Severe weather threat for MS about to get real

[starkvegasdawg]

The storm system has already taken shape over in OK and TX with multiple warnings. It is now starting its march towards MS. Latest guidance shows it should be approaching the river around 3:00-4:00am. Latest trends have also been showing an uptick in the chance of discrete super cells, especially in the delta. If that happens in the highly sheared and unstable environment that will be in place, multiple tornadoes will be possible and some could be strong/violent. Please have multiple ways to get warnings tonight and tomorrow morning.

Current plan is to stage around Leland by 3:00 or so and then move on storms as they mature and cross the river. No live stream during the night, but if things are still hopping in the morning hours I'll fire it up.

[RocketDawg]

The storm system has already taken shape over in OK and TX with multiple warnings. It is now starting its march towards MS. Latest guidance shows it should be approaching the river around 3:00-4:00am. Latest trends have also been showing an uptick in the chance of discrete super cells, especially in the delta. If that happens in the highly sheared and unstable environment that will be in place, multiple tornadoes will be possible and some could be strong/violent. Please have multiple ways to get warnings tonight and tomorrow morning.

Current plan is to stage around Leland by 3:00 or so and then move on storms as they mature and cross the river. No live stream during the night, but if things are still hopping in the morning hours I'll fire it up.

Could you once again give a link to your live stream?

[gravedigger]

The storm system has already taken shape over in OK and TX with multiple warnings. It is now starting its march towards MS. Latest guidance shows it should be approaching the river around 3:00-4:00am. Latest trends have also been showing an uptick in the chance of discrete super cells, especially in the delta. If that happens in the highly sheared and unstable environment that will be in place, multiple tornadoes will be possible and some could be strong/violent. Please have multiple ways to get warnings tonight and tomorrow morning.

Current plan is to stage around Leland by 3:00 or so and then move on storms as they mature and cross the river. No live stream during the night, but if things are still hopping in the morning hours I'll fire it up.

Appreciate the offer again but I'll be using your reports to guide my drivers in the morning.

First tornado or severe warning and we shut down till it passes

[hacker]

How we looking for Rankin?

[starkvegasdawg]

Could you once again give a link to your live stream?

It's @nmscasStan but I probably won't be doing any until morning daylight.

[starkvegasdawg]

How we looking for Rankin?

Rankin will need to be paying attention from around sunrise to 9:00 or so.

[Liverpooldawg]

East of the Trace and north of 82?

[starkvegasdawg]

East of the Trace and north of 82?

Right now I'd say exact opposite for the biggest tornado threat. Entire area for damaging wind threat. All that said, the spc updates again about midnight. All eyes on that update.

[Skydawg1]

Clinton? My bro lives on I-20 in Arlingon, TX and said there were some dicey moments but mainly just raining cats and dogs.

[OLJWales]

Clinton? My bro lives on I-20 in Arlingon, TX and said there were some dicey moments but mainly just raining cats and dogs.

Damn, is this the same system? I'm in Fort Worth and we had the sirens go off and a tornado was spotted. No damage reported but we are still under a watch for about another hour.

I was thinking that MS would not be seeing this shit for another 24.

[Skydawg1]

Damn, is this the same system? I'm in Fort Worth and we had the sirens go off and a tornado was spotted. No damage reported but we are still under a watch for about another hour.

I was thinking that MS would not be seeing this shit for another 24.

No, it's not here yet (in MS). I was just asking what we should be expecting in Clinton (Hinds area). Storm is still making its way to MS. I'm sure sirens were going off where he lives too (Kennedale)...

[Dawg-gone-dawgs]

What is the timing on Starkville?

[Commercecomet24]

Jones county?

[OLJWales]

Here in Fort Worth, based on tracking and stuff, it seems like it's moving in more of a northerly direction. They always seem to move east to northeast. this one looks like there's more of a northerly direction. hopefully that spares Jackson where my mom still lives.

[starkvegasdawg]

What is the timing on Starkville?

Starkville looking to be 10:00am-noon time frame.

[starkvegasdawg]

Jones county?

Definitely under the gun. Basically, Anywhere in MS needs to be weather aware tomorrow. Latest model runs are starting more and more to show possibility of discrete cells maintaining themselves across MS and into AL. If that ends up being the case then tomorrow could be very volatile. SPC updates again at midnight. I'm very impatiently waiting to see what it says about the tornado threat for MS.

[Commercecomet24]

Definitely under the gun. Basically, Anywhere in MS needs to be weather aware tomorrow. Latest model runs are starting more and more to show possibility of discrete cells maintaining themselves across MS and into AL. If that ends up being the case then tomorrow could be very volatile. SPC updates again at midnight. I'm very impatiently waiting to see what it says about the tornado threat for MS.

Thanks for the info! Appreciate the updates!

[parabrave]

Hey Vegas check oiut the GLM FED loop 9:35pmCST/ Dam you could walk from San Antonio to Little Rock on that Lightning.

[Liverpooldawg]

East of the Trace and north of 82?
Delete

[Liverpooldawg]

Right now I'd say exact opposite for the biggest tornado threat. Entire area for damaging wind threat. All that said, the spc updates again about midnight. All eyes on that update.

Thanks

[starkvegasdawg]

Been telling this myself all afternoon, but going to try and get a little sleep now before I head out in a few hours. Try to answer any questions that come in before I head out.

[LoneStarDawg]

Thanks for keeping us updated...Be safe out there!

[Commercecomet24]

Be safe out there man!

[hopsondawg22]

Thoughts on what part of the delta will get hit hardest?

[starkvegasdawg]

Thoughts on what part of the delta will get hit hardest?

As of right now it's all in play equally.

[starkvegasdawg]

Latest spc guidance is out and looks to be good news. They did not upgrade to a moderate risk and have dropped the tornado threat down to slight due to current thinking that discrete cells will be limited to non-existent. Future updates later today can always upgrade, but due to the drop in tornado threat, I am delaying my chase until later today when I have a chance to see how this all plays out.

[IMAREBL2 AND A DAWG]

Starkville looking to be 10:00am-noon time frame.

Do I need to tell my son to come home? He?s on campus right now

[parabrave]

Shit hitting the fan in the Greenville Cleveland area. Looks like its heading down 82

[starkvegasdawg]

I'm headed to meet them.

[Cowbell]

I'm in North TX and I have never seen so much rain so fast. They shut down a major highway last night due to flooding that had never happened. It started around noon and by 6:00 we had 5 inches. Don't know what it is now but every creek near my house is out of its banks.

[Dawg_Lover]

I am just east of Hernando, & had a tornado headed straight for me earlier. Thank the good Lord, I dodged a bullet. Don’t know yet if anyone hit in the area. No power. Hoping all stay safe.

[LoneStarDawg]

I am just east of Hernando, & had a tornado headed straight for me earlier. Thank the good Lord, I dodged a bullet. Don?t know yet if anyone hit in the area. No power. Hoping all stay safe.

Glad to hear you are ok...everyone else stay aware today.

[notsofarawaydawg]

Reports of high winds / tornado in Baldwyn area. Damage at the school according to WTVA.

[Bdawg]

Got bad in Lake Village, AR. My sister lives there and trees and telephone poles are down. Not sure if it was a tornado or just bad winds but damage is pretty rough. My cousin just drove through to help his in laws with roof damage and said a lot of trees and poles down.

[Saltydog]

Got rough up around Baldwyn. Part of the roof blown off at BHS and trees down all over town. Apparently straight line winds.

[starkvegasdawg]

Hearing reports of damage and injuries coming in. Mainly north part of state. Central and southern part may be about to get more active next few hours.

[gravedigger]

The storm system has already taken shape over in OK and TX with multiple warnings. It is now starting its march towards MS. Latest guidance shows it should be approaching the river around 3:00-4:00am. Latest trends have also been showing an uptick in the chance of discrete super cells, especially in the delta. If that happens in the highly sheared and unstable environment that will be in place, multiple tornadoes will be possible and some could be strong/violent. Please have multiple ways to get warnings tonight and tomorrow morning.

Current plan is to stage around Leland by 3:00 or so and then move on storms as they mature and cross the river. No live stream during the night, but if things are still hopping in the morning hours I'll fire it up.

Starkville set to be in the path of the weather about 8:40 to 9.

[gravedigger]

Hearing reports of damage and injuries coming in. Mainly north part of state. Central and southern part may be about to get more active next few hours.

SMART Buses shut down now according to Doublemap. Will start when storm clears. Should hit at 8:45-9

[OLJWales]

I'm watching a little snow fall here in fort worth, tornadoes last night, snow in morning. Temps went from 69 to 32 as about as fast as I've ever seen

[defiantdog]

Hearing reports of damage and injuries coming in. Mainly north part of state. Central and southern part may be about to get more active next few hours.

Lots of damage in Greenville at the old duck camp. Hit around 4:30am.

[RocketDawg]

Tusk - is the tornado just southwest of Reform near you? Weather Channel says there's been some damage.

[parabrave]

NWS says confirmed T near Reform. Any damage from that line when it went through the 45 corridor?

[defiantdog]

Tusk - is the tornado just southwest of Reform near you? Weather Channel says there's been some damage.
I believe Tusk is in northwest Alabama..... reform is near Tuscaloosa

[IMAREBL2 AND A DAWG]

Did the campus get hit

[Ezsoil]

Did the campus get hit

I just checked my camera on my place and it's still there .....

[parabrave]

I just checked my camera on my place and it's still there .....

It looked like on Radar that most of the activity was south of 82 from a line from Forest to union to Scooba to south of Columbus into reform. Vegas can most probably give you a better analysis of storm tracts. Right now Tuscaloosa is in the crosshairs. Kinda close to their earlier tornadic activity a few years ago/ Where ya at Vegas

[starkvegasdawg]

Tornado was about 5-10 miles SW of Reform. Just had a report of two deaths near Carrollton, AL.

Confirmed tornado earlier for Bolivar county.

Lots of straight line wind damage.

[defiantdog]

It looked like on Radar that most of the activity was south of 82 from a line from Forest to union to Scooba to south of Columbus into reform. Vegas can most probably give you a better analysis of storm tracts. Right now Tuscaloosa is in the crosshairs. Kinda close to their earlier tornadic activity a few years ago/ Where ya at Vegas
Tuscaloosa went unharmed..... had straight line winds that were brief. There are two confirmed deaths just northwest of Tuscaloosa though.

[parabrave]

Tuscaloosa went unharmed..... had straight line winds that were brief. There are two confirmed deaths just northwest of Tuscaloosa though.

Dam. Things were quiet here on the coast. Just lots of rain. Line of Tshas went through here fast.

[MetEdDawg]

I live in Bham Metro and it's currently 74 degrees outside right now. It's just ripe outside. About to get hammered over here.

[RocketDawg]

I believe Tusk is in northwest Alabama..... reform is near Tuscaloosa

Maybe, but I thought he was in Pickens County - Reform/Aliceville area. Maybe not.

At any rate, Channel 48 says confirmed 3 fatalities from the Pickens County tornado.

[TUSK]

We got HAMMERED.... I'd guess 40 MPH gusts and a bunch of water...

Carrollton is about 18 miles SE of me... Reform is about 10 miles East... edit: I am in the NW corner of Pickens County... about 3 miles from the MS/AL line on US82ish...

Power is out and other than my hottub cover blowing off and 2 wet dogs, all is well in Tuskville...

Thanks for askin', fellas!!!

[Liverpooldawg]

Maybe, but I thought he was in Pickens County - Reform/Aliceville area. Maybe not.

At any rate, Channel 48 says confirmed 3 fatalities from the Pickens County tornado.

I think you are correct.

[RocketDawg]

I live in Bham Metro and it's currently 74 degrees outside right now. It's just ripe outside. About to get hammered over here.


72 in the Huntsville area. Feels more like stormy April than early-mid January.

Storms are just getting ready to come into this area, and seem to be intensifying.

[RocketDawg]

We got HAMMERED.... I'd guess 40 MPH gusts and a bunch of water...

Carrollton is about 18 miles SE of me... Reform is about 10 miles East... edit: I am in the NE corner of Pickens County... about 3 miles from the MS/AL line on US82ish...

Power is out and other than my hottub cover blowing off and 2 wet dogs, all is well in Tuskville...

Thanks for askin', fellas!!!

Good to hear. That was too close for comfort. Things are beginning to get ripe in the Huntsville metro.

[TUSK]

72 in the Huntsville area. Feels more like stormy April than early-mid January.

Storms are just getting ready to come into this area, and seem to be intensifying.

Get your head down,,,, it's a MFer, buddy...

[RocketDawg]

Get your head down,,,, it's a MFer, buddy...

Will do.

Ch. 48 reporting major damage in Morgan County (Decatur). Power lines and poles down, vehicles trapped. Straight line winds possibly >70mph.

[TUSK]

Vegas, I've said it several times, and I'll say it again...

Don't chase them 'naders... just sit on my deck with a mason jar of shine and lettem come to you.

[Commercecomet24]

We got HAMMERED.... I'd guess 40 MPH gusts and a bunch of water...

Carrollton is about 18 miles SE of me... Reform is about 10 miles East... edit: I am in the NW corner of Pickens County... about 3 miles from the MS/AL line on US82ish...

Power is out and other than my hottub cover blowing off and 2 wet dogs, all is well in Tuskville...

Thanks for askin', fellas!!!

Glad to hear you ok! You holed up in your bunker?

[RocketDawg]

Tornado warning near Cullman. Might be the same storm from Pickens Cty.

[TUSK]

Glad to hear you ok! You holed up in your bunker?

How did you know I have a bunker?

[parabrave]

We got HAMMERED.... I'd guess 40 MPH gusts and a bunch of water...

Carrollton is about 18 miles SE of me... Reform is about 10 miles East... edit: I am in the NW corner of Pickens County... about 3 miles from the MS/AL line on US82ish...

Power is out and other than my hottub cover blowing off and 2 wet dogs, all is well in Tuskville...

Thanks for askin', fellas!!!

Think I found your spread on Google earth. Dam how many junk 56 Studebakers and Edsiels do you have in your yard? Looks like the set for deliverance.**

[TUSK]

Think I found your spread on Google earth. Dam how many junk 56 Studebakers and Edsiels do you have in your yard? Looks like the set for deliverance.**

Dude, those are AA Mini-Guns and an MLRS (or two)... a couple might be whiskey stills... the car bodies are just concealment...

[Commercecomet24]

How did you know I have a bunker?

Lol I know you!

[parabrave]

Dude, those are AA Mini-Guns and an MLRS (or two)... a couple might be whiskey stills... the car bodies are just concealment...

So John Malkovich is a Tenant. Get to use the Pig old man.

[IMAREBL2 AND A DAWG]

I just checked my camera on my place and it's still there .....
Thanks! I owe the board apologies. I called my son and he said everything was fine. Sorry for not bringing that info back here

[TUSK]

So John Malkovich is a Tenant. Get to use the Pig old man.

"'Old Man', my ass...."

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/eXHdqulNiBs/maxresdefault.jpg

[TimberBeast]

Dam. Things were quiet here on the coast. Just lots of rain. Line of Tshas went through here fast.

On the coast here too, didn?t even rain that much here, a little bit of thunder.

[OLJWales]

sad that a few people lost their lives. Everyday is a blessing man.

If y'all just went thru something similar that we here in N. Texas went thru, expect the temps to plummet. I mean fast. We actually had light snow this morning.

I remember living in Memphis and a January tornado came thru and within 24 hours after the storm, we had over 5 inches of snow.

[parabrave]

"'Old Man', my ass...."

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/eXHdqulNiBs/maxresdefault.jpg

You the Man

[Dawg_Lover]

I am just east of Hernando, & had a tornado headed straight for me earlier. Thank the good Lord, I dodged a bullet. Don?t know yet if anyone hit in the area. No power. Hoping all stay safe.

Tornado damage in Desoto County. Hit Love Community area, off Hwy 51, just south of Hernando. Then it went over top of me, in the air, and hit Lewisburg & College Park/Bethel Rd areas south of Olive Branch, along Hwy 305. They?re saying 40 homes with heavy damage, and a few injuries. Some roads impassable due to downed trees. I?ve no power since wee hours and Entergy has no idea when will be restored. Cannot complain. I was spared, and thanking God.
Gotta get back off here to conserve cell batteries. Glad to read all on here safe.
Oh before forget, read about 30 train cars being blown off the tracks, in Tallahatchie County, near Sumner. Wow!

[Dawg_Lover]

Thanks!

[starkvegasdawg]

And to think I've been reading reports from people saying this system underperformed and busted. That's mainly some chasers that complain it wasn't a high end event dropping wedges all over the place. They forget all those tornadoes they're cheering for are taking peoples homes and lives. I admit I love the rush of the chase and seeing tornadoes, but I never forget what they're capable of. Why my first responsibility is to relay information.

[Dawg_Lover]

And to think I've been reading reports from people saying this system underperformed and busted. That's mainly some chasers that complain it wasn't a high end event dropping wedges all over the place. They forget all those tornadoes they're cheering for are taking peoples homes and lives. I admit I love the rush of the chase and seeing tornadoes, but I never forget what they're capable of. Why my first responsibility is to relay information.

I am also hearing about damage in areas of Tunica, Sardis, and Marshall County. Not a lot of info on that, but do know a campground, at Sardis, was hit. Reports of campers, RVs, etc, being tossed around.

[Liverpooldawg]

And to think I've been reading reports from people saying this system underperformed and busted. That's mainly some chasers that complain it wasn't a high end event dropping wedges all over the place. They forget all those tornadoes they're cheering for are taking peoples homes and lives. I admit I love the rush of the chase and seeing tornadoes, but I never forget what they're capable of. Why my first responsibility is to relay information.

Exactly.

[TimberBeast]

My brother is over in Georgia, he said they are getting hammered pretty good right now.

[dawgday166]

And to think I've been reading reports from people saying this system underperformed and busted. That's mainly some chasers that complain it wasn't a high end event dropping wedges all over the place. They forget all those tornadoes they're cheering for are taking peoples homes and lives. I admit I love the rush of the chase and seeing tornadoes, but I never forget what they're capable of. Why my first responsibility is to relay information.

I love underperforming storm systems.