New Severe thread - this could be a rough day

[starkvegasdawg]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1200_torn.gif?1550900122030

SPC has issued a moderate risk for severe weather. The first sentence in their discussion sums it up:

...Significant tornado and wind damage event expected across parts
of the lower to mid Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys today...

Take any warnings seriously.

[ScoobaDawg]

That much hatched is concerning... Like I said be smart and safe

[confucius say]

Can you explain what the 15% and 10% mean. Does it mean there is a 15% chance that there will be at least one tornado in that area, or does every part of that area have a 15% chance of a tornado?

[starkvegasdawg]

Can you explain what the 15% and 10% mean. Does it mean there is a 15% chance that there will be at least one tornado in that area, or does every part of that area have a 15% chance of a tornado?

It means there is a 15% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of any point in that area.

[confucius say]

Thanks. That is helpful.

[THE Bruce Dickinson]

Still think this mostly applies to north west ms?

[starkvegasdawg]

Sitting in Indianola now waiting for storm initiation probably sometime around noon. I would say anybody from Highway 82 north needs to be monitoring this very closely.

[MedDawg]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1200_torn.gif?1550900122030

SPC has issued a moderate risk for severe weather. The first sentence in their discussion sums it up:

...Significant tornado and wind damage event expected across parts
of the lower to mid Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys today...

Take any warnings seriously.

Ugh. We're driving to Memphis this afternoon.

[DownwardDawg]

Ugh. We're driving to Memphis this afternoon.

I wouldn't. It aint worth it. If you have to please drive slowly and stay tuned in to severe weather. I'll never drive the same in the rain after this past Sunday.

[Drugdog]

Hmmm. Suns out in Madison.

[starkvegasdawg]

Hmmm. Suns out in Madison.

Pouring gas on the fire.

[99jc]

Pouring gas on the fire.

I think Indianola will only get a thin squall line. I believe Clarksdale to New Albany is your spot.

[RocketDawg]

So, when will the tornado watch be issued? Maybe starting at 1:00?

[starkvegasdawg]

So, when will the tornado watch be issued? Maybe starting at 1:00?

One will be issued shortly for most of western MS. I'd say within the hour.

[stalkingpoon]

What we looking like in the Jackson area?

[West Tn Dawg]

Already started in NW TN. Getting heavy rain, thunder and lightening.

[starkvegasdawg]

Tornado Watch
Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM
until 800 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

[BeastMan]

The metro appears to be in the southeast most portion of the highlighted area. Should we still be fully prepared for severe weather like those in the Delta, Memphis, etc...

[EngDawg]

I?m at DNF. Looking at the line of storms around Greenwood, how long do you think I have before they get here?

[ScoobaDawg]

I would say close to 330 some storms might start popping up around starkville. The line is moving rapidly north and slowly east.. So have to see... What fills in.. And that's what needs to be watched

[ScoobaDawg]

First tornado warning is nw of canton heading towards Pickens. A clean inflow / outflow signal on radar.

[RocketDawg]

New tornado watch extending into northwest and north central Alabama. A line of storms has developed almost on a north/south line moving east toward Huntsville.

[RocketDawg]

Tornado warning near Booneville now. Also one in Cullman County, AL, approaching Morgan County.

[Liverpooldawg]

There are reports of a multi vortex tornado touching down in Tishamingo County. Also spotter confirmed tornado heading directly at Columbus.

[HereComesTheSpiral]

There are reports of a multi vortex tornado touching down in Tishamingo County. Also spotter confirmed tornado heading directly at Columbus.

Alarms going off in Columbus.

[Noxdog]

Alarms going off in Columbus.

WTVA says its on the ground and a strong one. Lotta debris. Prayers up.

[TUSK]

WTVA says its on the ground and a strong one. Lotta debris. Prayers up.

Welp, I guess I'm gonna mix a drink and fire up the hottub to watch this un....

Peace out, cats!

[ScoobaDawg]

Damage in Columbus....

1099464091805147136

[ScoobaDawg]

1099465059758231554

[starkvegasdawg]

It was a weird day. The storms were supposed to explode along the MS river, but the atmosphere stayed capped and shear was suppressed longer than expected so they didn't go nuclear until 130 miles east later. So for the third time in as many years I drive three hours to the delta for the damn storms to blow up 15 miles from my house. Next time I may sleep in and just sit at home and wait for them.

[ScoobaDawg]

Sad. confirmed 1 dead in Columbus

1099522983188725760

[ScoobaDawg]

video of the Columbus tornado

1099512593843134465

[TUSK]

It was a weird day. The storms were supposed to explode along the MS river, but the atmosphere stayed capped and shear was suppressed longer than expected so they didn't go nuclear until 130 miles east later. So for the third time in as many years I drive three hours to the delta for the damn storms to blow up 15 miles from my house. Next time I may sleep in and just sit at home and wait for them.

Dude, all ya gotta do is come sit on my deck and drink beer.... I'm convinced I live in a mini Tornado Alley...

Must be all the trailer houses in the area...*

[Liverpooldawg]

Dude, all ya gotta do is come sit on my deck and drink beer.... I'm convinced I live in a mini Tornado Alley...

Must be all the trailer houses in the area...*

I take it you survived. From your posts I am convinced you live in the boonies somewhere between Columbus and Reform. Hopefully your stash of precursors is intact!. Business is business.

[notsofarawaydawg]

I had a couple of windows blown out of my place. House across the street has a huge tree through the center of. I’m fortunate it wasn’t on the ground unlike the folks on the other side of the town. That part of Columbus is pretty devastated. Only one death reported at midnight.

[starkvegasdawg]

Just an early heads up...there's some indications that round 2 may be this coming up Friday. If it happens how bad will it be? Way too early to tell, but severe weather of some kind at least looking possible right now.