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starkvegasdawg
07-10-2022, 08:57 PM
Almost posted this last night but held off. There is a dying cold front in the area and an area of low pressure is expected to form in the northern Gulf by mid week. By this weekend there is a chance this could end up as a tropical depression. This would have the threats for the MS and AL coasts limited to very heavy rain and rip currents. Some of the models showing very high rainfall totals so a trip to the beach this weekend may be a bit damp if this materializes.
Maroonthirteen
07-11-2022, 05:19 AM
Well.... I leave for the pan handle this morning. Reluctantly. Feels like that time I went to Oregon to find out the QB was not playing.
starkvegasdawg
07-11-2022, 09:11 AM
Well.... I leave for the pan handle this morning. Reluctantly. Feels like that time I went to Oregon to find out the QB was not playing.

Latest info trying to take more into LA now.
TheLostDawg
07-11-2022, 09:51 AM
Well.... I leave for the pan handle this morning. Reluctantly. Feels like that time I went to Oregon to find out the QB was not playing.

+
viverlibre
07-11-2022, 10:10 AM
will we get much rain in Jxn? If so, about when to expect it?
shoeless joe
07-11-2022, 01:18 PM
Headed to the Fla panhandle Saturday for a week. Hopefully this will get on out and won?t affect us too much.
Noxdog
07-11-2022, 07:25 PM
Latest info trying to take more into LA now.

I?m going to be in Louisiana this weekend.
It figures.
starkvegasdawg
07-11-2022, 10:48 PM
will we get much rain in Jxn? If so, about when to expect it?

Right now not looking for much. This is going to be right along the coast for the most part. Once you start getting north of Hattiesburg then the totals start tapering off.
starkvegasdawg
07-11-2022, 11:45 PM
Latest run of the gfs has significantly backed off the rainfall totals for this system. It's now only showing 2-4" for the coast instead of the 8-14 from earlier today. Have to see if this becomes a trend but potential good news for any vacationers.
parabrave
07-11-2022, 11:46 PM
Forecasting 10 inches of rain on the Coast. 12 inches in SELA.
starkvegasdawg
07-11-2022, 11:57 PM
Forecasting 10 inches of rain on the Coast. 12 inches in SELA.

Latest gfs has slashed that. New euro doesn't come for another couple of hours. Hope to be asleep by then.
parabrave
07-12-2022, 12:13 AM
Latest gfs has slashed that. New euro doesn't come for another couple of hours. Hope to be asleep by then.

Hope so. Roof needs repairing. NWS still forecasting 8-10 vut they will update around 0200.

https://www.weather.gov/images/lix/graphicast/small1.png?49835a56d86aa8c35b40af2b7f97e048
starkvegasdawg
07-12-2022, 12:29 AM
Hope so. Roof needs repairing. NWS still forecasting 8-10 vut they will update around 0200.

https://www.weather.gov/images/lix/graphicast/small1.png?49835a56d86aa8c35b40af2b7f97e048

They made that graphic before this latest GFS came in. But that said, they have access to stuff I don't readily have. All I can do is look at the latest model run of one model which does not constitute a forecast. The 00Z NAM is still bringing in heavy rainfall totals as is the UKMET. The Canadian is light on precip so still a lot of uncertainty.
TUSK
07-12-2022, 12:38 AM
Almost posted this last night but held off. There is a dying cold front in the area and an area of low pressure is expected to form in the northern Gulf by mid week. By this weekend there is a chance this could end up as a tropical depression. This would have the threats for the MS and AL coasts limited to very heavy rain and rip currents. Some of the models showing very high rainfall totals so a trip to the beach this weekend may be a bit damp if this materializes.

you've been PMed....
parabrave
07-12-2022, 01:41 AM
you've been PMed....

TUSK needs to know if the humidity level will be ok for his next batch and his budding crop won't wash away.
Noxdog
07-12-2022, 02:14 PM
They made that graphic before this latest GFS came in. But that said, they have access to stuff I don't readily have. All I can do is look at the latest model run of one model which does not constitute a forecast. The 00Z NAM is still bringing in heavy rainfall totals as is the UKMET. The Canadian is light on precip so still a lot of uncertainty.

I'm supposed to ne in NOLA Thursday through Sunday. TIA.
parabrave
07-12-2022, 03:07 PM
I'm supposed to ne in NOLA Thursday through Sunday. TIA.

Learn about parking on the Neutral grounds(Medians).
RocketDawg
07-12-2022, 03:12 PM
Forecasting 10 inches of rain on the Coast. 12 inches in SELA.

SELA = South East Lower Alabama? ;)
starkvegasdawg
07-12-2022, 03:34 PM
I'm supposed to ne in NOLA Thursday through Sunday. TIA.

I'd pack a raincoat. The chances of it becoming a tropical system are dropping, but it will still be capable of dropping a lot of rain. I'm going to say 3-6" is going to be pretty commonplace.
DownwardDawg
07-12-2022, 05:20 PM
Sitting in a hotel in NOLA now. Barely overcast right now, but helicopter flights offshore have been delayed all day. I'll probably have to sit at the heliport all day tomorrow. Yay.
parabrave
07-12-2022, 05:57 PM
SELA = South East Lower Alabama? ;)

Naw Dale and Coffee counties are East LA. SELA is the boot of Lousiana, new spelling.