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Coach34
07-12-2022, 07:45 PM
along with odds on each

State 6.5 over is -125
Auburn 6.5 Under is -160
Mizzou 5.5 under is -135
Tenn 7.5 over is -160
Bama 10.5 over is -255
Georgia 10.5 over is -230
A&M 8.5 over is -150
Vandy 2.5 under is -140 wowwwww
UPig 7.5 under is -145
Mississippi 7.5 over is -135
Kentucky 8 over is -115
Florida 7 over is -125
SC 6 over -125
LSU 7 under is -135

Others from our schedule

Arizona 2.5 over is -150
Memphis 7.5 under is -140

Surprised at the Mississippi and Kentucky love
Not much confidence in LSU and Auburn which is warranted
Lots of confidence in A&M to win 9
Arizona and Memphis arent very good

KOdawg1
07-12-2022, 07:52 PM
I think we'll be over. Damn well better be.

LSU over 7 seems like a decent pick to me. They've got an easy schedule in the first half

somebodyshotmypaw
07-12-2022, 08:14 PM
For us, I like the over at 6.5. I think we go 7-5, maybe 8-4. I ain’t seeing 9-3.

somebodyshotmypaw
07-12-2022, 08:15 PM
And considering Ole Miss gets Vandy and we get Georgia, Vegas considers us and the rebs as similar teams.

DownwardDawg
07-12-2022, 08:26 PM
People love Kiffin. They want him to be a good coach so bad.

Coach34
07-12-2022, 08:30 PM
For us, I like the over at 6.5. I think we go 7-5, maybe 8-4. I ain’t seeing 9-3.

I dont see any way we dont go at least 9-3

Bama and Jawja? Ok

A&M at home- 50/50
Auburn at home- we should win this
UPig at home- 60/40 us

At Kentucky and at Mississippi will decide our record. If we lose to A&M, Kentucky, and Mississippi then it will be a shitty season. This is our Waterloo and 7 wins or worse would be a massive failure

Over 6.5 should be easy money this year

Schultzy
07-12-2022, 08:34 PM
I’d take 7 right now and call it a win

TALL DAWG
07-12-2022, 09:13 PM
Old Mess has an easier schedule than most.

Todd4State
07-12-2022, 09:39 PM
I dont see any way we dont go at least 9-3

Bama and Jawja? Ok

A&M at home- 50/50
Auburn at home- we should win this
UPig at home- 60/40 us

At Kentucky and at Mississippi will decide our record. If we lose to A&M, Kentucky, and Mississippi then it will be a shitty season. This is our Waterloo and 7 wins or worse would be a massive failure

Over 6.5 should be easy money this year

The preseason people love Arkansas and Ole Miss.
I think that's the reason for the predictions.

TrapGame
07-12-2022, 10:02 PM
We beat Georgia. I'm riding that train till it goes off the track. That's gonna be one of the WTF games of college football 2022.

TrapGame
07-12-2022, 10:05 PM
Old Mess has an easier schedule than most.

Good thing too cause word is neither Altmeyer or Dart are filling Corral's shoes anytime soon.

BuckyIsAB****
07-12-2022, 10:06 PM
I dont see any way we dont go at least 9-3

Bama and Jawja? Ok

A&M at home- 50/50
Auburn at home- we should win this
UPig at home- 60/40 us

At Kentucky and at Mississippi will decide our record. If we lose to A&M, Kentucky, and Mississippi then it will be a shitty season. This is our Waterloo and 7 wins or worse would be a massive failure

Over 6.5 should be easy money this year

Agree except the waterloo part

TheLostDawg
07-12-2022, 10:36 PM
We beat Georgia. I'm riding that train till it goes off the track. That's gonna be one of the WTF games of college football 2022.

I would say this is our upset of the season but I doubt smart has forgotten about the last time we played then. They'll be prepared this time.

Todd4State
07-13-2022, 12:29 AM
Good thing too cause word is neither Altmeyer or Dart are filling Corral's shoes anytime soon.

Really difficult to replace a first round (talent) QB like that.

I think they're going to be very different without Lebby and I'm assuming that their QB's can't scramble like Corral or have a year where they almost throw no INT's.

viverlibre
07-13-2022, 04:57 AM
I have us at 6-6/7-5, so that win total is on point. Winning non-cons gets us to 4. Need to win two of these four (UM, Ark, UK, Barn) to get to 6. To get to seven we either have to beat TAMU or LSU or win thee of the four swing games. Seven wins is our ceiling. If we win eight, Leach is coach of the year.

somebodyshotmypaw
07-13-2022, 06:48 AM
I dont see any way we dont go at least 9-3

Bama and Jawja? Ok

A&M at home- 50/50
Auburn at home- we should win this
UPig at home- 60/40 us

At Kentucky and at Mississippi will decide our record. If we lose to A&M, Kentucky, and Mississippi then it will be a shitty season. This is our Waterloo and 7 wins or worse would be a massive failure

Over 6.5 should be easy money this year

You said you don’t see any way we don’t go at least 9-3. Then in the exact same post you gave a scenario where we don’t go at least 9-3. So your post makes no sense.


I don’t think we go 9-3. I think we go 7-5 or 8-4. I hope we go 12-0.

thf24
07-13-2022, 07:08 AM
Old Mess has an easier schedule than most.

They've also set themselves up for a collapse by bringing in a massive proportion of mostly unproven transfers.

FISHDAWG
07-13-2022, 07:22 AM
I think UGA, aTm, & Kentucky are all a little over rated .... We're about right and I would def take the over on us. As just mentioned above - wild ass upset chance against UGA could make our season and I also think it's not outside the realm of possibility

TrapGame
07-13-2022, 08:16 AM
Really difficult to replace a first round (talent) QB like that.

I think they're going to be very different without Lebby and I'm assuming that their QB's can't scramble like Corral or have a year where they almost throw no INT's.

I've heard Dart has a canon but doesn't know how to aim it. He overthrows his short passes most of the time. Altmeyer is great on the short passes but can't push it downfield.

sleepy dawg
07-13-2022, 08:20 AM
I have us at 6-6/7-5, so that win total is on point. Winning non-cons gets us to 4. Need to win two of these four (UM, Ark, UK, Barn) to get to 6. To get to seven we either have to beat TAMU or LSU or win thee of the four swing games. Seven wins is our ceiling. If we win eight, Leach is coach of the year.

If we win 6, it's time for Leach to go.

TrapGame
07-13-2022, 08:27 AM
If we win 6, it's time for Leach to go.

And as someone who has been a solid Leach supporter, I concur. This will be the most talented team Leach has ever had.

WhiskeyPirate
07-13-2022, 08:38 AM
So six wins he’s fired and 8 wins he’s COY ?

That spread seems a little narrow, no ?

I don’t know about the record, but if the team stays healthy they are going to be pretty darned tough to play against by the end of the year.

TrapGame
07-13-2022, 09:14 AM
So six wins he’s fired and 8 wins he’s COY ?

That spread seems a little narrow, no ?

I don’t know about the record, but if the team stays healthy they are going to be pretty darned tough to play against by the end of the year.

Year 3. Leach is considered an elite coach. It's time to start looking elite. I love Leach but it's time.

somebodyshotmypaw
07-13-2022, 09:15 AM
Again. I'm going with 7 or 8 wins. 6 wins would piss me off. I would love 9 wins, I think we have the talent to win 9, but I don't think we will. I'm just not seeing it. I see us losing to someone we shouldn't lose to. I hope I'm wrong and we win 9 (or 10 or 11 or 12). My money is on 7 or 8. I would easily take the OVER on 6.5 in Vegas.

somebodyshotmypaw
07-13-2022, 09:19 AM
Here is how I see it (regular season games only)

5% chance of 6 wins or less
45% chance of 7 wins
35% chance of 8 wins
15% chance of 9 wins or more

Lord McBuckethead
07-13-2022, 10:24 AM
People love Kiffin. They want him to be a good coach so bad.

He is a good coach. He will have his team competing, year in and out.

THE Bruce Dickinson
07-13-2022, 10:32 AM
And as someone who has been a solid Leach supporter, I concur. This will be the most talented team Leach has ever had.

This isn't his best team ever. The one Texas Tech team with Michael Crabtree comes to mind as his best.

Although, this should be a very solid squad he has. I am pumped for some Footbaw

viverlibre
07-13-2022, 10:39 AM
So six wins he’s fired and 8 wins he’s COY ?

That spread seems a little narrow, no ?

I don’t know about the record, but if the team stays healthy they are going to be pretty darned tough to play against by the end of the year.

No chance he gets fired at 6 wins, unless he ends the year on a dud with a blowout loss to OM, and probably still not. Brutal schedule.

TrapGame
07-13-2022, 10:59 AM
This isn't his best team ever. The one Texas Tech team with Michael Crabtree comes to mind as his best.

Although, this should be a very solid squad he has. I am pumped for some Footbaw

I believe that was the 2006 Texas Tech team that thumped Texas that year. Not best team per se but this is the most talent he's had on a team across the board.

Dawgfan77
07-13-2022, 11:15 AM
They've also set themselves up for a collapse by bringing in a massive proportion of mostly unproven transfers.

I hear they may have overspent for ROI and things ain't so Roses in Dixie

HancockCountyDog
07-13-2022, 12:20 PM
If we win 7 games and lose to the bears I'm all the way out.

Goldendawg
07-13-2022, 01:32 PM
If we win 7 games and lose to the bears I'm all the way out.

If we only win 7 I'm ok, but one of the seven better be OM. I'm not one that says every ok as long as we beat OM no matter our record, but for Leach to lose a 3rd in a row to them would be totally unacceptable.

Coach34
07-13-2022, 02:14 PM
Brutal schedule.

We play a down Auburn, A&M with QB questions, and UPig at home. Down Memphis and Arizona teams. An LSU team that is down on talent and going thru a 1st year coach. Mississippi who lost alot and still doesnt know who their QB will be.....

Our schedule is far from brutal.

Tater
07-13-2022, 02:41 PM
We play a down Auburn, A&M with QB questions, and UPig at home. Down Memphis and Arizona teams. An LSU team that is down on talent and going thru a 1st year coach. Mississippi who lost alot and still doesnt know who their QB will be.....

Our schedule is far from brutal.

I've got us ear-marked for 10 wins. I think we beat Georgia, lose to Bama and Arizona. Leach is good for winning 1 game he shouldn't and losing one game he shouldn't. I think PAC 12 After Dark Arizona is that game this year. No other reason. We're in better position than 10 teams on our schedule this year.

viverlibre
07-13-2022, 03:07 PM
If we win 7 games and lose to the bears I'm all the way out.

You do realize that in today's environment, Kiffen is a good coach, most would take him over Leach.

Pancho
07-13-2022, 03:28 PM
By environment do u mean available women?

viverlibre
07-13-2022, 03:34 PM
By environment do u mean available women?

winning games and banging milfs!

HoopsDawg
07-13-2022, 03:39 PM
We play a down Auburn, A&M with QB questions, and UPig at home. Down Memphis and Arizona teams. An LSU team that is down on talent and going thru a 1st year coach. Mississippi who lost alot and still doesnt know who their QB will be.....

Our schedule is far from brutal.

Dolla Bill on an island at LT? No shot at him, it's tough for anyone in this scheme.

NWADAWG
07-13-2022, 04:06 PM
This will not be his most talented offense. It may be his most talented team as a whole.

WhiskeyPirate
07-13-2022, 06:11 PM
This will not be his most talented offense. It may be his most talented team as a whole.

It’s his best defense. It’s not necessarily his best offense, Harrell-Crabtree at Tech was ranked #2 at Tech and WSU with Minshew and Borghi was ranked in the top ten I believe. It very well could be his best team.....time will tell.

BuckyIsAB****
07-13-2022, 07:44 PM
Dolla Bill on an island at LT? No shot at him, it's tough for anyone in this scheme.

I doubt he plays that unless it is bc of injury

Coach34
07-13-2022, 07:51 PM
I doubt he plays that unless it is bc of injury

What is your prediction on the OL by Game 3?

PMDawg
07-14-2022, 11:51 AM
along with odds on each

State 6.5 over is -125
Auburn 6.5 Under is -160
Mizzou 5.5 under is -135
Tenn 7.5 over is -160
Bama 10.5 over is -255
Georgia 10.5 over is -230
A&M 8.5 over is -150
Vandy 2.5 under is -140 wowwwww
UPig 7.5 under is -145
Mississippi 7.5 over is -135
Kentucky 8 over is -115
Florida 7 over is -125
SC 6 over -125
LSU 7 under is -135

Others from our schedule

Arizona 2.5 over is -150
Memphis 7.5 under is -140

Surprised at the Mississippi and Kentucky love
Not much confidence in LSU and Auburn which is warranted
Lots of confidence in A&M to win 9
Arizona and Memphis arent very good

This should really let all the folks predicting us to win 8, 9, or 10 to pump the brakes. 8 is doable, but it will be tough with that schedule.

PMDawg
07-14-2022, 11:56 AM
You said you don?t see any way we don?t go at least 9-3. Then in the exact same post you gave a scenario where we don?t go at least 9-3. So your post makes no sense.


I don?t think we go 9-3. I think we go 7-5 or 8-4. I hope we go 12-0.

He's being way too obvious this year. He's saying 9-3 should be the floor so that when Leach doesn't get there, he can criticize him hard and point back at this as "proof" that Leach failed. It's classic C34, and it really doesn't fool anyone.

TrapGame
07-14-2022, 12:53 PM
This should really let all the folks predicting us to win 8, 9, or 10 to pump the brakes. 8 is doable, but it will be tough with that schedule.

**** the schedule. It's the damn SEC. We have an elite coach in year 3. It's time to see some Texas Tech magic out there. Bo Bounds was on the radio this morning saying we'd have to scrape for 6 wins and 7 would be a mountain. If that's the case with a team as experienced as this one we are royally ****ed after this season.

BrunswickDawg
07-14-2022, 02:06 PM
**** the schedule. It's the damn SEC. We have an elite coach in year 3. It's time to see some Texas Tech magic out there. Bo Bounds was on the radio this morning saying we'd have to scrape for 6 wins and 7 would be a mountain. If that's the case with a team as experienced as this one we are royally ****ed after this season.

We had to shoot ourselves in the foot repeatedly to not win 8 games last year - and we still went 4-4 in the SEC. I think last year taught the team a lot of lessons and 9-10 wins is not out of the realm of possibilities - but it will need a season like '99 where the ball bounced our way a whole lot.

Homedawg
07-14-2022, 02:34 PM
We aren't winning 9 games. 9 means we go 9-1 against everyone besides bama and Georgia. Can't see it.

Tater
07-14-2022, 03:52 PM
Games ranked in order of easiest to strongest:

vs. ETSU
vs. BGSU
vs. Memphis
@ Arizona (still 10 pm kickoff scares me with Leach)
vs. Auburn
@ LSU
@ OM
vs. Ark
@ UK
vs. A&M
vs. UGA
@ Bama

If versus Aggy is our tenth toughest game, then we have ten winnable games.

PGHBulldogBG
07-14-2022, 04:20 PM
Games ranked in order of easiest to strongest:

vs. ETSU
vs. BGSU
vs. Memphis
@ Arizona (still 10 pm kickoff scares me with Leach)
vs. Auburn
@ LSU
@ OM
vs. Ark
@ UK
vs. A&M
vs. UGA
@ Bama

If versus Aggy is our tenth toughest game, then we have ten winnable games.

Good list, and spot on except I would move @LSU below @UK. I think we win 8 regular season and win the bowl game. Losses @bama, UGA, @LSU and a random loss to someone else but we upset aTm at home to counteract it and get us to 8-4

Coach34
07-14-2022, 04:59 PM
Good list, and spot on except I would move @LSU below @UK. I think we win 8 regular season and win the bowl game. Losses @bama, UGA, @LSU and a random loss to someone else but we upset aTm at home to counteract it and get us to 8-4

Kentucky is a better football team than LSU in 2022.
I'd flip @Mississippi and home vs UPig

But that schedule is far from brutal with who the teams are in 2022. Even Georgia with all the people they lost is in play since the game is at home.

Dawgfan77
07-14-2022, 05:15 PM
Games ranked in order of easiest to strongest:

vs. ETSU
vs. BGSU
vs. Memphis
@ Arizona (still 10 pm kickoff scares me with Leach)
vs. Auburn
@ LSU
@ OM
vs. Ark
@ UK
vs. A&M
vs. UGA
@ Bama

If versus Aggy is our tenth toughest game, then we have ten winnable games.

Just remember that ls 10 central but 8 out there. And Zona is bad

HoopsDawg
07-14-2022, 05:43 PM
Kentucky is a better football team than LSU in 2022.
I'd flip @Mississippi and home vs UPig

But that schedule is far from brutal with who the teams are in 2022. Even Georgia with all the people they lost is in play since the game is at home.

I just can't find 7 wins.

WhiskeyPirate
07-14-2022, 06:28 PM
The SOS is ranked #1 in the nation for a reason. It’s not a cakewalk

Coach34
07-14-2022, 06:47 PM
The SOS is ranked #1 in the nation for a reason. It’s not a cakewalk

Based on what? Nobody has played a down yet.

Tenn plays Fla, Georgia, Kentucky, LSU, and Bama...has Pitt OOC who is better than anybody we play OOC.
Vandy plays Bama, Mississippi, Kentucky, Tenn, Georgia, and Fla plus Wake Forest.
SC plays Clemson, UPig, A&M, Fla, Georgia, Tenn, and Kentucky. Our schedule is no tougher than theirs

It's the SEC- everybody plays a tough schedule

Coach34
07-14-2022, 06:49 PM
The SOS is ranked #1 in the nation for a reason. It’s not a cakewalk

So the preseason top 25 is how the season always plays out right?

WhiskeyPirate
07-14-2022, 06:59 PM
If this schedule isn’t tough why is ranked #1 in SOS ? They might have one team overrated but by any measure this is a tough schedule

BrunswickDawg
07-14-2022, 07:02 PM
The SOS is ranked #1 in the nation for a reason. It’s not a cakewalk

Out of interest, where is it ranked? I'd like to see it

Coach34
07-14-2022, 07:32 PM
If this schedule isn’t tough why is ranked #1 in SOS ? They might have one team overrated but by any measure this is a tough schedule

Who said we didnt have a tough schedule? My take is that it's an SEC schedule and other SEC teams have just as tough of a schedule. Plus, we wont know until the end of the season who had the toughest schedule. Nobody has played a down of football- so just like the preseason top 25- it's just speculation.

Coach34
07-14-2022, 07:35 PM
Out of interest, where is it ranked? I'd like to see it

A 247 writer said we had the toughest schedule. That's where all this comes from.

Coach34
07-14-2022, 07:37 PM
Out of interest, where is it ranked? I'd like to see it

https://www.on3.com/news/espn-fpi-ranks-top-25-toughest-schedules-2022-college-football-season-auburn-tigers-mississippi-state-bulldogs/

ESPN has us at #2- Auburn #1 with 8 of the top 10 schedules from the SEC

WhiskeyPirate
07-14-2022, 08:32 PM
https://www.on3.com/news/espn-fpi-ranks-top-25-toughest-schedules-2022-college-football-season-auburn-tigers-mississippi-state-bulldogs/

ESPN has us at #2- Auburn #1 with 8 of the top 10 schedules from the SEC

Ok the second ranked SOS in the country

HoopsDawg
07-14-2022, 08:40 PM
Ok the second ranked SOS in the country

I mean obviously when you play UGA and Bama your schedule is going to be ranked really tough. Our non-conference slate is a cake-walk. And then it's the usual SEC grind except AU and LSU appear to be down.

Coach34
07-14-2022, 08:56 PM
I mean obviously when you play UGA and Bama your schedule is going to be ranked really tough. Our non-conference slate is a cake-walk. And then it's the usual SEC grind except AU and LSU appear to be down.

Exactly- 8 of the top 10 ranked in preseason are SEC and 10 of the top 15. Every SEC team has a tough schedule. Its the price of being in the conference. Just wait till we add Texas and OU. It will only get tougher

Bothrops
07-14-2022, 10:44 PM
If we lose to the bears I'm out. Not putting up with being Freshwater's bitch.

viverlibre
07-15-2022, 12:09 PM
I mean obviously when you play UGA and Bama your schedule is going to be ranked really tough. Our non-conference slate is a cake-walk. And then it's the usual SEC grind except AU and LSU appear to be down.

I wouldn't say cake walk. I'd rather not play Memphis, if we don't keep our heads in the game, it can go south quickly. I'm hoping that it will be a revenge type game and we'll smoke 'em.

TrapGame
07-15-2022, 12:54 PM
I wouldn't say cake walk. I'd rather not play Memphis, if we don't keep our heads in the game, it can go south quickly. I'm hoping that it will be a revenge type game and we'll smoke 'em.

One thing about Memphis is they have a new DC. Another thing is I think a lot of our guys want some payback on this one. I can see Will pushing the ball downfield more and the defense playing with some fire.

Tater
07-15-2022, 04:27 PM
Kentucky is a better football team than LSU in 2022.
I'd flip @Mississippi and home vs UPig

But that schedule is far from brutal with who the teams are in 2022. Even Georgia with all the people they lost is in play since the game is at home.

I think Ark is better than OM. But beyond that, they're in the same tier of toughness.

LSU and Auburn are going to make it a trifecta of Terrible Tigers in the SEC. Between LSU/Auburn, I wouldn't be shocked to see max 3 total SEC West wins.

Tater
07-15-2022, 04:30 PM
Just remember that ls 10 central but 8 out there. And Zona is bad

2019 UCLA was terrible. Wazzu was 3-0, UCLA was 0-3. Leach was up by 32 with 20 to go. Wazzu scored 14 more points. UCLA still won in regulation.

PAC-12 After Dark is no joke. That shit has voodoo that acts indiscriminately. I am very uneasy about the timeslot voodoo more than anything. Arizona is a bad football team.

TheLostDawg
07-15-2022, 04:39 PM
I think Ark is better than OM. But beyond that, they're in the same tier of toughness.

LSU and Auburn are going to make it a trifecta of Terrible Tigers in the SEC. Between LSU/Auburn, I wouldn't be shocked to see max 3 total SEC West wins.

I think that's what he was saying. Same tier but since we play om at their place, it will be harder

Quaoarsking
07-15-2022, 04:59 PM
2019 UCLA was terrible. Wazzu was 3-0, UCLA was 0-3. Leach was up by 32 with 20 to go. Wazzu scored 14 more points. UCLA still won in regulation.

PAC-12 After Dark is no joke. That shit has voodoo that acts indiscriminately. I am very uneasy about the timeslot voodoo more than anything. Arizona is a bad football team.

I hear ya, but Arizona was the worst team in all of the P5 last year other than Vanderbilt. If we lose that, we are much worse than we think we are.

Coach34
07-15-2022, 08:06 PM
I think that's what he was saying. Same tier but since we play om at their place, it will be harder

Yes. Being at home trumps being on the road