Weather Update

[starkvegasdawg]

Ref and some other meteorologists feel free to chime in on this but tomorrow evening might get very rough for a good portion of MS..especially the western half. This is a significant ramp up in severity from what they were forecasting just this morning. Jackson NWS is now saying discrete supercells are now very likely in the red shaded area. Those are the storms that carry your predominant tornado threat. If you, or friends and family, live in the red shaded area you need to prepare tonight for potentially dangerous weather tomorrow night. Have your shelter plan ready, have your cell phone charged and with you. Have flashlights (not candles) ready and working. But, the most important thing you can have is a weather radio with SAME technology.

While all the ingredients are not there at levels you would normally see for a tornado outbreak with this system. Enough are there at more than adequate levels to make this a potentially dangerous situation for some people. This will be enhanced by the fact this will happen at night when visibility is bad and people are asleep. I know myself, and other chasers will be scattered out trying to report back as quickly as possible, but we are also at an extreme disadvantage at night.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/jan/graphicast/image2.gif

[Beaver]

It's a low CAPE, high Shear environment. Usually ingredients for a straight line wind event. West of Jackson the threat is a bit higher because it looks like there will be a few discrete (separate from the main line) supercells, that will be in a decent environment to spin up a tornado or two. Eventually, the squall line that will have moved through Arkansas will overtake any other isolated cells and become just a large line of storms with threats for very heavy rain and strong straight line winds. Not much of a hail threat with this system either.

[MSUDawg13]

How about an update? Are we still looking at a strong tornado possibility or has the squall line turned it into more of a straight line wind event?

[starkvegasdawg]

I'm sitting just north of Yazoo city and right now not seeing a lot. NWS is still showing very high shear values so if a storm can get going it still stands a good chance of rotating. So far they have not been able to sustain themselves ahead of the main line. This system still has a tornado threat to it but that should start to decrease as the line moves east. I have seen damage reports from the winds today. Some associated with storms and some not. I've measured one gust to 40 and several over 30 this afternoon.

[Interpolation_Dawg_EX]

I'm sitting just north of Yazoo city

Thank God the wind isn't blowing just to the southwest...between the paper plant and you I don't think I could eat supper. In the area for hunting or work?

[Pinto]

Who is/are the Mid-south storm chasers. They passed me on 55 and all I could think was oh shet.

[starkvegasdawg]

Thank God the wind isn't blowing just to the southwest...between the paper plant and you I don't think I could eat supper. In the area for hunting or work?

Storm chasing.

[starkvegasdawg]

Who is/are the Mid-south storm chasers. They passed me on 55 and all I could think was oh shet.

Not sure who all is on that team. I'm with North MS Storm Chasers.

[Interpolation_Dawg_EX]

Storm chasing.

Cool...be safe out there. Are you filming your chases?

[starkvegasdawg]

Cool...be safe out there. Are you filming your chases?

I'll shoot some video if there's something worthwhile. This system is about to be a full fledge bust. Gonna sit here a little longer and see if I can get some lightning shots and then pack it up and head back to Vegas.

[Harrydawg]

Ha, thanks for your work but I am glad your night is a bust for the good of us all!

[sleepy dawg]

Ha, thanks for your work but I am glad your night is a bust for the good of us all!

That's the interesting thing about storm chasers (and other similar professions). Their enjoyment comes from something most fear. Sure they may be scared too, but I assume it's an even bigger rush than fear. What could kill us, feeds them.

Thanks for the updates.

[confucius say]

Tornado warning in hinds county

[confucius say]

Tornado warning in Madison county. Madison, annadale, lake Caroline

[TheRef]

I just got home from work and I have my full operations running. Watching the tornado warnings right now for Hinds and Madison counties. Clear rotation, not sure if anything is on the ground though. No radar-indicated TDR (Tornado Debris Signature) so that makes me more comfortable of the fact that there is not a tornado on the ground. But you should still take this warning seriously if you're in the Madison, Annedale, Flora areas.

[confucius say]

Thanks ref

[TheRef]

Storm is going much more linear, tornadic threat so far is going down the toilet as this goes more linear. Now there will still be some threat for embedded torandoes, but it has decreased dramatically. Straight-line wind threat is pretty high, still. Keep stuff tied down tonight or it may not be there in the morning.

[TheRef]

Amite County is now under a tornado warning until 10:30 PM CST.

[TheRef]

Madison and Yazoo Counties are now under ANOTHER tornado warning. The storm that they have warned is currently sitting between Bentonia and Flora.

[Treemydawg]

Great info Ref. keep it coming

[TheRef]

Franklin and Lincoln Counties are under a Tornado warning until 11:00 PM CST. Gotta have our eyes peeled on radar tonight, gentlemen.

[Maroons]

I'm in Jackson, so much appreciated.

[Treemydawg]

WCBI ticker just said Attala, Oktibbeha,Winston, Webster under tornado watch.

[TheRef]

I'm in Jackson, so much appreciated.

I do what I can.

http://33.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m2hg54JBqR1qln1bho1_500.gif

[TheRef]

WCBI ticker just said Attala, Oktibbeha,Winston, Webster under tornado watch.

Yupp...like I said. I've got my coffee ROLLING tonight.

[TheRef]

Pickens, Goodman, and Durant should keep an eye on this storm that's currently tornado warned. While you may not be under a warning, you may be placed under one. Small bit of rotation of radar.

[TheRef]

Madison County is taken out of the tornado warning. Yazoo County is still within the tornado warning boundaries, but I don't see that warning being continued much longer.

[TheRef]

Yazoo County tornado warning has been CANCELLED. Only one tornado warning remains and it's for Lincoln County.

[TheRef]

The LAST tornado warning in Mississippi has been cancelled. Congrats, everyone.

[TheRef]

Speak of the devil and they shall come. Tornado WARNING for Rankin County, MS until 11:45 PM CST.

[BulldogBear]

Speak of the devil and they shall come. Tornado WARNING for Rankin County, MS until 11:45 PM CST.

Yeah ny daughter keeps texting me to bring Bubby the cat inside, like I could find her.

[TheRef]

Yeah ny daughter keeps texting me to bring Bubby the cat inside, like I could find her.

Haha...some low level rotation is evident on radar, but nothing confirmed on the ground yet. Still would be a good idea to try to entice Bubby inside if you could.

[BulldogBear]

Haha...some low level rotation is evident on radar, but nothing confirmed on the ground yet. Still would be a good idea to try to entice Bubby inside if you could.

"...but the cat came back the very next day..."

[TheRef]

"...but the cat came back the very next day..."

I'm trying to keep you out of your daughter's dog house, Bear.

[TheRef]

Possible Tornado Debris Signature on radar. Awaiting confirmation. Get in your safe place NOW in Rankin County.

[TheRef]

CONFIRMED TORNADO ON THE GROUND. Spillway and Highway 25

[BulldogBear]

I'm trying to keep you out of your daughter's dog house, Bear.

I'm on the front porch looking SW, keeping an eye on the sky but there is no Bubby to be seen. I'm sure she's hunkered down under a vehicle or slab somewhere. Sirens going off everywhere.

[BulldogBear]

CONFIRMED TORNADO ON THE GROUND. Spillway and Highway 25

Headed which way?

[TheRef]

Headed which way?

ENE. Near Pinelake Church and Northwest Rankin HS was the last confirmation on radar.

[BulldogBear]

ENE. Near Pinelake Church and Northwest Rankin HS was the last confirmation on radar.

Thanks. That's away from me but still a lot of folks in the way. Praying for all the folks out that way.

[TheRef]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUEcLL7U8AEFmJl.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUEcLmrUEAAV1HC.jpg

PHOTOS TAKEN BY WAYNE KINKENNON AT RESERVOIR BY SPILLWAY ROAD. TAKEN FROM TWITTER @WAYNEKINKENNON

[TheRef]

Brandon and Pelahatchie have been put under a tornado warning. Separate storm.

[BulldogBear]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUEcLL7U8AEFmJl.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUEcLmrUEAAV1HC.jpg

PHOTOS TAKEN BY WAYNE KINKENNON AT RESERVOIR BY SPILLWAY ROAD. TAKEN FROM TWITTER @WAYNEKINKENNON

Is this a separate one maybe? I would be right In this path soon enuff but don't see anything.

[TheRef]

Is this a separate one maybe? I would be right In this path soon enuff but don't see anything.

Nope...same one. But it may have gone away from you after that point.

[BulldogBear]

At least all my neighbor's Halloween decorations that were still up have blown away.

[TheRef]

At least all my neighbor's Halloween decorations that were still up have blown away.

That's their own fault for having them up this long.

[BulldogBear]

Update: Bubby just came shooting onto the porch like a rocket, crying ridiculously and soaked.

[Treemydawg]

Thank goodness for bubbys return.

[TheRef]

Both Rankin County Tornado Warnings have been CANCELLED. No Tornado warnings remain in Mississippi currently.

[BulldogBear]

Thank goodness for bubbys return.

I imagine it got too watery wherever she was. Perhaps Ina culvert because....

I now have something I always wanted. The ditch all around are so full of water that I am on my own private island.

[TheRef]

Tornado WARNING has been issued for Rankin and Scott Counties until Midnight. Strong rotation on radar. It's between Pelahatchie and Morton right now.

[Treemydawg]

Both Rankin County Tornado Warnings have been CANCELLED. No Tornado warnings remain in Mississippi currently.

Great job Ref. keep us posted brother.

[Treemydawg]

I imagine it got too watery wherever she was. Perhaps Ina culvert because....

I now have something I always wanted. The ditch all around are so full of water that I am on my own private island.

Sounds like a moat. You living in the castle tonight dawg!!!

[Treemydawg]

Oktibbeha under tornado watch again. Per WCBI

[TheRef]

Oktibbeha under tornado watch again. Per WCBI

They just trimmed down the counties involved in the watch. Call it an "update". Still under a tornado watch until 3 AM.

[Treemydawg]

Tornado warning for Leake county.

[TheRef]

Leake and Scott Counties now have a tornado warning until 12:45 AM CST. Same cell that the original Scott County warning was for.

[BulldogBear]

Welp, I can't keep my eyes open any longer Bulldogs. Bubby is quietly content in her bed near the dryer vent on the porch. I'm turning in. Thanks for updates Ref.

[It_Could_Happen]

Ref, how bad will it get in Starkville? Do I need to stay awake?

[mstatefan91]

Tornado warning in Starkville until 1:30. I don't know anything beyond that.

[BeardoMSU]

North Montgomery sirens are going off.

[Treemydawg]

We are in our tornado shelter just south of Vegas ref. what's it look like ?

[starkvegasdawg]

We are in our tornado shelter just south of Vegas ref. what's it look like ?

Sorry. I was out watching the storm and not on my phone. We tracked that storm from Jackson. I heard it had some damage reports but may have been wind damage. Threat for Vegas is over.

[Treemydawg]

Much appreciated Vegas.