Quick Statistical Look -- Us vs OK State

[engie]

Broken down to BCS opponents.
2012 OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS SCHEDULE
L59-38 vs Arizona -- #104(35.3ppg) -- 2.7 over
L41-36 vs Texas -- #72(29.2ppg) -- 6.8 over
W20-14 vs Kansas -- #112(36.1ppg) -- 22.1 under
W31-10 vs Iowa St -- #38(23.9ppg) -- 7.1 over
W36-14 vs TCU -- #30(22.6ppg) -- 13.2 over
L44-30 vs Kansas St -- #28(22.2ppg) -- 7.8 over
W55-34 vs West Va -- #117(38.1ppg) -- 16.9 over
W59-21 vs Texas Tech -- #91(31.8ppg) -- 27.2 over
L51-48 OT vs Oklahoma -- #50(25.5ppg) -- 22.5 over
L41-34 vs Baylor -- #113(37.2ppg) -- 3.2 under
W58-14 vs Purdue -- #87(31.2ppg) -- 26.8 over

They scored, on average, 9.61ppg more than the teams they played allowed on average.

In the past 3 years, we've allowed:
2012: 23.3ppg
2011: 19.7ppg
2010: 19.6ppg

Based on this, their scoring "expectation" against us should be approximately 33ppg IF we didn't improve defensively at all from last year and their offense didn't get worse.

They allowed:
2012 OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS SCHEDULE
L59-38 vs Arizona -- #15(38.2ppg) -- 20.8 over
L41-36 vs Texas -- #23(35.7ppg) -- 5.3 over
W20-14 vs Kansas -- #118(18.3ppg) -- 1.7 over
W31-10 vs Iowa St -- #87(24.5ppg) -- 14.5 under
W36-14 vs TCU -- #68(28.3ppg) -- 14.3 under
L44-30 vs Kansas St -- #11(38.8ppg) -- 5.2 over
W55-34 vs West Va -- #9(39.5ppg) -- 5.5 under
W59-21 vs Texas Tech -- #20(37.5ppg) -- 16.5 under
L51-48 OT vs Oklahoma -- #15(38.2ppg) -- 12.8 over
L41-34 vs Baylor -- #4(44.5ppg) -- 3.5 under
W58-14 vs Purdue -- #65(28.7ppg) -- 14.7 under

They gave up, on average, 2.1ppg less than they teams they played scored on average.

In the past 3 years, we've scored:
2012: 29.5ppg
2011: 25.3ppg
2010: 29.0ppg

Based on this, our scoring expectation on them should be approx 28ppg IF our offense didn't improve at all from last year and their defense didn't get worse.

I'll break it down from our side later -- average the two together -- and arrive at a projected final score -- keeping in mind that I fully expect us to be better both offensively and defensively -- and this is based on(overall) lackluster stats from last year that will not be satisfactory this year going forward...

[biscuit]

This game scares me because if the D isn't prepared, we could get embarrassed. I hope our O is ready to match up scores with them.

[msstate7]

This game scares me because if the D isn't prepared, we could get embarrassed. I hope our O is ready to match up scores with them.

I just hope ok state preps for the defense we played last year. I'm probably just a homer, but I think we win. I think in the second half our ol and rb's push them around.

[FISHDAWG]

I guess I'm homer sr. - I think we should beat them and I don't think we will have a hard time doing it ... sorry, but I don't subscribe to the "more easy games to make a bowl game " mentality .... I absolutely love opening up with these guys ... I hate the mantra - but who have they (MSU) played ? I heard enough of that last year to last a very long time

[biscuit]

I don't think for a minute that a loss is guaranteed, but we will have to absolutly bring the wood. Big 12 is soft. Hit em in the mouth and see how they respond.