at the half. Georgia State up 24-14 with around 4:30 left and the ball in ODU territory. Gotta have a comeback by Okie State, because ULL to no surprise is thumping ULM, VT is destroying UVA 24-0 at the half, and Arkansas St, who scored 77 last week, has managed a measly 7 points and trails Marshall 28-7 at halftime. NW has to hold on, and Okie St has to come back. Washington needs to beat Wazzu also, and is up 14-7.

[MetEdDawg]

Wisconsin and Minnesota tied at 14 at the half. Need Wisconsin to win that one

[msudawg1200]

Wisconsin and Minnesota tied at 14 at the half. Need Wisconsin to win that one

That game doesn't matter, because Minnesota is ahead of us win or lose because their APR is higher

[MetEdDawg]

That game doesn't matter, because Minnesota is ahead of us win or lose because their APR is higher

Right. I keep forgetting Minnesota is one of those teams

[msstate7]

What's the probable wins total right now toward the 7?

[Quaoarsking]

Old Dominion won. Brutal for us.

[msudawg1200]

What's the probable wins total right now toward the 7?

Old Dominion just came back to somehow beat Georgia State. I don't even know how to explain the awfulness of that last 1:50 seconds for Georgia State. That might've been the worse display of trying to play football I've ever seen. Just go look it up and watch. Anyway, our bowl hopes are done. That about puts the final nail in the coffin.

[confucius say]

Georgia state just lost to Old dominion on the last play of the game after being up 21-0.
Brutal. That may end it.

[confucius say]

Old Dominion just came back to somehow beat Georgia State. I don't even know how to explain the awfulness of that last 1:50 seconds for Georgia State. That might've been the worse display of trying to play football I've ever seen. Just go look it up and watch. Anyway, our bowl hopes are done. That about puts the final nail in the coffin.

How in the name of all that is evil did they take a safety!! I am speechless.

[Commercecomet24]

And we thought we were bad. Ga state just said hold my beer! Smh

[Turfdawg67]

So we are 2-3 so far, I think. We've gotten SMU and GSU and lost Houston, Kent St and ULM

[Turfdawg67]

And we thought we were bad. Ga state just said hold my beer! Smh

Wait, GSU lost?

[Commercecomet24]

I want our bowl streak to stay alive but maybe it's best to put a stake in the heart of this nosferatu like season.

[Commercecomet24]

Wait, GSU lost?

Yea and in a most horrific way. Go look at the highlights and you'll cringe!

[Quaoarsking]

Looks like we're out, unless Florida, USF, South Carolina, Cal, and Colorado State all lose. The "good" news is that only 2 of them are favorites, but it's still a long shot.

And this is assuming Illinois doesn't come back and beat Northwestern.

[Turfdawg67]

Looks like we're out, unless Florida, USF, South Carolina, Cal, and Colorado State all lose. The "good" news is that only 2 of them are favorites, but it's still a long shot.

And this is assuming Illinois doesn't come back and beat Northwestern.

If we need 8 to win, that's still only 7, I believe.

[Turfdawg67]

I want our bowl streak to stay alive but maybe it's best to put a stake in the heart of this nosferatu like season.

I hear ya CC, but I'm still hoping. I won't lose sleep either way! Lol!

[Commercecomet24]

I hear ya CC, but I'm still hoping. I won't lose sleep either way! Lol!

I'm right there with ya brother! I'm a never give up guy!

[Commercecomet24]

Northwestern about to win okie state about to win. Those will
Help

[Really Clark?]

Wash St just tied it up at 21

[Tater]

https://old.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/183p1pf/live_jmu_bowl_eligibility_odds_tracker/

This reddit thread has a pretty good tracker of what's going on. Says 24% chance. But we definitely need Okie in OT and Washington to win the Apple Cup

[Really Clark?]

Double OT OK St...come on you Pokes!!

[DEDawg]

OSU just pulled it out. There?s one

[Really Clark?]

OK St wins!

[ScoobaDawg]

Hell of a play by OK state #9 to strip the ball and win the game

[ScoobaDawg]

Washington close to fg range. Under 1 minute

[ScoobaDawg]

Washington lines up 42 yard attempt.

Time out...

[Really Clark?]

Washington Wins!

[ScoobaDawg]

UW Walks it off. Fg is good

[msudawg1200]

Gotta have 4 of 5 of Florida, SC, Cal, USF, and Colorado St lose. That stupid Georgia St game is going to be the one that costs is the bowl streak.

[Quaoarsking]

Still not likely ... but not dead yet!

[Tater]

5 bowl slots left.

JMU, JSU, Minny ahead of us. So we can only afford one loss.

Six games:

USF Charlotte
Colorado St Hawai'I
Navy Army (yes it could come down to we get in over Army if they win but Navy gets in over us if they win)
South Carolina Clemson
Cal UCLA
Florida FSU

[Commercecomet24]

NW, okie state and uw all win in the last 30 minutes. We on a roll!

[msudawg1200]

5 bowl slots left.

JMU, JSU, Minny ahead of us. So we can only afford one loss.

Six games:

USF Charlotte
Colorado St Hawai'I
Navy Army (yes it could come down to we get in over Army if they win but Navy gets in over us if they win)
South Carolina Clemson
Cal UCLA
Florida FSU
I understand it that Navy had to win today. You have to have your 6 wins by the time bowl announcements come out next weekend. The bowls aren't going to wait or make other teams wait.

[HancockCountyDog]

Florida State is in trouble without their QB.

[confucius say]

Root against the first listed team. Need 4 of 5 to lose.

This window is

Usce vs Clemson
Fla vs FSU
USF vs Charlotte

The late window is

Cal at UCLA
Col St at Hawaii

[Really Clark?]

Florida St is not the same team without Travis. If they come back and win close, I'm not sure I put them as a top 4 team

[Tater]

I understand it that Navy had to win today. You have to have your 6 wins by the time bowl announcements come out next weekend. The bowls aren't going to wait or make other teams wait.

The way I understand it is that it would be a "Navy OR" situation if it's a 5 win team or JMU / JSU. So let's just go 5 for 5 tonight and not worry about it.

[Catfish]

Florida St is not the same team without Travis. If they come back and win close, I'm not sure I put them as a top 4 team

I don't think Washington will be there in the end. Not a top four team in my opinion.

[msudawg1200]

The way I understand it is that it would be a "Navy OR" situation if it's a 5 win team or JMU / JSU. So let's just go 5 for 5 tonight and not worry about it.

Where did you see this, because it's the opposite of the three articles I read one of them being the official Navy football page from The Annapolis Capital Gazette

[ScoobaDawg]

Fsu looking terrible. Uf up 12-0

[Tater]

Where did you see this, because it's the opposite of the three articles I read one of them being the official Navy football page from The Annapolis Capital Gazette

Precedent the last time it happened, but my memory was wrong on the details. UCLA was 6-6 but didn't have a tie-in.

The 2009 edition of the EagleBank Bowl was originally to match Army and the eighth team selected from the ACC.[3] Army finished the regular season at 5–7 after failing to defeat rival Navy to become bowl eligible. Only seven teams from the ACC finished with bowl-qualifying regular season records (6–6 or better.)

If you have something that official sounding from Navy itself then that feels more finite. But I'd hate to have the rug pulled out from under us.

[Quaoarsking]

Charlotte not doing us any favors. It's going to come down to the other 4.

[msudawg1200]

Precedent the last time it happened, but my memory was wrong on the details. UCLA was 6-6 but didn't have a tie-in.

The 2009 edition of the EagleBank Bowl was originally to match Army and the eighth team selected from the ACC.[3] Army finished the regular season at 5–7 after failing to defeat rival Navy to become bowl eligible. Only seven teams from the ACC finished with bowl-qualifying regular season records (6–6 or better.)

If you have something that official sounding from Navy itself then that feels more finite. But I'd hate to have the rug pulled out from under us.

That was a loooooong time ago. Totally different now. However, I could still see the NCAA forcing a bowl to wait for them

[msudawg1200]

Charlotte not doing us any favors. It's going to come down to the other 4.

I felt it was always going to come down to Colorado St and Hawaii

[Quaoarsking]

I felt it was always going to come down to Colorado St and Hawaii

Who else is going to stay up and watch?

[ScoobaDawg]

Maybe if this bourbon bottle share keeps going lol

Just killed boss hog X
On to the parkers heritage rye and Thomas h handy

[Quaoarsking]

Precedent the last time it happened, but my memory was wrong on the details. UCLA was 6-6 but didn't have a tie-in.

The 2009 edition of the EagleBank Bowl was originally to match Army and the eighth team selected from the ACC.[3] Army finished the regular season at 5–7 after failing to defeat rival Navy to become bowl eligible. Only seven teams from the ACC finished with bowl-qualifying regular season records (6–6 or better.)

If you have something that official sounding from Navy itself then that feels more finite. But I'd hate to have the rug pulled out from under us.

USA Today reports that Navy is out: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2023/11/20/college-football-bowl-eligibility-picture/71648714007/

So we need Florida State and Clemson to hold on, and then UCLA and Hawaii to win tonight, and if all of that happens, we've somehow backed our way in.

[DawgFromOxford]

Florida State secures the win

[Tater]

USA Today reports that Navy is out: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2023/11/20/college-football-bowl-eligibility-picture/71648714007/

So we need Florida State and Clemson to hold on, and then UCLA and Hawaii to win tonight, and if all of that happens, we've somehow backed our way in.

Well Clemson, UCLA, and Hawaii let's go. Hawaii if you win pick us for the hawaii bowl and we'll pack it out.

[msudawg1200]

Looks like it's coming down to UCLA vs Cal and Hawaii vs Colorado St
https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/000/840/283/350.png

[confucius say]

UCLA is a 9 point favorite.
But Hawaii is a 5.5 point dog.

Freaking Georgia State choking a 21-0 lead and losing on the last play of the game is going to cost us isn't it

[Quaoarsking]

Down to just 2. Go UCLA and Hawaii!

[msudawg1200]

UCLA is a 9 point favorite.
But Hawaii is a 5.5 point dog.

Freaking Georgia State choking a 21-0 lead and losing on the last play of the game is going to cost us isn't it

I said it when it happened that game was going to be the killer. ESPN FPI gives Hawaii a 56.9% chance to win. Go 'Bows!!!!

[confucius say]

Anybody know gow to watch the Colorado state at Hawaii game?

[DawgFromOxford]

Both Hawaii and UCLA down early. UCLA lost their starting QB on the opening drive so that?s not great

[msudawg1200]

Both Hawaii and UCLA down early. UCLA lost their starting QB on the opening drive so that?s not great

UCLA just missed a 23 yard FG. They are laying a turd right now. Hawaii just tied it up at 7. UCLA needs to get their crap together.

[Quaoarsking]

UCLA takes the lead! Hawaii and CSU tied.

[Really Clark?]

UCLA gives the lead right back...wow

[msudawg1200]

Chip Kelly and the Bruins crapping the bed. I'm going to be pissed if Hawaii wins, but UCLA blows this

[msudawg1200]

I'm out. It's been fun and disgusting all at the same time. To Georgia State and UCLA thanks for nothing, but we did it to ourselves. Goodbye, bowl streak. Going to be weird this holiday season without a State football game to look forward to. All good things must come to an end.

[confucius say]

Ga state choking killed us. Unbelievable.
That and the bad luck of ucla qb going down in the opening series.

[Charlie_Sheen420]

I'm out. It's been fun and disgusting all at the same time. To Georgia State and UCLA thanks for nothing, but we did it to ourselves. Goodbye, bowl streak. Going to be weird this holiday season without a State football game to look forward to. All good things must come to an end.
It?s probably for the best I?d rather be 5-7 than 5-8 and go through another 3 hours of watching whatever the hell this team is. The extra practices don?t mean anything as everything is going to be reset and built from the ground up with a new staff.

[Quaoarsking]

Personally I just enjoy watching Mississippi State football and would love to do it one more time this year, rather than not getting to do that.

[confucius say]

Hawaii up 14-10.
Need ucla to wake up

[Tater]

Peter Sirmon having the defensive game of his life to keep us from a bowl. Insane.

[Quaoarsking]

Dammit, UCLA. Ruining everything here.

[Quaoarsking]

It's over. We should've been better than 1-7 in the conference and this wouldn't matter.

[Commercecomet24]

Did chip Kelly have a bet on the game? Smh they suck

[confucius say]

UCLA sucks. I see why they want Kelly fired now.

Hawaii handling business.

We're going to be the first team out. That Ga State fluke at the end killed us. They win and we're in.

[Tater]

Did chip Kelly have a bet on the game? Smh they suck

True Freshmen QB tend to suck.

I gave Will a lot of shit but that 2020 Georgia game was something else.

[The Federalist Engineer]

UCLA is a 9 point favorite.
But Hawaii is a 5.5 point dog.

Freaking Georgia State choking a 21-0 lead and losing on the last play of the game is going to cost us isn't it

I think Cal Berkeley is about the worst school for any bowl. They are way richer than MSU alumni but unless you are torching federal monuments or protesting something, Cal won't show up in numbers.

Hawaii can only host bowls, expensive flight in or out. Colorado State has zero fans these days. More vendors and staff than fans when I visit that place.

Good to get an extra practice.

[Commercecomet24]

True Freshmen QB tend to suck.

I gave Will a lot of shit but that 2020 Georgia game was something else.

Naw Kelly been up and down and don't have the same production he had Oregon, not even close. He looks old and tired

[BulldogBear]

So, there are 44 post season opportunities and there are only going to be 81 bowl eligible schools, 79 if JMU and Jax State don't get a waiver.

So, at least three 5-7 schools will be going bowling. Where do rank on the academics?

[Quaoarsking]

So, there are 44 post season opportunities and there are only going to be 81 bowl eligible schools, 79 if JMU and Jax State don't get a waiver.

So, at least three 5-7 schools will be going bowling. Where do rank on the academics?

81 bids of 82 accounted for as JMU and JSU already have their waiver. Colorado State gets spot #82 if they come back and win tonight. If they don't, Minnesota gets it. We miss out by 1 spot.

[Todd4State]

81 bids of 82 accounted for as JMU and JSU already have their waiver. Colorado State gets spot #82 if they come back and win tonight. If they don't, Minnesota gets it. We miss out by 1 spot.

Honestly if we went to a bowl it would have been a mess. It would have been somewhere like the Mobile Bowl and we probably would have gotten beaten by some directional MAC school.

[Offshore Dawg]

There is always the chance that a qualified school could decline a bowl bid.

[confucius say]

There is always the chance that a qualified school could decline a bowl bid.

That was my thought this morning. Maybe Minnesota will say nah we good, lol

[msudawg1200]

That was my thought this morning. Maybe Minnesota will say nah we good, lol

Minnesota has said they are accepting. It's over

[DEDawg]

Minnesota has said they are accepting. It's over

Always possible a different team does not accept for whatever reason. Way I understand it is we are 1 away looking out. Very tiny slim amount of hope