Updated Severe Weather Thread

[starkvegasdawg]

The updated SPC graphic is out and has a shift south and east for the moderate risk. Everything else looking pretty steady from prior updates. I wouldn't be surprised to see storm initiation in the delta late afternoon. As long as the storms stay discrete, the tornado threat will be high. One or two long track violent tornadoes still remains possible. Again, have multiple ways to get warnings tomorrow if you are in or near the moderate and enhanced risk areas.


https://www.on3.com/boards/attachments/655d0cbe-4e9e-416c-a2da-756d576bd95c-png.270512/

[ArrowDawg]

The updated SPC graphic is out and has a shift south and east for the moderate risk. Everything else looking pretty steady from prior updates. I wouldn't be surprised to see storm initiation in the delta late afternoon. As long as the storms stay discrete, the tornado threat will be high. One or two long track violent tornadoes still remains possible. Again, have multiple ways to get warnings tomorrow if you are in or near the moderate and enhanced risk areas.


https://www.on3.com/boards/attachments/655d0cbe-4e9e-416c-a2da-756d576bd95c-png.270512/

Where will you be chasing?

[starkvegasdawg]

Where will you be chasing?

TBD. Since storms will be moving up to 60mph I can't afford to get too far west as they'll shoot past me. I may just get on 82 and drive west and then adjust north or south.

[JNC23]

Trying to travel to Starkville from Jackson this afternoon. Any idea what time I should attempt to be off the road by?

[shoeless joe]

Any chance this lines out and lessens the twister risk? I’m hoping to be able to get in the bed at a decent hour and not be tracking weather all night. Unfortunately on the eastern part of the state/golden triangle we are always late to the party.

[starkvegasdawg]

Trying to travel to Starkville from Jackson this afternoon. Any idea what time I should attempt to be off the road by?

Non-severe storms already developing. I expect severe storms starting this afternoon. When I give advice like this I do it like I was giving it to my mom or wife and err on the extreme side of caution. Based on that I wouldn't be on the road after 2:00-3:00. May not see a severe storm until 5:00 or after but I like to err on the side of caution.

[starkvegasdawg]

Any chance this lines out and lessens the twister risk? I’m hoping to be able to get in the bed at a decent hour and not be tracking weather all night. Unfortunately on the eastern part of the state/golden triangle we are always late to the party.

It is supposed to line out at some point. If it does then the tornado threat will lessen. It just doesn't look like it will do that until 3:00am or so. Best hope is we get enough storms that they more or less choke each other out.

[jgunn]

Hey stark, as always thanks for the updates! My son is supposed to travel from Desoto Co back to Starkville today. What are your thoughts for the Starkville area?

My wife is always concerned about the weather, I always tell her, "hang on, let me see what the forum is saying":)

[DLGDawg]

Non-severe storms already developing. I expect severe storms starting this afternoon. When I give advice like this I do it like I was giving it to my mom or wife and err on the extreme side of caution. Based on that I wouldn't be on the road after 2:00-3:00. May not see a severe storm until 5:00 or after but I like to err on the side of caution.

These non severe storms seem angry though. One popped up close to me.

[RocketDawg]

Any chance this lines out and lessens the twister risk? I’m hoping to be able to get in the bed at a decent hour and not be tracking weather all night. Unfortunately on the eastern part of the state/golden triangle we are always late to the party.

Take your phone to bed with you and make sure weather alerts are turned on.

[DownwardDawg]

Hey stark, as always thanks for the updates! My son is supposed to travel from Desoto Co back to Starkville today. What are your thoughts for the Starkville area?

My wife is always concerned about the weather, I always tell her, "hang on, let me see what the forum is saying":)

2 posts above yours he discusses Starkville timing. Torcon of 7 and it looks like 2:00-3:00 this afternoon it's starting. I'm just passing information. I'm not a meteorologist or storm chaser.

[DownwardDawg]

Severe thunderstorm near Montpelier moving northeast. Hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

[Churchill]

Just checked on Reed Timmer. He's in Indianola in a RENTED CAR. I love to be there when he returns it.

[CovertDawg]

Most recent Tornado outlook. Hatched area means greater than EF2 a possibility.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1630_torn.gif

[ArrowDawg]

A PDS tornado watch (particularly dangerous situation) is coming. Last time this happened in November was 2013.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd1978.gif

[DownwardDawg]

Just checked on Reed Timmer. He's in Indianola in a RENTED CAR. I love to be there when he returns it.

Where is his storm chase vehicle?

[DLGDawg]

Severe thunderstorm near Montpelier moving northeast. Hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

That was the one that popped up close to me.

[DownwardDawg]

A PDS tornado watch (particularly dangerous situation) is coming. Last time this happened in November was 2013.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd1978.gif


What site are you looking at Arrow?
Oh, and good to see you post brother.

[Dawg_Lover]

Where is his storm chase vehicle?

It was recently submerged in Florida hurricane. Not sure if being repaired, but, at the time, he was hopeful it could be.

[parabrave]

Where is his storm chase vehicle?

Still in Pine Island Fla or the scrap yard by now.

[ScoobaDawg]

What site are you looking at Arrow?
Oh, and good to see you post brother.

Best place to find these graphics and alerts is NOAA or twitter

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

On twitter use #MSWX
https://twitter.com/NWSSPC

A state guy I follow https://twitter.com/CC_StormWatch


Alright... PDS issued....

https://twitter.com/mikeremaley1/status/1597658108784168960

[DLGDawg]

What site are you looking at Arrow?
Oh, and good to see you post brother.

It's NWS on twitter

[ScoobaDawg]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0572_radar_big.gif


* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until
700 PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* Primary threats include...
Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Supercells are expected to develop this afternoon and
track northeastward across much of northeast Louisiana and central
Mississippi. Parameters appear favorable for strong and
long-tracked tornadoes this afternoon and early evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles north of Fort Polk LA to 55
miles south of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

[ScoobaDawg]

https://twitter.com/MarshallRamsey/status/1597606307372367874

[Dawg_Lover]

It was recently submerged in Florida hurricane. Not sure if being repaired, but, at the time, he was hopeful it could be.

Not sure if it is still going forward, but the following is what Reed posted on Instagram Oct 17th.
?Project Dominator Fore Rebuild began today. No insurance claims will be filed. It will be handled by Team Dominator. This will happen this winter, hopefully by Grease Rabbit Garage, on a replacement vehicle/frame. Dominator Fore will chase again.?

[jgunn]

2 posts above yours he discusses Starkville timing. Torcon of 7 and it looks like 2:00-3:00 this afternoon it's starting. I'm just passing information. I'm not a meteorologist or storm chaser.

He sure did, my bad. Thanks!

[ScoobaDawg]

https://twitter.com/Wx_Isaac/status/1597663079730667520

[starkvegasdawg]

Off work and at the house monitoring storms. Trying to avoid driving two hours the wrong direction.

[parabrave]

Got 2 TWs in Woodville area headed towards McComb area

[ScoobaDawg]

https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1597689198525284352

https://twitter.com/jdaltonwx/status/1597690018696691714

[parabrave]

There are also a few guys who are streaming the weather situations on YouTube. They have stormchasers streaming on their sites and are updating Radars constantly/

[parabrave]

Posters along 82 need to start watching the weather very serioulsy. TW near Wionna,

[RocketDawg]

Have there been any confirmed tornadoes yet? The Weather Channel has been tracking the rotation west and southwest of Starkville for over an hour but can't tell if it's a real tornado or not.

[Dawg_Lover]

These are also two I use.

The 1st one is for central & south MS.

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSJacksonMS

The 2nd one is for north MS and west TN.

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSMemphis

[parabrave]

Hey CC you had better take cover. Bassfield gonna in the path of a warned cell/

[Commercecomet24]

Hey CC you had better take cover. Bassfield gonna in the path of a warned cell/

I'm in Jones county,bassfield a good piece away. Watching the radar though. Appreciate the heads up.

[DownwardDawg]

Watching my kids in Collins!!!

[DownwardDawg]

Looks like it's going just south of my home on 84.

[Really Clark?]

Watching my kids in Collins!!!

Yeah Collins is about to get pretty rough

[Commercecomet24]

Looks like it's going just south of my home on 84.

Praying for their safety!

[Really Clark?]

Looks like it's going just south of my home on 84.

The Easter tornado track

[Really Clark?]

Confirmed Tornado near Carson (Bassfield area)

[DownwardDawg]

The Easter tornado track

I'll never forget that. But my poor neighbors south of me certainly won't.

[Really Clark?]

I'll never forget that. But my poor neighbors south of me certainly won't.

Horrendous. The smaller F3 went .1 of mile by my parents house

[parabrave]

Starkville in the line now.

[DownwardDawg]

Praying for their safety!

Stay safe brother!!!!

[Really Clark?]

Storm heading your way CC

[TUSK]

I'm bout to get sssssssssssssssssssssmoked....

Peace Out! Ya slackers!

[RocketDawg]

Looks like warned storms going toward West Point (went north of Starkville) and one bearing down on Kosciusko.

[parabrave]

I'm bout to get sssssssssssssssssssssmoked....

Peace Out! Ya slackers!

Better get to you underground Still. At least you will go happy!!!

[RocketDawg]

Mike Seidell (from the Weather Channel) is in Starksville according to Jacqui Jeras.

[Maroonthirteen]

Mike Seidell (from the Weather Channel) is in Starksville according to Jacqui Jeras.

Yep. They are filming from the Hampton parking lot. People from around the nation can see the damage already caused by the storms. The Strange Brew sign is on its side in the background.*

[Commercecomet24]

All good here it went west of us out here in Shady Grove. Got a lot of kin folks in jasper county I'm contacting right now.

[RocketDawg]

Maybe the same storm, but it seems to be playing havoc north of Columbus, headed toward Caledonia. Appears to have a debris ball. And then somewhere near Tusk.

[Commercecomet24]

Storm heading your way CC

Missed us this time! Thankfully! Gonna be a long night I'm afraid

[Really Clark?]

Missed us this time! Thankfully! Gonna be a long night I'm afraid

Good brother!! Y'all stay safe

[Commercecomet24]

Good brother!! Y'all stay safe

Thank you, brother! Appreciate it! Y'all too!

[DesotoDog1967]

Golfball hail in Southaven now

[parabrave]

Damage to structures east of
Columbus of HWY 12 near Steens with persons stuck inside/ TUSK you ok?

[Really Clark?]

Damage to structures east of
Columbus of HWY 12 near Steens with persons stuck inside/ TUSK you ok?

Damn! Yeah Tusk you good?

[Dawg_Lover]

NOAA Storm Reports

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

[starkvegasdawg]

I almost zero metered my 4th tornado earlier. It lifted literally right before it came over. I was able to still hear it. Sadly, hearing a lot of reports of damage.

[DownwardDawg]

I don't like how this looks tonight for my family.

[Dawgology]

Never been that close to a tornado in my life as I was in Caledonia/Steens tonight. Never want to again. We have friends who lost their homes tonight. One was trapped due to rubble but they were extricated and ok. Absolute devastation out here in some places.

[Dawg_Lover]

So sorry to hear that, and glad they?re at least physically okay. Was reading in the storm report link above about people in Woodlawn area trapped. Is that the same area?

[Really Clark?]

Just glad they are ok, you can replace wood and brick

[Commercecomet24]

I almost zero metered my 4th tornado earlier. It lifted literally right before it came over. I was able to still hear it. Sadly, hearing a lot of reports of damage.

Man you gotta be careful! How's the wife's car?

[Commercecomet24]

Praying for all those affected and all those still in the path of these storms. Gonna be a long night I'm afraid.

[Dawgology]

So sorry to hear that, and glad they?re at least physically okay. Was reading in the storm report link above about people in Woodlawn area trapped. Is that the same area?

Yea that’s it. Got hit pretty hard.

[DownwardDawg]

Praying for all those affected and all those still in the path of these storms. Gonna be a long night I'm afraid.

Yes it is.

[Commercecomet24]

Yes it is.

You're family ok?

[starkvegasdawg]

Man you gotta be careful! How's the wife's car?

Not a scratch. For the most part I played it extra safe.

[Commercecomet24]

Not a scratch. For the most part I played it extra safe.

Glad you and the car are both ok!

[Dawg_Lover]

Yea that?s it. Got hit pretty hard.

So sorry to hear that. Anytime something like this happens it is bad, but when it happens around the holidays it seems to hurt the heart even more. Will say a special prayer for them, and all of those affected. If there are any fundraisers for those in the area, please post the details.

[DownwardDawg]

You're family ok?

Yeah man. All good...so far! I don't like the looks of it tonight.
How about y'all? Everyone ok?

[Commercecomet24]

Yeah man. All good...so far! I don't like the looks of it tonight.
How about y'all? Everyone ok?

Glad to hear that. We're good thanks! Still got a few more rounds to go, ugly looking until about 5am

[DownwardDawg]

Glad to hear that. We're good thanks! Still got a few more rounds to go, ugly looking until about 5am

Yes. Got one crossing 84 by my deer lease it looks like. Monticello

[TUSK]

I'm "5 by 5", so far, cats...

Got another headed my way, though...

Thanks for askin', fellas!

[Commercecomet24]

I'm "5 by 5", so far, cats...

Got another headed my way, though...

Thanks for askin', fellas!

Hang in there stay safe!

[starkvegasdawg]

There is a light at the end of the tunnel. The back edge of this is at a Greenwood to Amory line.

[parabrave]

TWs still popping off around 98 McComb brookhaven and Magee area.

[Commercecomet24]

One going through Jones county right now. Passed Ellisville and headed toward northeast Jones area

[parabrave]

One going through Jones county right now. Passed Ellisville and headed toward northeast Jones area

Saw that. Which one oour posters lives in on near Seminary? I think DD lived off of 84.

[Commercecomet24]

Saw that. Which one oour posters lives in on near Seminary? I think DD lived off of 84.

Downwards Family in the Collins area

[shoeless joe]

Been dodgin em since 5 this afternoon…I think 4-5 tornado warned storms came thru over that time. the one that hit just north of steens passed right below the house right before it touched down. Grateful we missed em but hate so many weren’t as lucky. At least only property damage reported so far.

Line of heavy rain just came thru the golden triangle, looks like mostly green behind so hopin that’s it and I’m about to get some sleep.

[parabrave]

Hey Shoe not so fast. Another storm south of starkville headed to GTR and maybe Columbus

[DownwardDawg]

Downwards Family in the Collins area

Yes. 5 miles West of Collins on 84.

[DownwardDawg]

Everyone make it ok? All mine are safe.

[Commercecomet24]

Everyone make it ok? All mine are safe.

Glad y'all are good! We're all good here. Had some near misses. One north and one south of us. Praying for all those affected by these storms

[ArrowDawg]

Everyone make it ok? All mine are safe.

Doing fine, and I'm happy you and yours are safe. Unfortunately, we can't say the same for a mother and her son who were killed in Montgomery around 3 AM.

[RocketDawg]

We had a severe storm come through after midnight that dislodged a fair-sized dead limb from our immense poplar tree. It's still laying in the yard - I'll go out and cut it up for the trash pickup once the wind dies down. Don't want to be hit by anything else falling. A bunch of smaller limbs on the ground as well. I slept through the storm - it's very quiet inside my house, even upstairs.