2018 ESPN FPI Rankings

[THE Bruce Dickinson]

Haven't seen this posted yet.

State at preseason 16 projected at 10-2. Predicted losses to Auburn and Bama.

60% chance of winning in Baton Rouge

http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=344&year=2018

[MetEdDawg]

Haven't seen this posted yet.

State at preseason 16 projected at 10-2. Predicted losses to Auburn and Bama.

60% chance of winning in Baton Rouge

http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=344&year=2018

I'm just not sure what to think of Auburn. Yes Stidham is good enough to win. But they lost their running attack and about the only CB on the team that anyone cared about in Carlton Davis. I think they may have more holes than people think, but I'm not convinced anyone in the West outside of us, Bama, or Auburn can win more than 7 games.

[bostondawg]

Not to be the statistics jerk, but the expected value of our wins this season according to ESPN is 8.4--not 10. Big difference. Just because we're underdogs in two games doesn't mean we have 100% probability of winning the ones we're favorites in. We're projected at 8.4 - 3.7.

According to ESPN's statistical model (assuming normality), we're more likely to win 7 games than we are 10 games.

I'm fun at parties.

[the_real_MSU_is_us]

Not to be the statistics jerk, but the expected value of our wins this season according to ESPN is 8.4--not 10. Big difference. Just because we're underdogs in two games doesn't mean we have 100% probability of winning the ones we're favorites in. We're projected at 8.4 - 3.7.

According to ESPN's statistical model (assuming normality), we're more likely to win 7 games than we are 10 games.

I'm fun at parties.

Nah man thanks for the clarification, it's important to the convo

[FISHDAWG]

We will have at least 2 losses but one of them wont be to Auburn ... I NEVER miss this call

[CarolinaDawgs]

We will have at least 2 losses but one of them wont be to Auburn ... I NEVER miss this call

I love it! Please let us be home underdogs so I can make some free rent.