BulldogBear
04-13-2015, 01:30 PM
After this weekend, the SEC standing look like this:
#1 Auburn (12-3, 40-6)
#2 LSU (11-4, 38-5)
#3 Florida (10-4, 39-4)
#4 Alabama (10-5, 31-9)
#5 Georgia (11-7, 35-10)
#6 Tennessee (8-7, 30-11)
#7 Texas A&M (8-7, 32-12)
#8 Missouri (8-7, 26-10)
#9 Mississippi State (9-9, 31-12)
#10 Kentucky (4-10, 27-13)
#11 Ole Miss (5-13, 23-19)
#12 South Carolina (4-11, 29-16)
#13 Arkansas (1-14, 15-27)
I can't find an updated rpi, but we were #22 on 4/6. The top 12 make the SEC tourney so that's really an issue not as the gap between the top 9 and the rest is substantial. Remaining schedule:
South Alabama
Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee
Memphis
@Georgia Southern
@Georgia Southern
@South Carolina
@South Carolina
@South Carolina
USA will be a tough out. They're 31-7 overall and just behind ULL in the SBC, but that game's in Starkville. Memphis and Georgia Southern are not very good and should be wins if we don't give them away. Georgia Southern is weekend series. With 13 softball playing SEC schools, not everyone plays an SEC series each weekend, hence the difference in records at the moment. All will play 8 SEC opponent series before it's over for potientially 24 SEC games. A sweep over USCe would be HUGE paired with a series win over Tennessee this weekend for SBW. That would move us up to 14-10. It would be nice to somehow weasel our way into the top 4 for the SEC tournament but that will be extremely difficult probably even with a sweep both SEC series remaining (unlikely). If we can move up to #5 or #6 we will get a very winnable game in round 1 and perhaps retool our pitching strategy to face a very tough school that had an opening round bye (if I've tournament format right). We need to beat USA, brush aside Memphis and GS, then win both SEC series, hopefully sweeping one. Would be good momentum going into SEC tournament and postseason. I don't know if we're really a threat to host a regional or not because I'm not sure I can apply NCAA baseball logic to softball. I don't know what the selection folks' reasoning is or what they look for in a host site.
ETA: Kentucky and Florida still have a game to play tonight to wrap up a weekend series. A KY upset would drop Florida into a tie with Alabama for 4th, which isn't really a drop I guess. It would move Bama up to a tie for 4th. That's a better way to put it. A Florida win would move them into a tie with LSU for 2nd and drop KY to 11th and into a tie with USCe, behind Ole Miss, moving the B*tchsharks up to #10.
#1 Auburn (12-3, 40-6)
#2 LSU (11-4, 38-5)
#3 Florida (10-4, 39-4)
#4 Alabama (10-5, 31-9)
#5 Georgia (11-7, 35-10)
#6 Tennessee (8-7, 30-11)
#7 Texas A&M (8-7, 32-12)
#8 Missouri (8-7, 26-10)
#9 Mississippi State (9-9, 31-12)
#10 Kentucky (4-10, 27-13)
#11 Ole Miss (5-13, 23-19)
#12 South Carolina (4-11, 29-16)
#13 Arkansas (1-14, 15-27)
I can't find an updated rpi, but we were #22 on 4/6. The top 12 make the SEC tourney so that's really an issue not as the gap between the top 9 and the rest is substantial. Remaining schedule:
South Alabama
Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee
Memphis
@Georgia Southern
@Georgia Southern
@South Carolina
@South Carolina
@South Carolina
USA will be a tough out. They're 31-7 overall and just behind ULL in the SBC, but that game's in Starkville. Memphis and Georgia Southern are not very good and should be wins if we don't give them away. Georgia Southern is weekend series. With 13 softball playing SEC schools, not everyone plays an SEC series each weekend, hence the difference in records at the moment. All will play 8 SEC opponent series before it's over for potientially 24 SEC games. A sweep over USCe would be HUGE paired with a series win over Tennessee this weekend for SBW. That would move us up to 14-10. It would be nice to somehow weasel our way into the top 4 for the SEC tournament but that will be extremely difficult probably even with a sweep both SEC series remaining (unlikely). If we can move up to #5 or #6 we will get a very winnable game in round 1 and perhaps retool our pitching strategy to face a very tough school that had an opening round bye (if I've tournament format right). We need to beat USA, brush aside Memphis and GS, then win both SEC series, hopefully sweeping one. Would be good momentum going into SEC tournament and postseason. I don't know if we're really a threat to host a regional or not because I'm not sure I can apply NCAA baseball logic to softball. I don't know what the selection folks' reasoning is or what they look for in a host site.
ETA: Kentucky and Florida still have a game to play tonight to wrap up a weekend series. A KY upset would drop Florida into a tie with Alabama for 4th, which isn't really a drop I guess. It would move Bama up to a tie for 4th. That's a better way to put it. A Florida win would move them into a tie with LSU for 2nd and drop KY to 11th and into a tie with USCe, behind Ole Miss, moving the B*tchsharks up to #10.