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View Full Version : Chance of winning Egg Bowl dropped to 69% per Bill Connelly's S&P....



Hasu Dackds
11-14-2017, 10:02 AM
Their recent surge has helped them in the rankings apparently. I hope we aren't sleeping in this game, and I doubt we will be, at home. Good news is, we have the lesser team (Arkansas) on the road, and a 76% chance of taking that one.

We really need Texas A&M to step up and take the wind out of their sails, but if there's anything that's been proven over the past few years, it's that the week before the Egg Bowl really has no real bearing on the Egg Bowl itself. Momentum, or lack of it, never seems to carry over.

msstatelp1
11-14-2017, 10:07 AM
If I were on the team and knowing what they did to LL and KJ, I'd be ready to whip their ass right after the Arkansas game.

StThierry
11-14-2017, 10:08 AM
If I were on the team and knowing what they did to LL and KJ, I'd be ready to whip their ass right after the Arkansas game.


what he said...

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 10:09 AM
If I were on the team and knowing what they did to LL and KJ, I'd be ready to whip their ass right after the Arkansas game.

Yeah there might be a little extra motivation this year and you know the crowds gonna be extra pumped.

msstate7
11-14-2017, 10:13 AM
Vs conference, OM gives up 6.00 per carry. Take a look at common opponents. Stop worrying... we will show up and run through them like freeze through prostitutes

BB30
11-14-2017, 10:13 AM
There will be extra motivation on both sides. I just think we are the better team all the way around. The only advantage they have is at WR and I feel like we will be in their QBs face all night long and hope he will be picking dirt out of his face mask for most of the night. If we can't get consistent pressure they are going to score some points but I don't think they will be able to do anything about our run game.

Spiderman
11-14-2017, 10:20 AM
Their recent surge has helped them in the rankings apparently. I hope we aren't sleeping in this game, and I doubt we will be, at home. Good news is, we have the lesser team (Arkansas) on the road, and a 76% chance of taking that one.

We really need Texas A&M to step up and take the wind out of their sails, but if there's anything that's been proven over the past few years, it's that the week before the Egg Bowl really has no real bearing on the Egg Bowl itself. Momentum, or lack of it, never seems to carry over.

While we should win, it will be a scrap. Matt Luke hates State as much as he loves OM.

With this NCAA stuff, and Luke foaming at the mouth, they will come in with their hair on fire and take every gamble and trick play they know. They will put 8 at the line and sell out on D, hoping to make us throw and when they do gambling on getting to Fitz.

What do they have to lose? We will have to match their intensity early, not let a couple of quick scores early by them snowball and we should be ok.

Don't throw it around and don't run wide. Hit em right in the mouth and take their punchers chance out of it.

Cooterpoot
11-14-2017, 10:20 AM
We're going to crush them. It won't be close. Stop being p******!

THE Bruce Dickinson
11-14-2017, 10:20 AM
I believe they are better with the backup QB playing. So this drop in percentage doesn't really surprise me.

However, Their QB doesn't play defense, and we pound the rock.

Our defense takes it's tone from Simmons. When Simmons is pumped we play great D. Considering all the stuff going on off the field between State and OM I can see this game getting pretty personal. They will score some TDs on big plays, but we are going to hurt them. I expect a similar game to last year, except we beat them up physically with our D, and still run for a ton of yards.

45-14 State

Jacksondevildog
11-14-2017, 10:21 AM
Ball control and run the ball. Keep the clock running and keep their offense off the field. Wear them down in the second half.

TrapGame
11-14-2017, 10:22 AM
Let's see how 5-0 fares against A&M. That is one of the better defenses and offenses they will face in the last three or four games. Sumlin is coaching for his job now.

It's amazing that how dropping 50 on a poor Hud team changes perspective.

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 10:22 AM
Remember this Hawaii 5-0 has never ever played a game in this hostile an environment. I expect him to be unnerved to some degree and that should lead to bad decisions and turnovers.

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 10:24 AM
Let's see how 5-0 fares against A&M. That is one of the better defenses and offenses they will face in the last three or four games. Sumlin is coaching for his job now.

It's amazing that how dropping 50 on a poor Hud team changes perspective.

Also AM has gone to Starkel at QB now and gone back to Sumlins traditional offense. That game this saturday could be a 70-69 game. AM has a strong pass rush and should be able to hit 5-0 a lot.

KOdawg1
11-14-2017, 10:25 AM
We'll run through their ass like shit through a tin horn and they won't be able to stop it.

yes, that's a Saban quote.

louisvilledawg
11-14-2017, 10:29 AM
Chance of winning Egg Bowl dropped to 69% per Bill Connelly's S&P....

Nice.

msstate7
11-14-2017, 10:33 AM
FPI says 83.9 vs ark and 86.6 vs OM

FPI says aTm at 55.4 vs OM

ababyatemydingo
11-14-2017, 10:51 AM
Their recent surge has helped them in the rankings apparently. I hope we aren't sleeping in this game, and I doubt we will be, at home. Good news is, we have the lesser team (Arkansas) on the road, and a 76% chance of taking that one.

We really need Texas A&M to step up and take the wind out of their sails, but if there's anything that's been proven over the past few years, it's that the week before the Egg Bowl really has no real bearing on the Egg Bowl itself. Momentum, or lack of it, never seems to carry over.


Don't even throw one pass. Run. It. Every. Single. Offensive. Play. They will be completely worn out and defeated by mid 3rd quarter.

Pollodawg
11-14-2017, 10:52 AM
They will come out jacked because this is the most important game of the year to those hillbillies. They've nothing to lose, and their play will show it. However, all State has to do is play our game and keep coming at them. We have a stable of running backs plus Fitz, and they have no LBs to speak of. Even they sell out to stop the run, they can't. Weather the first quarter, and State's physicality will eventually break their spirits.

State: 41
OM: 17

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 11:08 AM
unm no likey physical teams lol

Jack Lambert
11-14-2017, 11:53 AM
Vs conference, OM gives up 6.00 per carry. Take a look at common opponents. Stop worrying... we will show up and run through them like freeze through prostitutes

Hell A Train could probably run through them and for just the fun of it turn around and run back through them stepping on a few of them when he does and then turn back around and go for a TD.

Spiderman
11-14-2017, 11:59 AM
They will come out jacked because this is the most important game of the year to those hillbillies. They've nothing to lose, and their play will show it. However, all State has to do is play our game and keep coming at them. We have a stable of running backs plus Fitz, and they have no LBs to speak of. Even they sell out to stop the run, they can't. Weather the first quarter, and State's physicality will eventually break their spirits.

State: 41
OM: 17

Yep just have to weather the opening quarter. Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the nose. As Jackie used to say, "That rah rah crap goes out the window when the other guy gives you a snot bubble"

Just can't let them make it a track meet game

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 12:02 PM
Hell A Train could probably run through them and for just the fun of it turn around and run back through them stepping on a few of them when he does and then turn back around and go for a TD.

And you know A-Train is gonna run like an angry rhino against those turds, Thanksgiving Night!

TrapGame
11-14-2017, 12:06 PM
We might be kinda flat for Arkansas but we are NOT coming out flat for OM. I expect some pushing and shoving on the 50 yard line before the game starts.

AW is gonna ass rape that defense for four quarters. He might get arrested for aggravated sexual assault after the game.

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 12:10 PM
We might be kinda flat for Arkansas but we are NOT coming out flat for OM. I expect some pushing and shoving on the 50 yard line before the game starts.

AW is gonna ass rape that defense for four quarters. He might get arrested for aggravated sexual assault after the game.

Yeah I can picture something similar to what happened before the '97 game. What a brawl!

Dawg-gone-dawgs
11-14-2017, 12:10 PM
We can run for over 300 yards against OM and I hope we do. I am hoping for another 55-20 win. How cool would that be?

Commercecomet24
11-14-2017, 12:11 PM
Can Nick and Aeris run for 200 each? I would love to see that happen!

Bothrops
11-14-2017, 12:32 PM
If we will just very well do what we do and shrink the game by running it down their throat, we'll be fine. Defense will have to get pressure and bring the hits down field, as well.

yjnkdawg
11-14-2017, 12:37 PM
Let's see what that OM so-called rejuvenated run offense looks like when they play an actual good run defenses. Shall we say one dimensional again.

Lord McBuckethead
11-14-2017, 01:09 PM
I would like to see how much we could win by, if we never throw the ball against UM. 57 rushes in a row. 7 tds.

Tbonewannabe
11-14-2017, 01:14 PM
Vs conference, OM gives up 6.00 per carry. Take a look at common opponents. Stop worrying... we will show up and run through them like freeze through prostitutes

Not sure how many freeze ran through since he was probably ordering them for 17 year old kids.

Mimi's Babies
11-14-2017, 04:46 PM
Not sure how many freeze ran through since he was probably ordering them for 17 year old kids.

You are correct......

Bubb Rubb
11-14-2017, 05:02 PM
The chance of winning the Egg Bowl is 99.49%

The chance that an earthquake strikes during the game is 0.35%

The chance that Ole Miss wins the Egg Bowl is 0.16%

starkvegasdawg
11-14-2017, 05:22 PM
and bring the hits down field, as well.

Abrams can handle that. Anybody that gets kicked out of the spring game for targeting his own teammate is going to give zero 17s about someone in a landshart uniform.

msstate7
11-14-2017, 06:01 PM
What?s injury report on Jefferson and Wilkins?

Spiderman
11-14-2017, 06:46 PM
What?s injury report on Jefferson and Wilkins?

Jefferson out this week, not sure for Egg until next week. Wilkins playing.

Via the Souped Up Cheerleader

InTheIttaBenaHotSun
11-14-2017, 09:57 PM
Hell A Train could probably run through them and for just the fun of it turn around and run back through them stepping on a few of them when he does and then turn back around and go for a TD.

A-Train's going to pull a Geo Dudy on 'em!

Dental Dawg33
11-15-2017, 08:06 AM
I want to see Abram or Peters or anyone really, absolutely demolish AJ. Upend him the first time he is thrown to

IMissJack
11-15-2017, 08:18 AM
Our guys have to use their heads though. I don't want anyone to get kicked out of the game. I'm sure there will be taunting hoping for retaliation as always.

MeridianDog
11-15-2017, 12:59 PM
They are getting some respect because of their new QB.

Their is a quick cure for that.

Put his butt on the ground right away and often next week.

Nothing like hearing footsteps every time the ball is snapped to help slow down a QB.

If we rattle him, they are done.

msbulldog
11-15-2017, 01:31 PM
Hell A Train could probably run through them and for just the fun of it turn around and run back through them stepping on a few of them when he does and then turn back around and go for a TD.

Like the Bama running back in the Jerry Clower routine.