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View Full Version : Severe threats this week



starkvegasdawg
02-20-2022, 05:58 PM
Nothing looking like it's going to be too major, but could see a very low end event tomorrow and low end event Tuesday. Tomorrow barely even looks worth mentioning but a severe storm may pop up. Tuesday could see a few more severe storms with the main threats being straight line winds to 70mph and perhaps an isolated tornado. Main threat area Tuesday is north of I-20. Also some grumblings of another low end event for Thursday but looks very minor if it happens. What will happen all week is rain. It's going to rain. Then it's going to rain some more. Then, just to change things up, it's going to rain even more. By the time Friday morning rolls around the northern half of the state could see widespread 3-4" totals with isolated spots seeing 6".

ArrowDawg
02-20-2022, 07:29 PM
Nothing looking like it's going to be too major, but could see a very low end event tomorrow and low end event Tuesday. Tomorrow barely even looks worth mentioning but a severe storm may pop up. Tuesday could see a few more severe storms with the main threats being straight line winds to 70mph and perhaps an isolated tornado. Main threat area Tuesday is north of I-20. Also some grumblings of another low end event for Thursday but looks very minor if it happens. What will happen all week is rain. It's going to rain. Then it's going to rain some more. Then, just to change things up, it's going to rain even more. By the time Friday morning rolls around the northern half of the state could see widespread 3-4" totals with isolated spots seeing 6".

Just curious, but is it going to rain much?***

Dak Holliday
02-21-2022, 09:00 AM
What?s Friday/Sat/Sun look like for Hubcity?

starkvegasdawg
02-21-2022, 10:04 AM
Tomorrow evening may be a bit more interesting. The HRRR (Hi Resolution Rapid Refresh) model has been developing discrete supecells over eastern MS and western AL late tomorrow afternoon (5:00pm). Wind shear and instability will be favorable for this development and a strengthening low level jet over the area also favors discrete cell developement. However, most of the other models are also showing a very strong cap in place and if that happens the storms will probably not be able to bust through it. If they do, though, then they will pose a very definite tornado and wind threat. Right now the HRRR looks to be standing alone on this hill, but it is also typically pretty reliable. Just remains to be seen how it all plays out.

starkvegasdawg
02-21-2022, 10:05 AM
What?s Friday/Sat/Sun look like for Hubcity?

Drier and cooler.

starkvegasdawg
02-21-2022, 02:13 PM
Starting to see some trends towards the HRRR solution mentioned above. Might want to keep an eye on tomorrow evening if you live in east central MS into NW AL.

OLJWales
02-22-2022, 09:01 AM
White Death headed to Fort Worth tomorrow. Must be one where the upper atmosphere is warmer creating freezing rain and sleet instead of snow despite temps dropping to 28. Surprised MS not getting any.