View Full Version : Look at the moron
MemphisDawg21
10-16-2014, 08:46 AM
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2014/10/15/6982881/southeastern-conference-football-projections-ole-miss-georgia
starkvegasdawg
10-16-2014, 08:49 AM
Is he allowed to procreate?
Political Hack
10-16-2014, 08:49 AM
making up numbers is fun.
you write this?
defiantdog
10-16-2014, 09:19 AM
Such BS.... This model is crap. What will they do when Kentucky beats Georgia and When Auburn beats OM?
QuadrupleOption
10-16-2014, 09:20 AM
http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2014/10/15/6982881/southeastern-conference-football-projections-ole-miss-georgia
I don't think the article is that bad at all. We have two very tough road games left on our schedule - at Bama and at Ole Miss in which the odds are against us winning one or both.
Still the numbers give us a 52% chance of going 7-1, and an 18% chance of going undefeated. So a 70% chance that we win one or both of those road games.
I'll take those odds.
NewTweederEndzoneDance
10-16-2014, 09:30 AM
Such BS.... This model is crap. What will they do when Kentucky beats Georgia and When Auburn beats OM?
The same thing it appears to have done every week already - change to reflect the order of things at that time. It's a model that relies on fluctuating variables, so that's pretty much how it works.
Mjoelner34
10-16-2014, 10:08 AM
Such BS.... This model is crap. What will they do when Kentucky beats Georgia and When Auburn beats OM?
I agree. It's total crap. According to one table, Auburn's highest probability is ending up 5-3 in the SEC yet in another table, they've favored in all but 1 remaining games. That would put them at 6-2. Did somebody from the government make this shit up?
BulldogDX55
10-16-2014, 10:09 AM
edit: double post.
BulldogDX55
10-16-2014, 10:10 AM
You guys who are getting mad at this have clearly never taken an advanced stats class.
bluelightstar
10-16-2014, 10:23 AM
I don't think the article is that bad at all. We have two very tough road games left on our schedule - at Bama and at Ole Miss in which the odds are against us winning one or both.
Still the numbers give us a 52% chance of going 7-1, and an 18% chance of going undefeated. So a 70% chance that we win one or both of those road games.
I'll take those odds.
Right, if I'm doing the math right, their numbers should give us a 76.4% chance of winning either game. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B) = .659 + .308 - 0.202972 = .764. Of course, those same numbers give us only a 20.3% chance of winning both.
Spider-Man
10-16-2014, 10:26 AM
How can LSU have a 0.1% chance of going 0-8? They won a conference game.
BulldogDX55
10-16-2014, 10:42 AM
How can LSU have a 0.1% chance of going 0-8? They won a conference game.
You are mixing up the preseason numbers with the current ones.
Spider-Man
10-16-2014, 11:19 AM
You are mixing up the preseason numbers with the current ones.
Ah. Thanks.
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