Quaoarsking
10-18-2015, 10:06 AM
October 24: Texas A&M at Ole Miss
November 7: LSU at Alabama
November 14: Alabama at Mississippi State
November 21: LSU at Ole Miss
November 28: Ole Miss at Mississippi State
Nothing too outlandish here. Just need the five home teams to win and we probably go to Atlanta. Obviously we can't lose to Kentucky, Missouri, or Arkansas either.
If all 5 of us win out, aside from the above games, we'll see standings like this:
6-2 Mississippi State
6-2 Ole Miss
6-2 Alabama
6-2 LSU/Texas A&M winner (doesn't matter which)
5-3 LSU/Texas A&M loser (doesn't matter which)
We would be 2-1 against the 4-way tie, as would Ole Miss, while Alabama and the other team are 1-2. Our head-to-head win over Ole Miss sends us to Atlanta. Not nearly as much of a longshot as you might think.
One problem here is that Ole Miss blows and can't be relied on to beat LSU or Texas A&M, which we need. Maybe Arkansas could beat LSU and Auburn could beat Texas A&M, but it's still better to have Ole Miss be 6-2 to help us in the tiebreak.
A 3-way tie could work out for us too: According to the SEC website (http://www.secsports.com/article/11145479/sec-divisional-tie-breaker), a three-way tie in which the three-teams went 1-1 against each other and have the same division record, the tie goes to whosever East opponents have the best conference record:
LSU - South Carolina and Florida
Alabama - Tennessee and Georgia
MSU - Missouri and Kentucky
Texas A&M - Vanderbilt and South Carolina
Ole Miss - Florida and Vanderbilt
At least neither of our opponents is likely to go 0-8/1-7 like SC and Vandy, but it would be razor-close in any possible matchup. It might help just a little for Texas A&M to beat LSU and end up in the 3-way tie, because their East opponents could be 1-15 combined. If 2 of the 3 teams tie in this method, then it reverts back to head-to-head, so I could see us possibly winning a 3-way 6-2 tie with Alabama and Texas A&M, for example.
November 7: LSU at Alabama
November 14: Alabama at Mississippi State
November 21: LSU at Ole Miss
November 28: Ole Miss at Mississippi State
Nothing too outlandish here. Just need the five home teams to win and we probably go to Atlanta. Obviously we can't lose to Kentucky, Missouri, or Arkansas either.
If all 5 of us win out, aside from the above games, we'll see standings like this:
6-2 Mississippi State
6-2 Ole Miss
6-2 Alabama
6-2 LSU/Texas A&M winner (doesn't matter which)
5-3 LSU/Texas A&M loser (doesn't matter which)
We would be 2-1 against the 4-way tie, as would Ole Miss, while Alabama and the other team are 1-2. Our head-to-head win over Ole Miss sends us to Atlanta. Not nearly as much of a longshot as you might think.
One problem here is that Ole Miss blows and can't be relied on to beat LSU or Texas A&M, which we need. Maybe Arkansas could beat LSU and Auburn could beat Texas A&M, but it's still better to have Ole Miss be 6-2 to help us in the tiebreak.
A 3-way tie could work out for us too: According to the SEC website (http://www.secsports.com/article/11145479/sec-divisional-tie-breaker), a three-way tie in which the three-teams went 1-1 against each other and have the same division record, the tie goes to whosever East opponents have the best conference record:
LSU - South Carolina and Florida
Alabama - Tennessee and Georgia
MSU - Missouri and Kentucky
Texas A&M - Vanderbilt and South Carolina
Ole Miss - Florida and Vanderbilt
At least neither of our opponents is likely to go 0-8/1-7 like SC and Vandy, but it would be razor-close in any possible matchup. It might help just a little for Texas A&M to beat LSU and end up in the 3-way tie, because their East opponents could be 1-15 combined. If 2 of the 3 teams tie in this method, then it reverts back to head-to-head, so I could see us possibly winning a 3-way 6-2 tie with Alabama and Texas A&M, for example.