Honest opinion

[BuckyIsAB****]

No disrespect to any of the other teams but if we cant make it to Omaha with the regionals and being paired with ND we dont deserve it

[ShotgunDawg]

No disrespect to any of the other teams but if we cant make it to Omaha with the regionals and being paired with ND we dont deserve it

100% agree.

And to add, We're on the opposite side of the bracket of Arkansas & Vandy, who I think are the only two teams that are legitimately better than us. Tennessee is really good, but they don't have near the weapons or talent of Vandy & Arkansas.

We're in prime position to make a long run

[BeardoMSU]

We're in prime position to make a long run

Absolutely.

Speaking of which, OM peeps are saaaaaaalllty.

[CadaverDawg]

We're in a great spot, but unfortunately we were also in a great spot to win the SEC and proceeded to piss ourselves versus Missouri at home. In other words, we are still MSU, and as we saw against Mizzou, our boys tend to play very uninspired ball at times. I just hope we play our best baseball, because if we do we could be in Omaha in 5 games

[BeardoMSU]

We're in a great spot, but unfortunately we were also in a great spot to win the SEC and proceeded to piss ourselves versus Missouri at home. In other words, we are still MSU, and as we saw against Mizzou, our boys tend to play very uninspired ball at times. I just hope we play our best baseball, because if we do we could be in Omaha in 5 games

We've responded great every single time this season. I think we'll be ready to make a run. Having an electric homefield crowd will certainly play a factor, as well.

[HoopsDawg]

No disrespect to any of the other teams but if we cant make it to Omaha with the regionals and being paired with ND we dont deserve it

Couldn't have asked for a better regional, super regional, and CWS draw.

[KOdawg1]

The way I see it, if they can't make a good run with this draw, it was never going to happen anyway. This is about as smooth a road to Omaha that I've ever seen, and if we get there, getting to the championship series is favorable too. It's baseball (I despise that saying) and anything can happen, but the cards are in our favor this year. It all comes down to if we come out and play inspired.

[Really Clark?]

We've responded great every single time this season. I think we'll be ready to make a run. Having an electric homefield crowd will certainly play a factor, as well.

The problem is, we’ve had to respond multiple times because we can’t stay up

[Commercecomet24]

The problem is, we’ve had to respond multiple times because we can’t stay up

As an old coach of mine used to say, it's nut cuttin' time now. We're about to find out if we're doing the cutting or we're being cut.

[maroonmania]

The problem is, we?ve had to respond multiple times because we can?t stay up

Yep, to be successful in the postseason you have to be consistently good. That is something we really haven't done much this season. Getting focused and staying focused is what it will take for us to have a deep run. I'm not sure we can do that but we will see.

[BeardoMSU]

We're about to find out if we're doing the cutting or we're being cut.

Until I'm shown otherwise, I feel like we've truly been preparing for this moment. Especially with our draw, just think we're about to go on a great run.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aocAU7nW3D8

[Really Clark?]

As an old coach of mine used to say, it's nut cuttin' time now. We're about to find out if we're doing the cutting or we're being cut.

Got that right

[Todd4State]

The scary thing is it's baseball and anything can happen. I think we had the exact same issue with Mizzou and the SEC Tournament- lack of focus. I just hope our guys don't think it's going to be a cake walk because we're playing three mid majors. The good news is we responded well after the Mizzou series and I could see the same thing happening in the regional as well.

Lemonis is going to have to manage our pitching staff more liberally. There is no reason to let Sims "rest" after he pitches one game. He needs to shelve Cam Tullar for now.

Leggett needs to sit as well if he isn't going to field the ball. At least Kam James can do damage offensively and sitting Leggett allows us to get another bat in the lineup like Cumbest.

[bulldawg28]

It's time to win a national championship. Omaha is just the normal expectancy for us having a good team.

[Maroonthirteen]

https://twitter.com/charliewinfield/status/1399412109843304453?s=21

[Johnson85]

No disrespect to any of the other teams but if we cant make it to Omaha with the regionals and being paired with ND we dont deserve it

If you look at our regional, going off RPI, we got a weak #2 but a reasonably strong 3 & 4. That's definitely how I would want it to be set up, but I think people are assuming it's an easy regional based on name recognition more so than actually how good the teams are.

[Rex54]

Making it to Omaha is a hard thing to do. You can't consider the season a "failure" if we lose to ND in the Supers.

With our draw, I would place our chances of making it to Omaha at around 45-48%.

[ShotgunDawg]

With our draw, I would place our chances of making it to Omaha at around 45-48%.

I'd go more 60%.

80% chance we win our regional & then a 60% chance we beat ND

[Rex54]

I'd go more 60%.

80% chance we win our regional & then a 60% chance we beat ND

Lol so you agree with me then. Your math works out to 48% chance of making it to Omaha.

[Really Clark?]

Lol so you agree with me then. Your math works out to 48% chance of making it to Omaha.

No it doesn’t. Your math is incorrect. It’s like 75% or so

[Rex54]

No it doesn’t. Your math is incorrect. It’s like 75% or so

What in the world are you talking about?

If you give us an 80% chance of winning the regional then 80/100 moves on.

Then if you give us a 60% chance of beating ND in the Supers, you take 60% of 80, giving you...... 48% shot at making the CWS.

[Really Clark?]

What in the world are you talking about?

If you give us an 80% chance of winning the regional then 80/100 moves on.

Then if you give us a 60% chance of beating ND in the Supers, you take 60% of 80, giving you...... 48% shot at making the CWS.

Where the crap are you getting 100? Never mind, I hope after this you will never talk about anyone else’s IQ.

We have 4 teams in our regional. .8 x 4 = 3.2. You have 2 teams in the SR. .6 x 2 = 1.2. The total of 3.2 + 1.2 = 4.4. You then divide 4.4 / 6 (total number of teams of regional and SR) = .73333 or 73.3%. You have to use the actual number of the sample sizes not an arbitrary 100. Heck there are only 64 teams total...not 100 anyway. Not only that, but how could you ever look at an 80% and 60% chance and it even cross your mind that equals less than 50%? Don’t ever talk about anyone else’s IQ. Ever

[KOdawg1]

Where the crap are you getting 100? Never mind, I hope after this you will never talk about anyone else’s IQ.

We have 4 teams in our regional. .8 x 4 = 3.2. You have 2 teams in the SR. .6 x 2 = 1.2. The total of 3.2 + 1.2 = 4.4. You then divide 4.4 / 6 (total number of teams of regional and SR) = .73333 or 73.3%. You have to use the actual number of the sample sizes not an arbitrary 100. Heck there are only 64 teams total...not 100 anyway. Not only that, but how could you ever look at an 80% and 60% chance and it even cross your mind that equals less than 50%? Don’t ever talk about anyone else’s IQ. Ever

https://media.giphy.com/media/WxDZ77xhPXf3i/giphy.gif

[Rex54]

Where the crap are you getting 100? Never mind, I hope after this you will never talk about anyone else’s IQ.

We have 4 teams in our regional. .8 x 4 = 3.2. You have 2 teams in the SR. .6 x 2 = 1.2. The total of 3.2 + 1.2 = 4.4. You then divide 4.4 / 6 (total number of teams of regional and SR) = .73333 or 73.3%. You have to use the actual number of the sample sizes not an arbitrary 100. Heck there are only 64 teams total...not 100 anyway. Not only that, but how could you ever look at an 80% and 60% chance and it even cross your mind that equals less than 50%? Don’t ever talk about anyone else’s IQ. Ever

Nobody knows what point you are trying to make. We're here discussing what percent chance each of us gives of making Omaha. That percentage will be a number between 0 and 100. Again, nobody knows what point, if there is one, that you are attempting to make. Yours truly is one of the most absurd and nonsensical posts I have ever read, and the haughty confidence that you made it is all the more comical.

[Really Clark?]

Nobody knows what point you are trying to make. We're here discussing what percent chance each of us gives of making Omaha. That percentage will be a number between 0 and 100. Again, nobody knows what point, if there is one, that you are attempting to make.

That you are wrong thinking 80% chance to win the regional and 60% chance to win SR is in any way shape or form equal to a 48% chance like you stated to Shotgun’s post.

[Rex54]

That you are wrong thinking 80% chance to win the regional and 60% chance to win SR is in any way shape or form equal to a 48% chance like you stated to Shotgun’s post.

You are looking really bad here.

If Shotgun only gives us a 60% chance of winning the Super, how in God's name can you say that means we have a 75% of making it to Omaha?? Common Core is the debil...

2+2=4

80% chance of winning a regional + 60% chance of winning a Super = 48% chance of making it to Omaha. It's 6th grade math for crying out loud!

[Really Clark?]

You are looking really bad here.

If Shotgun only gives us a 60% chance of winning the Super, how in God's name can you say that means we have a 75% of making it to Omaha?? Common Core is the debil...

2+2=4

80% chance of winning a regional + 60% chance of winning a Super = 48% chance of making it to Omaha. It's 6th grade math for crying out loud!

If you have an 80% chance to advance to the SR, and you know the constant of 4 teams, then that is 3.2 chances out of 4 to win. (80/100 x 4 = 3.2) If you have a 60% chance to win the SR, then that is 1.2 chances out of 2. Now you can just say we have a 60% chance to win the SR but if you start at the regional level you have to add each number equivalent to those percentages...3.2 + 1.2 = 4.4. Then divide that by the total sample size number or 6 teams in this case. That’s the percent chance starting from the regional level. You can’t just disregard the known sample size which would be the number of teams.

ETA: 80% + 60% does not equal 48%. If you just deal with those percentages and forget the constant that we know, sample size or number of teams in this case. Simple 80+60=140 then you divide by 2 to find the avg of those 2 percentages which equals 70%..no where close to 48%. You can’t just multiple each 80 x 60 / 100 to equal your 48%. You can’t have a 48% chance, which is less than either percentages already stated

[BuckyIsAB****]

The scary thing is it's baseball and anything can happen. I think we had the exact same issue with Mizzou and the SEC Tournament- lack of focus. I just hope our guys don't think it's going to be a cake walk because we're playing three mid majors. The good news is we responded well after the Mizzou series and I could see the same thing happening in the regional as well.

Lemonis is going to have to manage our pitching staff more liberally. There is no reason to let Sims "rest" after he pitches one game. He needs to shelve Cam Tullar for now.

Leggett needs to sit as well if he isn't going to field the ball. At least Kam James can do damage offensively and sitting Leggett allows us to get another bat in the lineup like Cumbest.
If they cant get up for the postseason then what the hell do you get up for? Not to mention we just got beat like a government mule

[R2Dawg]

You are looking really bad here.

If Shotgun only gives us a 60% chance of winning the Super, how in God's name can you say that means we have a 75% of making it to Omaha?? Common Core is the debil...

2+2=4

80% chance of winning a regional + 60% chance of winning a Super = 48% chance of making it to Omaha. It's 6th grade math for crying out loud!

Yeah I don't think it is complicated.

Clark at this point, just come clean and admit you were looking at it wrong and all is OK. We all get turned around from time to time.

[Rex54]

If you have an 80% chance to advance to the SR, and you know the constant of 4 teams, then that is 3.2 chances out of 4 to win. (80/100 x 4 = 3.2) If you have a 60% chance to win the SR, then that is 1.2 chances out of 2. Now you can just say we have a 60% chance to win the SR but if you start at the regional level you have to add each number equivalent to those percentages...3.2 + 1.2 = 4.4. Then divide that by the total sample size number or 6 teams in this case. That’s the percent chance starting from the regional level. You can’t just disregard the known sample size which would be the number of teams.

ETA: 80% + 60% does not equal 48%. If you just deal with those percentages and forget the constant that we know, sample size or number of teams in this case. Simple 80+60=140 then you divide by 2 to find the avg of those 2 percentages which equals 70%..no where close to 48%. You can’t just multiple each 80 x 60 / 100 to equal your 48%. You can’t have a 48% chance, which is less than either percentages already stated

https://media2.giphy.com/media/AyyJ82RCqtxKw/giphy.gif

[Rex54]

Clark, please read the section titled "Probability of Two Events Occurring Together: Dependent"

https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/probability-main-index/how-to-find-the-probability-of-two-events-occurring-together/

[TUSK]

https://media2.giphy.com/media/AyyJ82RCqtxKw/giphy.gif

Ya shoulda gone with this, Rex:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aq_1l316ow8

[Cowbell]

Thank you guys for the laugh / this has turned epic lol

[Really Clark?]

Well hell guys, I don’t know what I had crossed in my mind. I apologize and to you especially Rex

[DownwardDawg]

Man you guys will fight over anything!!!!!

[PMDawg]

Wow. This got weird fast.

0.8 x 0.6 = 0.48. 48%. Oof.

[PMDawg]

Anyways, back on topic, I think this is a pretty tough regional. We're going to have to score in bunches to win this thing. Something we certainly CAN do, but not something we have done consistently. Game 1 should be a lay-up. After that, it's going to be a dog fight. 3-0 would be a GREAT weekend.

[Dawg496]

Really Clark must have graduated from Ole Miss School of Engineering.

[smootness]

Yikes on the math, Clark. It is definitely a 48% chance.

[mparkerfd20]

I'm embarrassed if he graduated from State.

[Rex54]

Well hell guys, I don’t know what I had crossed in my mind. I apologize and to you especially Rex

Lol just busting your balls, Clark.

We're going to Omaha and that's all there is to it.

[State82]

Well all of this was entertaining to say the least. Some levity on a blah Tuesday. And, at least Really Clark owned it. That takes a big person on this forum. Nice job guys. Now, get back to work.

[Rex54]

I hope after this you will never talk about anyone else's IQ.
Don't ever talk about anyone else's IQ. Ever


https://media.giphy.com/media/WxDZ77xhPXf3i/giphy.gif

I tell ya, this exchange still elicits a hearty laugh two days later