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sleepy dawg
05-01-2016, 11:07 AM
Link to the last update: http://www.elitedawgs.com/showthread.php?42387-Runs-Created-Update-Sabermetrics
There is an explanation to a lot of this below the chart for those who may not understand what they're looking at, but are interested. Skip all that if you already know what these stats are.

Observations:
Thank God Robson is back.
Mangum is still the sh*t. He's fallen back some in the past month actually, he's still playing at a very high level.
Kruger has also slipped some, but has still been solid.
Humphreys has stayed about the same, and he and the previously mentioned 3 have been the 4 best hitters on the team over the course of the season given their playing time.
We really need to find a way to get Marrero less playing time.
Luke Alexander is actually one of the few players who've increased their RC average over the past month. His AVG is just so low, it's hard to justify him playing too much at this point.




Player Name
RC
(RC/PA)*4
BABIP
OPS
OBP
Slug
AVG
R
RBI
HR
TB
H
HBP+BB
SB
CS
3B
2B
AB
K
Sac
GDP


Jake Mangum
30.75
0.89
0.44
1.007
0.471
0.536
0.416
23
22
1
67
52
13
1
1
3
6
125
8
1
1


Jacob Robson
28.62
0.79
0.432
0.927
0.461
0.466
0.356
32
19
1
55
42
23
12
2
3
4
118
22
4
1


Jack Kruger
31.74
0.77
0.377
0.975
0.442
0.533
0.333
31
29
5
72
45
27
4
1
0
12
135
25
2
2


Reid Humphreys
32.18
0.76
0.406
0.977
0.42
0.557
0.336
29
39
4
78
47
24
0
1
2
15
140
35
5
1


Gavin Collins
29.92
0.66
0.287
0.899
0.402
0.497
0.279
29
26
8
73
41
31
0
0
0
8
147
25
3
3


Brent Rooker
26.18
0.65
0.373
0.873
0.373
0.5
0.313
23
35
4
72
45
15
2
1
2
11
144
32
2
2


Nathaniel Lowe
31.52
0.62
0.362
0.857
0.411
0.446
0.326
28
34
3
78
57
26
2
1
0
12
175
24
1
7


Cody Brown
14.55
0.59
0.293
0.802
0.392
0.41
0.244
18
13
2
32
19
19
3
0
2
3
78
18
2
1


Ryan Gridley
21.57
0.46
0.295
0.685
0.335
0.35
0.282
22
26
2
57
46
15
1
1
0
5
163
16
8
1


Luke Alexander
8.85
0.44
0.293
0.686
0.347
0.339
0.226
11
9
2
21
14
12
2
0
0
1
62
20
7
1


Hunter Stovall
8.88
0.4
0.265
0.605
0.31
0.295
0.231
15
13
0
23
18
9
6
0
0
5
78
10
2
0


Elih Marrero
13.87
0.39
0.288
0.628
0.31
0.318
0.258
15
11
0
42
34
10
2
0
1
6
132
14
1
2


John Holland
3.76
0.23
0.261
0.52
0.266
0.254
0.203
12
6
0
15
12
5
0
1
0
3
59
13
2
0




Color highlighting is just to help with visual to highlight the best and worst in each category since sorting isn't available.
RC (Runs Created) - This is the single best indicator (in my and many others opinion) in determining how valuable a player has been based on what they've done this season. Specifically, this stat estimates the number of runs a hitter contributes to his team. This is a very complex formula, and is probably the #1 stat used in sabermetrics in some form or another. I use the advanced formula for RC in this breakdown.
(RC/PA)*4 - This is Runs Created divided by Plate Appearances times 4. This turns RC into an average so players can be compared equally regardless of how much they've played. It's divided by 4 to give an estimated view of how many runs they create per game. I came up with this, just for comparisons sake.
OPS - On Base % plus Slugging %
BABIP - Batting average on balls in play. This is another sabermetric stat. This stat measures how many of a batter's balls in play go for hits, excluding home runs. It is a good tool for measuring the sustainability of a hitter's performance, as a very high or very low babip is hard to maintain.
TB - Total bases
HBP+BB - Hit by pitch + walks
CS - Caught Stealing
Sac - Sacrifice Hits
GDP - Ground into Double Play

CadaverDawg
05-01-2016, 11:19 AM
Good stuff as always, sleepy. Thanks for putting this together.

I think we're going to see a whole lot more of Kruger behind the plate since Elih has hit a wall offensively. I wouldn't be surprised to see Elih start 1 game a weekend back there, but even then if he doesn't start hitting, we'll see Kruger pinch hit for him in big spots. Having Kruger at catcher enables us to get he And Rooker's bats in the lineup....which is big right now.

LF Hump
CF Robson
RF Mangum
3B Collins
SS Gridley
2B Holland
1B Lowe
C Kruger
DH Rooker

That's probably going to be our best lineup going forward, especially with injuries to Stovall & LA. I think that's a stout lineup with only one guy that is considered an "easier out" in Holland. But even he has had some clutch hits. We've come a long way offensively in a year.

The key IMO will be Robson's ability to get back to form, and whether we're able to bat him 1 or 2, or if we need to bump him down to the 9 hole until he knocks the rust off. He would see much better pitches to hit ahead of Jake in the 9 hole, so if he isn't 1 or 2, 9 is the only logical spot to me. Batting him 6th & 7th seemed silly IMO.

Todd4State
05-01-2016, 11:47 AM
LA would be starting right now if not for his injury. His average is low but he is a superior defender when compared to Holland.

sleepy dawg
05-01-2016, 11:58 AM
Can someone with more knowledge than me help me out with something? Can you list all the positions each player can realistically play? I'll list them out for copy/paste. Also, how long are Stovall and Alexander out for?

Jake Mangum -
Jacob Robson -
Jack Kruger -
Reid Humphreys -
Gavin Collins -
Brent Rooker -
Nathaniel Lowe -
Cody Brown -
Ryan Gridley -
Luke Alexander -
Hunter Stovall -
Elih Marrero -
John Holland -

Steakonastick
05-01-2016, 01:52 PM
Jake Mangum- lf, cf, rf
Jacob Robson - lf, cf, rf
Jack Kruger - c, 1b, lf,
Reid Humpreys- lf, rf, 3b, 1b
Gavin Collins - 3b, c, lf, rf, 1b, 2b
Brent Rooker- lf, rf, 1b
Nathaniel Lowe - 1b
Cody Brown - lf, cf, rf
Ryan Gridley - ss, 2b, 3b
Luke Alexander - ss, 2b, 3b
Hunter Stovall - 3b, 2b, c
Elih Marrero - c, lf, rf
John Holland - 2b, 3b, ss, 1b

sleepy dawg
05-01-2016, 08:02 PM
Jake Mangum- lf, cf, rf
Jacob Robson - lf, cf, rf
Jack Kruger - c, 1b, lf,
Reid Humpreys- lf, rf, 3b, 1b
Gavin Collins - 3b, c, lf, rf, 1b, 2b
Brent Rooker- lf, rf, 1b
Nathaniel Lowe - 1b
Cody Brown - lf, cf, rf
Ryan Gridley - ss, 2b, 3b
Luke Alexander - ss, 2b, 3b
Hunter Stovall - 3b, 2b, c
Elih Marrero - c, lf, rf
John Holland - 2b, 3b, ss, 1b

Thanks Steakonastick

maroonmania
05-01-2016, 08:36 PM
How did Holland digress so much between his JR and SR year? He wasn't all that good last year but he wasn't terrible either. Any college player flirting with the Mendoza line that has had a decent number of ABs is having a bad year, real bad.

Todd4State
05-02-2016, 01:02 AM
How did Holland digress so much between his JR and SR year? He wasn't all that good last year but he wasn't terrible either. Any college player flirting with the Mendoza line that has had a decent number of ABs is having a bad year, real bad.

I know he missed the entire fall with I think back issues. And he missed the spring scrimmages too.

maroonmania
05-02-2016, 09:46 AM
I know he missed the entire fall with I think back issues. And he missed the spring scrimmages too.

Yep, forgot that he had been down with injuries himself.

louisvilledawg
05-02-2016, 09:57 AM
I know he missed the entire fall with I think back issues. And he missed the spring scrimmages too.

Obviously no coach or anything, but does it look like he pulls off of everything? Seems to me his hips fire way too early and he just tries to yank everything to the right side. Basically if you throw him inside he can hurt you, but everybody has pitched him outside and he either can't reach it or he hits a can-o-corn pop fly. I could be wrong, but I havent seen him get a hit since he hit that faux homerun at Florida

maroonmania
05-02-2016, 11:04 AM
Obviously no coach or anything, but does it look like he pulls off of everything? Seems to me his hips fire way too early and he just tries to yank everything to the right side. Basically if you throw him inside he can hurt you, but everybody has pitched him outside and he either can't reach it or he hits a can-o-corn pop fly. I could be wrong, but I havent seen him get a hit since he hit that faux homerun at Florida

Yep, I've noticed he has a very stiff swing. Seems hard for him to do much of any adjustment once he gets into his swing.