12-23-15 severe weather event

[starkvegasdawg]

Storms have already started developing and some gave gone severe and one tornado warned earlier tonight. This will be a life threatening day. For our area, the worst looks to be over NW MS and west TN where Tthe SPC has given a hatched threat area for significant tornadoes. But keep in mind anywhere in this state can see severe weather today...particularly this afternoon. I'll be in the field chasing today so my updates to the board may become spotty as business picks up, but I saw where Ref said he'll be watching this closely as well. Stay safe today and heed all warnings.

[Dawgbite]

Thanks, keep us posted and be safe. Stay away from flying cows and if you see somebody that even remotely looks like Hellen Hunt, run like hell!

[starkvegasdawg]

Thanks, keep us posted and be safe. Stay away from flying cows and if you see somebody that even remotely looks like Hellen Hunt, run like hell!

She'll be the one running from me.

[Churchill]

Man be careful. Also thank you for what you do on this board and in the field. We all know you chasers are a lot more than just thrill seekers and we value and appreciate your service. Once again be safe and Godspeed.

[starkvegasdawg]

Man be careful. Also thank you for what you do on this board and in the field. We all know you chasers are a lot more than just thrill seekers and we value and appreciate your service. Once again be safe and Godspeed.

Thanks. I appreciate that. But I couldn't do what I do without meteorologists like Ref producing the info we look at. I'm just the idiot crazy enough to go out and try to get next to these things.

[starkvegasdawg]

NW MS now under a moderate risk for tornadoes, some violent, for today. Everything is coming together for an outbreak. Moderate may not sound too threatening but that's the second highest rating that is used. SPC uses moderate when normal people use holy shit.

[MetEdDawg]

NW MS now under a moderate risk for tornadoes, some violent, for today. Everything is coming together for an outbreak. Moderate may not sound too threatening but that's the second highest rating that is used. SPC uses moderate when normal people use holy shit.

Accurate post here. Moderate is not a term to use lightly. If you live in about a 150 mile radius of Memphis, you need to be extremely focused on this event as you could see some very very dangerous weather.

Now that's not to say everyone else shouldn't be focused, but that's the high focus area. Everyone still needs to be on high alert though. This is setting up to be a bad one.

[defiantdog]

So what your saying is...... There's a chance of rain.

[vv83]

Accurate post here. Moderate is not a term to use lightly. If you live in about a 150 mile radius of Memphis, you need to be extremely focused on this event as you could see some very very dangerous weather.

Now that's not to say everyone else shouldn't be focused, but that's the high focus area. Everyone still needs to be on high alert though. This is setting up to be a bad one.

I'm in Dallas right now about to catch a flight to Memphis at 10:25 (arrival at noon) should I expect bad weather when I get in? Or for my flight to be cancelled?

[Msujd164]

A lot of Dawgs in Huntsville. How will this pan out for us? Are we at risk for the super cellular, violent tornadoes?

[starkvegasdawg]

I'm in Dallas right now about to catch a flight to Memphis at 10:25 (arrival at noon) should I expect bad weather when I get in? Or for my flight to be cancelled?

10:25 is iffy. Hard to time out this system. Main threat is afternoon, though.

[Dawgface]

Looks pretty crappy in Meridian now.

[vv83]

10:25 is iffy. Hard to time out this system. Main threat is afternoon, though.

Ok thank you. Hoping for no delays

[starkvegasdawg]

Looks pretty crappy in Meridian now.

The storms today were our Obi Wan storms. They were our only hope of blocking the moisture and instability of getting north. They're moving out so the gulf pipeline will be open for business.

[Thompson92]

Thanks for the info.

[MSUMatt]

The storms today were our Obi Wan storms. They were our only hope of blocking the moisture and instability of getting north. They're moving out so the gulf pipeline will be open for business.

Heading to Cleveland to wait and see where it starts firing up. Where are you setting up at?

[starkvegasdawg]

Heading to Cleveland to wait and see where it starts firing up. Where are you setting up at?

In that general area. Hope to be leaving Vegas around 12:30 and booking it down 82. At Winona probably decide whether to continue west or head north up 55.

[MSUMatt]

Yeah I'm in Jackson now. Got to buy a couple of gifts and then heading up 55. Initially didn't want to go that far north but forecast is looking more ominous. Never chased/spotted that far north. Usually stay between i20 and I59

[Westdawg]

I am in Clarksdale and headed to northwest TN today. Leaving between 10:30 and noon.
Am I about to ride straight into this bad stuff?

[starkvegasdawg]

Yeah I'm in Jackson now. Got to buy a couple of gifts and then heading up 55. Initially didn't want to go that far north but forecast is looking more ominous. Never chased/spotted that far north. Usually stay between i20 and I59

You'll enjoy the delta. You can actually see more than ten feet.

[starkvegasdawg]

I am in Clarksdale and headed to northwest TN today. Leaving between 10:30 and noon.
Am I about to ride straight into this bad stuff?

Yep.

[DawgInMemphis]

Accurate post here. Moderate is not a term to use lightly. If you live in about a 150 mile radius of Memphis, you need to be extremely focused on this event as you could see some very very dangerous weather.

Now that's not to say everyone else shouldn't be focused, but that's the high focus area. Everyone still needs to be on high alert though. This is setting up to be a bad one.

Wonderbau.

[SignalToNoise]

Thanks for the info everyone. Staying on the MS gulf coast with my wife's family for Christmas. What's the outlook here?

[starkvegasdawg]

Thanks for the info everyone. Staying on the MS gulf coast with my wife's family for Christmas. What's the outlook here?
You're probably in the safest place you could be and still be in MS.

[THE Bruce Dickinson]

Just noticed the weather channel took the TornCon up to 8 in North MS. How far south does that extend ? What's the outlook for Starkville?

[DLGDawg]

Awe crap. Here comes the sun in Webster county. Seems I read you said look out if the sun comes out.

You're probably in the safest place you could be and still be in MS.

[starkvegasdawg]

Awe crap. Here comes the sun in Webster county. Seems I read you said look out if the sun comes out.
Yep. That's fuel on the fire.

[RC3]

Sun poking out in Holmes county as well

[starkvegasdawg]

Just noticed the weather channel took the TornCon up to 8 in North MS. How far south does that extend ? What's the outlook for Starkville?

Down to hwy 82 corridor. Probably not far enough east to hit Starkville but close.

[TheRef]

Yeah. Sunlight before an event is just fuel. Cloudy skies here in Greenville, but the temperatures are hovering around 70 ?F

[TheRef]

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Mesoscale Discussion for the North half of the state. Tornado watch is about to be issued for the area. How confident are they? 95% chance of watch issuance soon.

Mesoscale Discussion: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2036.html

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd2036.gif

[Bucky Dog]

Weather Channel mentioning the sun and instability across central and east MS into Bama as well. Said it could be a rough afternoon and night from Jackson north and east

[shoeless joe]

Heading from Columbus towards smith cnty around 2 pm. Would going 45 to meridian be any safer than taking 25 to Carthage, since it's further east?

And thanks guys for keeping us up on all the latest. Much better info hear versus anywhere else...it is much appreciated.

[TheRef]

Heading from Columbus towards smith cnty around 2 pm. Would going 45 to meridian be any safer than taking 25 to Carthage, since it's further east?

And thanks guys for keeping us up on all the latest. Much better info hear versus anywhere else...it is much appreciated.

It may delay it if you take 45 down to Meridian. Plus it's a little more wide open so you might be able to get out of the way/into a ditch sooner.

[starkvegasdawg]

Heading from Columbus towards smith cnty around 2 pm. Would going 45 to meridian be any safer than taking 25 to Carthage, since it's further east?

And thanks guys for keeping us up on all the latest. Much better info hear versus anywhere else...it is much appreciated.

That early either route may not matter but 45 would have the least chance of storms.

[TheRef]

Tornado Watch #559 has been issued for NW Mississippi. This is a PDS watch, which means a Potentially Dangerous Situation. This is the highest classification for a Tornado Watch, which means the tornado threat is VERY real today.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CW7cejXW8AAH0A4.png:large

[FISHDAWG]

good job guys and thanks for the updates ...... love having our own ED weather channel

[MSUMatt]

Cell around Cleveland already showing rotation.

[TheRef]

Just a reminder, just because you see sunlight today doesn't mean you're in the clear. Sunlight=Heat=Fuel

[scottycameron]

should we evacuate?

[starkvegasdawg]

Chase is on. Heading to Batesville to monitor.

[TheRef]

Latest SPC Mesoscale Discussion: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2040.html

Synopsis: Factors are setting up for a strong system with low level rotation and SRH values high enough to maintain a long-track tornado. Destabilization will continue until the weak cap is broken. Once broken, hang on gentlemen.

[MSUMatt]

Chase is on. Heading to Batesville to monitor.

In Batesville now. Gonna head west to Marks and watch there

[TheRef]

For those of you curious of how often a PDS watch is issued? The last PDS watch was issued June 2014

[yjnkdawg]

Just a reminder, just because you see sunlight today doesn't mean you're in the clear. Sunlight=Heat=Fuel


Thanks Ref for all that you do when we are looking at a severe weather event. These weather threads are not for those to make jokes and say we need to get a sense of humor, etc. For those who do this, I think they have lost touch with reality, as severe weather is not something to joke about as you know. I have experienced and seen some major damage, from tornadoes, severe winds and severe hail.

[TheRef]

These systems are moving 60-70 MPH, so you're not going to be able to outrun these storms. Once a warning is issued for your area, get to your safe place IMMEDIATELY. I don't care what you think about these warnings or your history with them. Get in there as soon as possible, and cover up. I don't want to hear of anyone getting injured or killed because they didn't heed a warning. Remember that all it takes is one tornado to cause a catastrophe.

[MSUMatt]

Lots of sun breaking through outside Batesville. Wind blowing pretty strong straight out of the south.

[starkvegasdawg]

Why can't we get 30mph storms?

[TheRef]

Why can't we get 30mph storms?

Because the Jet

[BB30]

Generally how accurate are the future radars as it is not showing much action in the Columbus Starkville area through like 6:45 tonight. Are we somewhat out of the major threat or is it a very volatile situation?

[TheRef]

Generally how accurate are the future radars as it is not showing much action in the Columbus Starkville area through like 6:45 tonight. Are we somewhat out of the major threat or is it a very volatile situation?

The HRRR is not handling this well, IMO, so I wouldn't go with the latest run of the HRRR. It truly depends on the model and the run.

[MSUMatt]

Is the cape weaker than forecasted or the timing off? Nothing firing up.

[TheRef]

Is the cape weaker than forecasted or the timing off? Nothing firing up.

The cap is a bit stronger than expected. Just waiting for the cap to break, which should be soon.

[MitchD24]

I'm here in Cleveland and was wondering how big the threat is here?

[starkvegasdawg]

I'm here in Cleveland and was wondering how big the threat is here?

Very big.

[starkvegasdawg]

In Batesville. Looks like this show is about to start.

[MitchD24]

Thanks keep us posted cause things are looking pretty weird around here.

[MSUMatt]

In Batesville. Looks like this show is about to start.
I'm about 5 miles west of Bates parked at a John Deere dealership waiting impatiently. Hoping that stuff coming across the river gets better.

[TheRef]

Cap is breaking in my opinion. Things are going to start getting interesting. Also. new Tornado Watch for the Eastern part of the state including Jackson, Starkville, Meridian, and Hattiesburg.

[DownwardDawg]

Cap is breaking in my opinion. Things are going to start getting interesting. Also. new Tornado Watch for the Eastern part of the state including Jackson, Starkville, Meridian, and Hattiesburg.

Well shit.

[starkvegasdawg]

Storm SW of Magee with likely tornado.

[TheRef]

Perfect hook echo look and plenty of rotation.

[Stormrider26]

Perfect hook echo look and plenty of rotation.

I live in Smith County. It's heading directly towards me. I thought I was leaving the storm chasing up to the experts haha.

[Bucky Dog]

Showing a big one on the ground near Clarksdale.

[ckDOG]

https://tvnweather.com/live/chasers/847783786

[the59dawg]

Sun is currently shining at 300p in West Point with mostly blue sky altho supposedly under tornado watch. Go figure.

[Bucky Dog]

Vegas, are you in the middle of that one in the Delta? Almost to Sardis now.

[Rayburn8]

In North West Lafayette county and the sky is now black. Looks like it is going to be an eventful afternoon.

[Bucky Dog]

In North West Lafayette county and the sky is now black. Looks like it is going to be an eventful afternoon.

Take cover now! Watching the tornado cross 55 near Sardis on the Weather Channel and headed your way.

[Westdawg]

Significant damage to some places south of Clarksdale.
Shannon Flying Services - a crop dusting service and airstrip - is completely demolished according to a friend and a picture they just sent me. Also heard of some homes destroyed, but cannot confirm the extent of damage because the Sherriff's department has closed some things off

[Rayburn8]

Take cover now! Watching the tornado cross 55 near Sardis on the Weather Channel and headed your way.

That Tornado is north of me. What worries me is the next part of the storm that looks to come right over us.

[DawgInMemphis]

Tornado on the ground heading towards Holly Springs.

[ScoobaDawg]

Tornado heading towards Oxford - NO FREAKING JOKES OR YOU WILL BE BANNED

[defiantdog]

Tornado heading towards Oxford - NO FREAKING JOKES OR YOU WILL BE BANNED

I hope no one would stoop that low..... I hope this stuff passes sooner rather than later and we don't hear of too many casualties. That double headed tornado in the delta looked crazy.

[Interpolation_Dawg_EX]

Storm SW of Magee with likely tornado.

You still out in the field?

[Interpolation_Dawg_EX]

Watching TVN and just west of Walnut, Ms looks hit bad.

[Interpolation_Dawg_EX]

Tornado heading towards Oxford - NO FREAKING JOKES OR YOU WILL BE BANNED

You talking about the one that is going to the north or the one to the southeast around Sardis lake?

[stalkingpoon]

Whars tonight looking like for Starkville?

[pdawg10msu]

We are in New Albany now. Headed toward Oxford. Traffic is actually kinda bad for it to be looking this bad. We are telling everybody around to head to there safe place.

[ckDOG]

Could have been bad in Oxford or near. Spotter feed I was watching just south of town went out. Right before that he said "gotta get the **** out of here or I'm gonna die". Sped off south. Waiting on it to load back up

[BulldogDX55]

Could have been bad in Oxford or near. Spotter feed I was watching just south of town went out. Right before that he said "gotta get the **** out of here or I'm gonna die". Sped off south. Waiting on it to load back up

link?

[ScoobaDawg]

Could have been bad in Oxford or near. Spotter feed I was watching just south of town went out. Right before that he said "gotta get the **** out of here or I'm gonna die". Sped off south. Waiting on it to load back up


Yea I was watching that too... Chasing at night isn't very smart and could tell he isn't very experienced.

link?


https://tvnweather.com/live

[ckDOG]

Yeah he put himself in a bad spot. Some of these folks you can tell are true pros. Some are dumbasses.

[pdawg10msu]

I am inexperienced. But the guy I'm with has been doing it for the past 10 years. We haven't left New Albany yet. We pretty much called that off.

[Rayburn8]

Well, just got out of the Storm Shelter. We had been in it for an hour. Everyone else okay?

[starkvegasdawg]

You still out in the field?
Yes. East of Oxford. Seen 3 today.

[pdawg10msu]

Yes. East of Oxford. Seen 3 today.
Where exactly are you?

[Percho]

Watching TVN and just west of Walnut, Ms looks hit bad.

I like that site. Followed streaming with live chasers.

[Percho]

My sister lives toward the Sardis Lake, from oxford. She is ok.

[Churchill]

Any damage reports yet ?

[starkvegasdawg]

Where exactly are you?

On 278 about 6 mi east of Oxford.

[DownwardDawg]

Anything new?

[pdawg10msu]

Anything new?
Nashville is about to get hit.

[MSUMatt]

I got behind the Clarkdale tornado on 49 and followed it down 278. Got nervous there was a lot of precipitation on the west side of the storm making it tough to see. Watched the Oxford cell from a hill south of Batesville on 52. Could definitely see the wall cloud and what looked like a right edge but was tough to see a whole lot. Scary storms today though.

[Bucky Dog]

Nashville is about to get hit.

In Nashville tonight. It was rough earlier. Stayed in Basement from 7-8. People killed and major damage just south in Wayne County and Perry County. Worst is over now.