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starkvegasdawg
03-17-2021, 01:06 AM
If you live in or near the red shaded area I implore you to stay weather aware today. This has all the makings of a huge tornado outbreak with multiple long tracked violent tornadoes possible.

https://climate.cod.edu/data/text/images/spc/co/day1/tornado/spccoday1.tornado.latest.png?v=138



OF PARTICULAR INTEREST IS THE BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE THAT IS NOW
PRESENT ALONG THE GULF COAST WHERE LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE
OBSERVED. THIS AIR MASS WILL ADVANCE NORTH DURING THE DAY AND
DIURNAL HEATING WILL ALLOW MODERATE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM SOUTHERN LA THROUGH CENTRAL MS INTO WESTERN AL WHERE
SBCAPE SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF 2500 J/KG. WHILE THE PRIMARY 500MB
SPEED MAX WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN CONVECTION ALONG THE SURGING PACIFIC
FRONT OVER SOUTHEAST TX, AN UNCAPPED, BUOYANT AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM
OVER MS/AL SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT
AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY SHORT WAVE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE HIGH
RISK EXHIBIT PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR STRONG, LONG-TRACK TORNADOES,
AND THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FROM NORTHEAST LA THROUGH NORTHERN MS
INTO NORTHWEST AL.

ArrowDawg
03-17-2021, 01:11 AM
I live in Clinton. I'm a dead man.

parabrave
03-17-2021, 01:13 AM
I20 and north.

starkvegasdawg
03-17-2021, 01:23 AM
I can't stress enough how serious tomorrow is looking like it is going to be. I say this will all urgency and no hype...if this forecast verifies, tomorrow will be a deadly and tragic day. If you, or someone you know, lives in a mobile home make plans now to move to sturdier shelter if at all possible. If you know someone who has a storm shelter ask them if you can stay with them.

ArrowDawg
03-17-2021, 01:37 AM
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Storm_Prediction_Center_high_risk_days#202 0%E2%80%93present

Dawg_Lover
03-17-2021, 03:37 AM
For the rest of my life I will never forget Sunday, February 21, 1971. The afternoon and night that approximately 25 people died in Leflore County, MS. About 75 died in the Mississippi Delta. Over a period of two days, 125 to 130 died altogether.

Seems the injured were well over one or two thousand, many serious or critical. Although they believed afterwards that there were numerous tornadoes, it was said that the worst destruction, the loss of entire families was caused by 3 tornadoes all spawned at different times, yet their paths tracked parallel to each other. Two were a Cat 4, and one a Cat 5. The total path of all three was said to be over 350 miles long.

So much tragedy, destruction and death, in what seemed like the blink of an eye. Whole families gone .... parents, grandparents, children, aunts, uncles, cousins, as many as 10 to 12, or more, in some .... entire towns wiped off the face of the earth .... Pugh City, Inverness, Delta City, to name just a few.

I was on a date that afternoon and night when it happened. We?d been invited to dinner with friends. When we were finally able to leave and my date was taking me home, we could see a car smashed like an accordion, in the middle of a field, along side Hwy 82, on the west side of Greenwood. We didn?t know then that the Mississippi Highway Patrol Inspector and his wife had died in that car.

The images in my mind, of that night so many years later, are filled with pulsating red and blue lights reflecting off the pavement, and unending sirens, as they split the night into horrific surreal scenes.

They searched for the missing for days. Some were found in trees, some in fields, and some in lakes and ponds. Scenes no one should ever have to see. I pray to God this is not repeated, or worse, tomorrow.

Be safe everyone!

99jc
03-17-2021, 04:52 AM
I have been put on alert for going in as 1st responder from Monroe la to Birmingham to Memphis. Stay safe today is no joke.

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 05:01 AM
High alert issued for first time in ms since 2014.

Stay safe friends. Everyone from Louisiana, to Mississippi, to Alabama and parts of TN should stay very weather away. But if you are near the high area especially... Very dangerous setup.

https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1372124155030630404?s=19

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 05:03 AM
A little more detail... Threat of hail for the whole state.
Timing for Ms is thought to start around 2pm

https://twitter.com/JohnnyParker012/status/1372122882957000704?s=19

Leeshouldveflanked
03-17-2021, 07:35 AM
Hard to believe it?s been 10 Years since the Smithville Ms, Tuscaloosa, Hackleburg, Philadelphia Ms tornadoes

RocketDawg
03-17-2021, 07:46 AM
Looks like the SPC just expanded the High Risk area eastward into Alabama to include B'ham and Montgomery.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2021, 10:33 AM
Any updates? Appreciate y'all!

DownwardDawg
03-17-2021, 10:34 AM
Made it to land. Driving my butt off. Headed North on 55.

DownwardDawg
03-17-2021, 10:34 AM
Any updates? Appreciate y'all!

Yeah. Y'all keep us updated.

Liverpooldawg
03-17-2021, 10:45 AM
Hard to believe it?s been 10 Years since the Smithville Ms, Tuscaloosa, Hackleburg, Philadelphia Ms tornadoes

I was on the ground in Smithville within a couple of hours of that one hitting. I've never seen anything like it...... and I hope I never do again.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2021, 11:01 AM
Made it to land. Driving my butt off. Headed North on 55.

Stay safe!

parabrave
03-17-2021, 11:05 AM
Made it to land. Driving my butt off. Headed North on 55.

You should be ok. The main line is still on a line extending from Shreveport to Orange. It's starting to get its' act together.

starkvegasdawg
03-17-2021, 11:16 AM
Chase is on. Now in Macon. PDS tornado watch will be issued soon. Timing for intense storms still looks to be noon - 2:00pm.

Noxdog
03-17-2021, 11:29 AM
Chase is on. Now in Macon. PDS tornado watch will be issued soon. Timing for intense storms still looks to be noon - 2:00pm.

Greenwood is a good piece from Macon. Where do you think they are coming in?

CovertDawg
03-17-2021, 11:29 AM
New tornado probability map just released. Not good. Stay Safe! http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_torn.gif

WinningIsRelentless
03-17-2021, 11:42 AM
Mema has activated all MS Task Forces and Urban Search and Rescue Teams. That?s all the updates you need. Get ready and stay alert. NWS briefing at 12:30 to mema had timing between 6-midnight.

parabrave
03-17-2021, 12:25 PM
1st Torn warnings along a line HWy 84 Laurel east to south of Quitman to Demolopis

TheRef
03-17-2021, 12:27 PM
First tornado is on the ground SE Mississippi. A PDS tornado watch is in effect for most of East and Central Mississippi. Shortly, a new PDS watch will be issued for the Mississippi Delta region, including Jackson and the entire ArkLaMiss area. This is not a fun situation to be in, and definitely not one to take likely. I will try to keep y'all updated in here, but I can only do so much from a distance and I'll be on duty soon at my own work.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 12:27 PM
The tornado in Wayne County is CONFIRMED. Damage being reported to homes already from this one, and it is still on the ground.

parabrave
03-17-2021, 12:37 PM
Hey SVD are you up on Twitt

parabrave
03-17-2021, 12:39 PM
Hey SVD are you up on Twitt

BTW happy BD

TheRef
03-17-2021, 12:39 PM
Tornado warning for the Shubuta area seems to no longer have one on the ground at this time, but the warning is still active. It could still restrengthen and drop one without notice. The cell near Quitman has some strong rotation and is showing signs that it either has one on the ground, or is about to drop one.

starkvegasdawg
03-17-2021, 12:41 PM
Hey SVD are you up on Twitt

Not streaming. Our team is using Patreon streaming on YouTube.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 12:49 PM
CONFIRMED tornado on the ground in Autauga County, AL. East of Valley Grand, moving NE at 30 MPH.

Tornado Debris Signature is present, it's actively on the ground.

parabrave
03-17-2021, 12:50 PM
That cell north of Cuba looks like it's on a direct path towards Tuscalossa.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 12:52 PM
Tornado Warning for Copiah, Lincoln, and Lawrence counties. Radar Indicated. Located around Bogue Chitto right now, moving NE at 30 MPH

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:01 PM
PDS watch is out. Looks like it is the rest of Mississippi that wasn't under the other PDS tornado watch.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0032_overview_wou.gif

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:02 PM
Rotation in the Lincoln county cell is still looking very strong. Concerning, to say the least.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:10 PM
Two reports of a funnel cloud near Hwy 84 in Eastern Lincoln County, just east of Brookhaven. This one is close. Keep your ears on the ground

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:19 PM
Tornado Debris Signature on the Brookhaven storm, CONFIRMED tornado.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:29 PM
Tornado warning for Jones County. Cell is near Ovett and Ellisville. Moving NE at 35 MPH

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:45 PM
New tornado warning for the Ellisville area. Moving NE at 35 MPH

William Tecumsah Sherman
03-17-2021, 01:47 PM
Heads up Commerce!

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:48 PM
Also, tornado warning is in effect down near Waynesboro

DownwardDawg
03-17-2021, 01:51 PM
Two reports of a funnel cloud near Hwy 84 in Eastern Lincoln County, just east of Brookhaven. This one is close. Keep your ears on the ground

I just outran that bad boy down 84!!! I was watching radar and knew it was right there.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 01:54 PM
Cell in Ellisville has a funnel cloud, but nothing on the ground....yet

Commercecomet24
03-17-2021, 02:10 PM
Heads up Commerce!

Thankfully it looks like that one didn't touch down, here.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 02:12 PM
Round One for Mississippi looks to be over. No active tornado warnings in Mississippi. Round two will be very soon.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 02:23 PM
CONFIRMED tornado on the ground. Line it's on looks to go between Tuscaloosa and Cottondale. It's currently closest to Moundville, AL

TheRef
03-17-2021, 02:30 PM
This Moundville, AL tornado is very concerning. Textbook hook with strong velocities, low CC, and high ZDR. Basically, absolute monster of a storm and associated TOR

TheRef
03-17-2021, 02:38 PM
Trees down and damage being reported from the Moundville, AL tornado.

Cloak
03-17-2021, 02:39 PM
Any real threat for North GA tonight? I see it's headed that way, but will it weaken by then?

TheRef
03-17-2021, 02:42 PM
Tornado EMERGENCY issued for Tuscaloosa County. Tornado is near Shelton State Community College. THIS IS NOT A JOKE.

TheRef
03-17-2021, 02:43 PM
Any real threat for North GA tonight? I see it's headed that way, but will it weaken by then?

Not tonight. Tomorrow will be the main event for GA and the Carolinas.

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 03:02 PM
Tornado EMERGENCY issued for Tuscaloosa County. Tornado is near Shelton State Community College. THIS IS NOT A JOKE.

thnkfully went a few more miles south of there... have family over in that area.

watching that one over uniontown right now... not good.

starkvegasdawg
03-17-2021, 03:12 PM
SPC saying this just getting started. Expect multiple dangerous long track tornadoes over MS this evening. About to book over to Belzoni.

MaroonDawg17
03-17-2021, 03:19 PM
Starkvegasdawg/TheRef, how bad are you guys expecting it to get in the metro area this evening? Specifically Rankin County near the reservoir.

Thank you guys for all the updates. Very much appreciated.

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 03:26 PM
Starkvegasdawg/TheRef, how bad are you guys expecting it to get in the metro area this evening? Specifically Rankin County near the reservoir.

Thank you guys for all the updates. Very much appreciated.

Noone has any idea... but it doesn't get much worse watch wise. you are in a PDS watch area. Be very weather alert...

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 03:27 PM
That system that passed south of tuscaloosa is really ramping up now... goodness. just north of brookwood now.

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 03:28 PM
Wayne county damage
https://twitter.com/PipkinWx_WAPT/status/1372261518033686530

https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/status/1372273561742757892

ScoobaDawg
03-17-2021, 03:29 PM
heads up belmont....

https://twitter.com/BryceJonesWx/status/1372283334173331467

Rick Danko
03-17-2021, 04:06 PM
SPC saying this just getting started. Expect multiple dangerous long track tornadoes over MS this evening. About to book over to Belzoni.

Damn man you that?s close to home. What you thinking as far as any possible timelines?

Cooterpoot
03-17-2021, 04:09 PM
Nasty stuff over around the river

TUSK
03-17-2021, 05:07 PM
Oh, goody.... Tuskville / Tornado Alley is gonna see a run on these:

https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/41oCtfk6qLL._AC_.jpg

Y'all be safe, kids!

KOdawg1
03-17-2021, 05:39 PM
To my ignorant eye, it looks like all the rain ahead of the line of storms is actually helping as it's cooling things down. Idk, I may be off on that.

Activated Alpha
03-17-2021, 06:27 PM
Looks like Metro area is pretty much spared the brunt of the storm

ArrowDawg
03-17-2021, 06:27 PM
To my ignorant eye, it looks like all the rain ahead of the line of storms is actually helping as it's cooling things down. Idk, I may be off on that.

Something choked it all off, because the atmosphere was cooking in central MS all day and it basically ended up doing nothing here.

TigerMomofaDawg
03-17-2021, 06:51 PM
I just wanted to thank all of you who are posting weather information. My daughter is at State, and I appreciate the updates.

BuckyIsAB****
03-17-2021, 06:53 PM
Thanks to all the weather guys, looked on here before I did anywhere else.

What happened in MS? Seems like it did less than expected

shoeless joe
03-17-2021, 07:01 PM
We had one tornado warned storm cone rite over us but guess it didn?t touch down. What appears to be the main squall line just passed over. Looks like just a lot of rain from here on out.
#smithcountyspringbreak

HaggardDawg
03-17-2021, 07:52 PM
Weather dawgs, what you do is the single most important aspect of Elitedawgs. I make plans and don't question it when y'all give predictions. Last week, I booked an extra night in Houston when Starkvegasdawg started this thread. Glad I did. Hats off to you boys for the info.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2021, 08:06 PM
Weather dawgs, what you do is the single most important aspect of Elitedawgs. I make plans and don't question it when y'all give predictions. Last week, I booked an extra night in Houston when Starkvegasdawg started this thread. Glad I did. Hats off to you boys for the info.

This x 1000. The info that's put on here is invaluable.

Commercecomet24
03-17-2021, 08:10 PM
We had one tornado warned storm cone rite over us but guess it didn?t touch down. What appears to be the main squall line just passed over. Looks like just a lot of rain from here on out.
#smithcountyspringbreak

The hottest spring break destination in the country! Stay safe brother!

parabrave
03-17-2021, 08:16 PM
Haven't got anything on the coast yet, South of I10. Most of the stormy wx is on a line extending from Slidell NE toward Leakesville.

starkvegasdawg
03-17-2021, 09:11 PM
Just got back. Was on the first tornado warned storm of the day down in Wayne county. Set up for a perfect intercept and the damn thing changed course and went into AL. I don't chase into AL because I lose all cell signal there. Ended up a few hours later on another warned storm in the delta and it just fell apart on us. I know AL got hit pretty good, but I have to say MS was really spared the brunt of what could have been a bad day. I'm still not sure what caused the down tick in activity.

BuckyIsAB****
03-17-2021, 09:48 PM
Just got back. Was on the first tornado warned storm of the day down in Wayne county. Set up for a perfect intercept and the damn thing changed course and went into AL. I don't chase into AL because I lose all cell signal there. Ended up a few hours later on another warned storm in the delta and it just fell apart on us. I know AL got hit pretty good, but I have to say MS was really spared the brunt of what could have been a bad day. I'm still not sure what caused the down tick in activity.

The Good Lord prolly had something to do with it

STATEBALLIN
03-17-2021, 10:09 PM
Weather dawgs, what you do is the single most important aspect of Elitedawgs. I make plans and don't question it when y'all give predictions. Last week, I booked an extra night in Houston when Starkvegasdawg started this thread. Glad I did. Hats off to you boys for the info.

Absolutely spot on. The information for me is always a few days ahead of the standard news folks. The family and I were supposed to leave pigeon forge today but booked an extra night because of starkvegasdawg. We should have smooth sailings on the way home tomorrow. Thanks

TimberBeast
03-17-2021, 10:26 PM
Starting to get a little bit on the coast now, hopefully it will run through pretty quick and not get anything too bad.

yjnkdawg
03-17-2021, 10:35 PM
The Good Lord prolly had something to do with it


This ...I changed it for you "The Good Lord had something to do with it. In Central MS the severe parameters were off the charts. The storms that fired up in South Louisiana before the main line moved into West Central MS could have cut off the gulf moisture flow, and reduced the storm intensities. Prayers do help.

Dawg_Lover
03-18-2021, 01:39 AM
A quick thank you from just one, of undoubtably many, who?ve been silently following the weather event threads for years.

Your faithful and tireless efforts have the trust and appreciation of probably more than you?ll ever know.

To agree with others, Wednesday?s outcome, IMHO, is because of prayer and the faith of a mustard seed.

Again, sending thanks and much respect to each who contribute.

DownwardDawg
03-18-2021, 12:40 PM
A quick thank you from just one, of undoubtably many, who?ve been silently following the weather event threads for years.

Your faithful and tireless efforts have the trust and appreciation of probably more than you?ll ever know.

To agree with others, Wednesday?s outcome, IMHO, is because of prayer and the faith of a mustard seed.

Again, sending thanks and much respect to each who contribute.

Amen!! This is where I get my information first!!! I keep up with these threads regularly.

Commercecomet24
03-18-2021, 10:14 PM
The Weather Dawgs on here are without a doubt the best! I get my weather info here. Thanks to all y'all!